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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:30 pm to Nguyener
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:30 pm to Nguyener
quote:
What time is the next official NWC update? Are they on a fixed schedule?
Full update every 6 hours, intermediate update at the 3 hour mark. They're proceeding like this is already the F storm.
0
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:31 pm to moontigr
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 6:32 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:31 pm to BigPerm30
quote:
This just has a New Orleans type feel to it with a Cat 2 to 3.
Would you say it’s your “gut” feeling?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:37 pm to Mr Roboto
18z HAFS Models - both with a shift east and stronger.
HAFS A - 970 - 972 MB
HAFS B - 978-985 MB
HAFS A - 970 - 972 MB
HAFS B - 978-985 MB
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 6:42 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:38 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:
Would you say it’s your “gut” feeling?
It was probably just gas.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:38 pm to lsugolfredman
HWRF looks way stronger too in the beginning
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:39 pm to lsuman25
...SYSTEM GRADUALLY ORGANIZING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...INCREASING RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND DAMAGING WINDS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS BY MID-WEEK...
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:39 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:
Would you say it’s your “gut” feeling?
No, it’s not going to move as fast as they think and that front going to keep pushing it east.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:40 pm to lsuman25
quote:
HWRF looks way stronger too in the beginning
Isn’t that every single storm that the HWRF runs models for?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:41 pm to BigB0882
No for a while the HWRF has been tamed with this one
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:41 pm to BigB0882
So if I am tracking correctly the intermediate update will come out at 7pmCST??
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:42 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
18z HAFS Models - both with a shift east and stronger.
HAFS A - 970 - 972 MB
HAFS B - 978-985 MB
18z Euro is about the same location as 12z but a tad stronger.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:47 pm to lsugolfredman
ophf at models
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 6:51 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:48 pm to rds dc
Yup, you are right on. 18z Euro for the viewers sake:
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:48 pm to lsugolfredman
Oh my, that looks spicy
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:51 pm to lsugolfredman
Do not want!
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:51 pm to lsugolfredman
As long as it doesn't go further east than that....
I hope
I hope
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:51 pm to stout
quote:
Not risking it I guess?
I got two small kids and a wife who refuses to sweat. I am just playing it safe until we get better clarity on location.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:52 pm to lsugolfredman
Not liking that at all….
Posted on 9/8/24 at 6:52 pm to maisweh
quote:
As long as it doesn't go further east than that....
Instead of wishing it on each other can't we wish it on Beaumont instead? Save our insurance premiums.
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