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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:25 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21478 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

Looks like Harvey may be pulling in that NW "blob" of convection. If that materializes, it may resume the intensification at a more rapid pace.


Yea, you can see cloud tops warming out there and the eastern eyewall has started to cool. The pause certainly appears to be over, probably assisted by the very intense eyewall convection we saw on the NW side earlier this evening.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 10:27 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21478 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

Hurricane Hunters have found a 966mb pressure.


The VDM came in at 972mb.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87962 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

Hurricane Hunters have found a 966mb pressure.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21478 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:28 pm to
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87962 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:28 pm to
dp
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 10:29 pm
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:28 pm to
David Bernard just reported that hes following the hurricane hunters in real time and the eye is now well formed, pressure dropped and appears to have moved due north.

This is not looking good
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 10:31 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:28 pm to
Should be a Cat. 2 at the next advisory.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50563 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

appears to have moved due north.

Say what?
Posted by Loungefly85
Lafayette
Member since Jul 2016
7930 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:30 pm to
Everyone is missing the only point that matters. How is this storm racist and/or Trumps fault? I NEED to know!

ETA: I know some really good people from Cameron. They all stuck with it past Rita. Half of them stuck with it past Ike. But I can't see any of them sticking with it again if God forbid it happens again.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 10:37 pm
Posted by chicano12
Member since Jun 2010
1003 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:30 pm to
I don't trust anyone with two first names.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95011 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

nd appears to have moved due north. This is not looking good


Watch your mouth.

I remember Rita doing this and I went to bed one night and woke up and she took a die north turn. Had to get out that same day.
Posted by CBP3110
Member since Aug 2012
6599 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:31 pm to
Lol no it's not. Are you out of your mind??
Posted by Cajunese
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
7186 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

David Bernard just reported that hes following the hurricane hunters in real time and the eye is now well formed, pressure dropped and appears to have moved due north.


Being in Lafayette, this scares me.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21478 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:32 pm to
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 3:21Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF98-5307
Storm Number & Year: 09 in 2017
Storm Name: Harvey (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 15
Observation Number: 16
A. Time of Center Fix: 25th day of the month at 2:52:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 25°12'N 94°41'W (25.2N 94.6833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 182 statute miles (293 km) to the ESE (106°) from Brownsville, TX, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,841m (9,321ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 68kts (~ 78.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 9 nautical miles (10 statute miles) to the SW (215°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 311° at 71kts (From the NW at ~ 81.7mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 7 nautical miles (8 statute miles) to the SSW (213°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 972mb (28.71 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,062m (10,046ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,042m (9,980ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 11°C (52°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Closed
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 3 nautical miles

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 79kts (~ 90.9mph) which was observed 27 nautical miles (31 statute miles) to the SE (125°) from the flight level center at 1:10:30Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 78kts (~ 89.8mph) which was observed 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the WNW (300°) from the flight level center at 2:54:50Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 30° at 17kts (From the NNE at 20mph)
Posted by Mie2cents
the round part of earth
Member since Dec 2012
3462 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

Everyone is missing the only point that matters. How is this storm racist and/or Trumps fault? I NEED to know!

Because he called it a girl and it's name is Harvey lol.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

uote:
appears to have moved due north.

Say what?


He's looking at where they are flying compared to the last reported location.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93582 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

appears to have moved due north.


Meh...

LINK
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:34 pm to
As it looks like it's ramping up, it's going to wobble around. It's moved NW with steps N and W over the past six hours. It should continue to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

David Bernard just reported that hes following the hurricane hunters in real time and the eye is now well formed, pressure dropped and appears to have moved due north.

This is not looking good

I absolutely respect David Bernard for his time at WWL-TV

hopefully that north move is a wobble and not something consistent
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41286 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:36 pm to
00z GFS is showing landfall at 948 mb
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