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Failure of Soyuz launch could leave ISS empty

Posted on 10/11/18 at 7:38 pm
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 7:38 pm
LINK

There’s only one Soyuz docked at the ISS and while they investigate what happened won’t be sending up any more. The one docked has been there for a while and the fuel in its tanks are causing too much corrosion to be used much longer. Now they face the decision of what to do because their only lifeboat won’t be useful for much longer.

If they return the crew home the ISS will be vacant for the first time since Nov 2000.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 7:41 pm to
Who’s going to drive it?
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 7:42 pm to
Houston I would figure
Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 7:44 pm to
does this push up the timeline of Musks capsule?
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 7:46 pm to
They are grounding the Soyuz out of safety concerns, I doubt they rush an untested system to replace it.
Posted by LordSnow
Your Mom's House
Member since May 2011
5498 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 7:57 pm to
I'm willing to bet Elon already called Nasa
This post was edited on 10/11/18 at 8:49 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37007 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:09 pm to
Further proof of how dumb it was to shut down the shuttle before we had our own replacement.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:24 pm to
Shuttle was getting more and more expensive to maintain. It’s one of the the most complex machines ever made and all of those specialized pieces that go into it becoming more difficult and costly to acquire. If the company that still makes it even exists they’ll charge premiums on manufacturing it. At some point the plug had to be pulled. There was a viable alternative in Soyuz so NASA went with it.
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:28 pm to
I just think it's fricking amazing that the crew went into free fall after booster failure at around 150,000 feet going at several thousand mph and survived.

And that this is a niche article in the news cycle. Incredible.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72014 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

It’s one of the the most complex machines ever made and all of those specialized pieces that go into it becoming more difficult and costly to acquire.
How is that even possible?

As things age but remain in constant use, like our airlines, the ability to recreate parts and maintain them should become cheaper and easier.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:31 pm to
Here’s the launch photographed from the ISS





Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

How is that even possible? As things age but remain in constant use, like our airlines, the ability to recreate parts and maintain them should become cheaper and easier.



Because the parts are made for the space shuttle and the space shuttle only. Spare parts for a 747 exist because there’s enough 747s to support it. Specialized parts and specialized machines to make specialized parts from a logistics chain from the 80s gets pricey.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72014 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

Specialized parts and specialized machines to make specialized parts from a logistics chain from the 80s gets pricey.
But it isn’t as if this is a 60s Mustang with parts that aren’t used anymore because the tech was improved and advanced.

This is a one of a kind machine that was consistently used over the decades.

Basically what Scruffy is saying is that there apparently was extremely poor planning on NASA’s part.

They should have either developed less costly and more productive methods to produce the needed parts or they should have stockpiled them.
This post was edited on 10/11/18 at 8:41 pm
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:47 pm to
quote:

one of a kind


Exactly
Posted by Parmen
Member since Apr 2016
18317 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:47 pm to
Almost time to de-orbit the ISS anyway.
Posted by TigerGman
Center of the Universe
Member since Sep 2006
11174 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:50 pm to
quote:

There was a viable alternative in Soyuz so NASA went with it.


And that myopic thinking landed us exactly where we are...
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:54 pm to
Soyuz is the most tested and reliable system out there. 1700+ flights. I’d say this one (where the safety mechanisms worked and the crew came back unharmed) doesn’t prove NASA made a poor decision.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
34977 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:57 pm to
Funny how in the 60’s we could get to the moon and now we can’t even get into orbit. Really makes you rethink how real those Apollo missions were.
Posted by Parmen
Member since Apr 2016
18317 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

Soyuz is the most tested and reliable system out there. 1700+ flights. I’d say this one (where the safety mechanisms worked and the crew came back unharmed) doesn’t prove NASA made a poor decision.


Did you get this from reddit?
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29135 posts
Posted on 10/11/18 at 8:58 pm to
Nah

Edit LINK

The long heritage of Soyuz — some sources estimate it has flown over 1,700 times — makes it probably the world's longest-lived rocket line. It has had relatively few failures in hundreds of launches, making it an extremely reliable type of rocket. The history of the Soyuz line includes many dozens of crewed flights in support of the Salyut and Mir space station program, as well as the ISS. It also is a proven supplier of cargo to the ISS, with only a few failures across dozens of flights there.
This post was edited on 10/11/18 at 9:02 pm
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