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Started By
Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:26 pm to dabigfella
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:26 pm to dabigfella
Take a hike, jerk.
0
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:26 pm to GEAUXmedic
From Meteorologist Scot Pilie', he posted this on Stormcast:
quote:
I would venture to say a decent number of the GFS Ensembles will pull Harvey further east than the operational run. The trough over the Great Lakes & Midwest is pretty stout on this run, and I would venture to think Harvey could feel that tug at some point. This run is definitely a trend towards the Euro's consistent scenario. All residents in southwest & south-central Louisiana need to use Friday & Saturday to prepare for potential long duration heavy rain & flood threat...at a minimum. Additional impacts such as storm surge, isolated tornado potential, and wind threat are also on the table.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:26 pm to slackster
Slack or Geauxmedic, 98knots would make it a class 3, right?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:26 pm to slackster
That center seemed to tighten up a lot in that last frame
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
are posts getting whacked in here?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:27 pm to slackster
Weather threads might be the most heavily modded threads on this site. We routinely lose pages in these things due to deleted posts. 
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
would venture to say a decent number of the GFS Ensembles will pull Harvey further east than the operational run. The trough over the Great Lakes & Midwest is pretty stout on this run, and I would venture to think Harvey could feel that tug at some point. This run is definitely a trend towards the Euro's consistent scenario. All residents in southwest & south-central Louisiana need to use Friday & Saturday to prepare for potential long duration heavy rain & flood threat...at a minimum. Additional impacts such as storm surge, isolated tornado potential, and wind threat are also on the table.
frick all of this
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
frick riding in a hurricane hunter plane.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:28 pm to Large Farva
quote:
Slack or Geauxmedic, 98knots would make it a class 3, right?
That's a flight level wind. Surface winds are usually 10% lower, if not more.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:28 pm to Large Farva
quote:
Slack or Geauxmedic, 98knots would make it a class 3, right?
98 kts flight level, those winds haven't made it to the ground yet. Surface winds right now are 73kts, 85 mph.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:28 pm to Wishnitwas1998
quote:
You just wait til I tell G you son of a bitch
he's not threat to G... just like he's also no threat to Bob Breck
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:28 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
as scared as I would likely be, I would love to have a chance to do it
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:28 pm to GRTiger
Yeah but it all depends on who gets stuck under a band for hours. In my mind we were always possibly getting over 20.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:28 pm to rds dc
quote:
Moving north now, eastern portions of DFW might get some action...
That's no bueno for Jasper/Lufkin/Tyler/Shreveport.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:29 pm to slackster
quote:
Weather threads might be the most heavily modded threads on this site. We routinely lose pages in these things due to deleted posts.
it's not the worst idea on earth... filter out the clutter while people are trying to get potentially life-saving information
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:29 pm to bigberg2000
Well stop sounding so damn casual about it.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:30 pm to Large Farva
quote:
Slack or Geauxmedic, 98knots would make it a class 3, right?
Looks like they found winds up to 85kt at the surface, which would support an upgrade to 95 or 100 mph surface winds. Pressure seems to be @ 969.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:30 pm to PapaPogey
quote:
as scared as I would likely be, I would love to have a chance to do it
I never fly... yet the wannabe-weather nerd in me would totally want to do that
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:31 pm to rt3
quote:
t's not the worst idea on earth... filter out the clutter while people are trying to get potentially life-saving information
Oh I agree.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:32 pm to slackster
quote:
Looks like they found winds up to 85kt at the surface, which would support an upgrade to 95 or 100 mph surface winds. Pressure seems to be @ 969.
very high end cat 2
cat 3 starts at 111 mph winds
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