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re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:08 am to
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74727 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:08 am to
Speaking of HTown, with this thing potentially strengthening: this would still just be a rain event for us right?

Got enough to worry about with the 20" rain projections. I don't want to think about strong winds
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53874 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:08 am to
quote:

Winds up to 100 mph

Harvey turning on frick you mode




yep.

12 AM Hurricane Center Update
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 12:09 am
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172088 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:09 am to
Hey man good luck w everything. Good ppl in CC

Anyone know if Powerman is still down there?
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70733 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:11 am to
Always been a rain event for us unless it does some crazy shift.
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
16802 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:13 am to
How much rain did Denham/BR get during last yr's big storm?
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74727 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:13 am to
cool, jus checking.

new house has a 60ft pine in the backyard and a 80ft pine in the front yard.
Posted by OKellsBells
USA
Member since Dec 2016
5264 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:14 am to
quote:

Weather threads might be the most heavily modded threads on this site


Agree and am grateful. Trolling a stickied hurricane thread should have severe consequences. That is way worse than porn bombing.

I am following this thread for important updates instead of the news. It is more easily accessed, readable, better illustrated and more reliably cited than any other local online source.

I am scrolling through and just paying attention to the same 4 posters who only post well-cited gifs, links and updates. Posting comments/requests for advice about frickin flight plans or cruises is a waste of everyone's time at this point.
Posted by Amazing Moves
Member since Jan 2014
6174 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:15 am to
Where can I find the euro model track? It's site etc..
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93582 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:16 am to
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87962 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:18 am to
quote:

Posting comments/requests for advice about frickin flight plans or cruises is a waste of everyone's time at this point.
Whoa. Agreed until here. Like you said, this is one of the better/quicker placers to get immediate info. While it may not be this thread specifically, people can at least point them to the travel board where Cuse has done a great job with the flight thread. It may not be life or death, but to that family, it's a big deal.
Posted by Amazing Moves
Member since Jan 2014
6174 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:20 am to
Thank you very much.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93582 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:21 am to
You're welcome!
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:21 am to
just keeps going lower and lower on each pass. You can see where the eye is calm, but has the lowest pressure.

This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 12:23 am
Posted by OKellsBells
USA
Member since Dec 2016
5264 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:23 am to
True. I see your point.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:24 am to
quote:

Winds up to 100 mph

Harvey turning on frick you mode



They're probably going higher soon. Recon found 88kt winds - 101mph - in the NW eye wall, but that dropsonde had 104kt winds not too far from the surface, and the average wind speed in the last 150m was 99kt - 115 MPH.

Usually see those winds make their way to the surface in a strengthening storm.
Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:27 am to
quote:

Anyone know if Powerman is still down there?


Yeah actually he popped into this thread around 10:00 this morning. He still lives in Corpus. Was considering evacuating. Don't know if he did or not.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:27 am to
quote:

Usually see those winds make their way to the surface in a strengthening storm.
NOAA has found concentric eyewalls... if this thing keeps intensifying they close up and this thing bombs out. Stay safe out there.
Posted by Woopigsooie20
FREE HRV
Member since Mar 2010
60393 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:31 am to
That core is looking majorly put together right now. It'll be easily a major by 7 am if this keeps up.
Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:33 am to
quote:

Well baws...I'm here in San Antonio. It won't be much better.


It sucks that you had to leave your stuff behind but you'll be much better there for now. SATX is 500' elevation and far enough inland that the wind will be much much much less. Just don't go driving around in it or immediately thereafter. I can't tell you how frustrating it is to see people drown that way when it's been said 1,000 times it's dumb to do. It's worse in and around SATX and ATX because of all the limestone creeks that are normally dry but become raging torrents.
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 12:39 am
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74727 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:33 am to
For those like me, who have no idea what concentric eyewalls mean:

quote:

Eyewall replacement cycles, also called concentric eyewall cycles, naturally occur in intense tropical cyclones, generally with winds greater than 185 km/h (115 mph), or major hurricanes (Category 3 or above). When tropical cyclones reach this intensity, and the eyewall contracts or is already sufficiently small, some of the outer rainbands may strengthen and organize into a ring of thunderstorms—an outer eyewall—that slowly moves inward and robs the inner eyewall of its needed moisture and angular momentum. Since the strongest winds are in a cyclone's eyewall, the tropical cyclone usually weakens during this phase, as the inner wall is "choked" by the outer wall. Eventually the outer eyewall replaces the inner one completely, and the storm may re-intensify.
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