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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:37 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:37 am to
For those interested in the models today, there is a link and model run times in the OP.

Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17955 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:42 am to
Since NHC now has this ability, why not start issuing advisories? We're within 72 hours of at least minimal impacts to the US coastline. Seems like waiting until after crossing Yucatan will give people even shorter notice.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:44 am to
quote:



Ehh, the problem is it won't be a hurricane this evening, and people simply don't give a shite about a tropical disturbance.

This is a good example of why the potential tropical cyclone warnings are a good addition this year.


Friday night is probably when impacts start to ramp up. NHC can issue PTC advisories tomorrow giving people basically 3 days to prep. Also, despite 00z model agreement of a Texas landfall this could still not develop or end up in Mexico. A lot of uncertainty still but the high end potential is something to watch.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:45 am to
Here's another graphic for model times:

This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 8:46 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Here's another graphic for model times:


Thanks, added it to the OP
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:48 am to
quote:

Thanks, added it to the OP



Can you change the link to LINK please. The link I had originally links to our server, the imgur link will stay longer.
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 8:49 am
Posted by droman225
HTown by way of BR
Member since Aug 2011
13417 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:55 am to
Pardon my noooob question



What's the difference in 00z 06z etc under the different maps of models in the tropical tidbits site?
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52362 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 8:58 am to
quote:

What's the difference in 00z 06z etc under the different maps of models in the tropical tidbits site?

The different timing of the model runs.

quote:

The UTC or Z day starts at 0000 (i.e., 00UTC or 00Z), which is midnight along the 0° longitude line (which runs through Greenwich, England) and 7 p.m. Eastern Standard Time the previous day, and counts upward to 2359 hours in military style. In other words, 00Z Monday is 7 p.m. Sunday (EST).




ETA: 00z corresponds to 7PM CDST and 06z corresponds to 1AM CDST
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 9:03 am
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45888 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:03 am to
quote:

I was able to confirm, that wasn't him posting. It was someone pretending to be him.

Well way to ruin the fun, GEAUX!
Posted by tketaco
Sunnyside, Houston
Member since Jan 2010
21196 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:04 am to
I am going to take a wild guess that the folks showing up for National Guard drill this weekend will be held hostage until storm passes just like last time.

What a frickin waste.
Posted by droman225
HTown by way of BR
Member since Aug 2011
13417 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:06 am to
Gracias
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39315 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:10 am to
quote:

People are totally unprepared, Harvey has been dismissed as no longer a strom, and it's gonna hit before the weekend.


I think the new NHC "Potential Tropical Cyclone" advisory packages were created for situations just like this.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:12 am to
High res sat of Gulf

LINK
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 9:15 am
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17955 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:12 am to
Yet they're not being implemented
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39315 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:13 am to
Last night ole Bob Zebrecki posted on facebook that he may end up heading into the station later this week.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52362 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:13 am to
Is the center of the system even over the Yucatan presently?
Posted by Wedge
Corellia
Member since Oct 2010
871 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Is the center of the system even over the Yucatan presently?


yes
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16892 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:15 am to
So is this the same system that Peej called going to Mexico? Why am I not fricking surprised!
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52362 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:15 am to
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82516 posts
Posted on 8/22/17 at 9:19 am to
quote:

So is this the same system that Peej called going to Mexico? Why am I not fricking surprised!

Don't worry, he was just playing around
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