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Despite low oil, Gulf of Mexico production expected to hit record high
Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:48 am
Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:48 am
LINK
quote:
Even with the price of oil hovering near $30 a barrel, crude production from the Gulf of Mexico is expected to hit record levels in 2017, the U.S. Energy Information Administration projects. Because deep-water projects are costly and take years to come online, many expensive projects were authorized before the price of oil began to plummet. In general, Gulf production is less sensitive to short-term crude pricing movement than onshore shale production. The EIA projects Gulf production will average 1.63 million barrels per day this year and 1.79 million barrels a day in 2017, including hitting 1.91 million barrels in December 2017. The previous high of more than 1.7 million barrels came in 2009 in advance of the 2010 drilling moratorium after the Deepwater Horizon tragedy.
Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:50 am to RedRifle
So what does this mean, that oil is going to drop $/barrel even more?
Mother F*cker
Mother F*cker
Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:51 am to RedRifle
Oil certainly isn't going anywhere despite the politics of it all. Companies are still refining crude at a record pace. Oil & gas needs to just ride the wave right now. Things will get better.
Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:52 am to RedRifle
Great. More facebook posts from the oil crowd are in my future.
Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:54 am to RedRifle
so them off shore oil baws will be good right?
Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:56 am to I Love Bama
This is all forecasted already. No real change in what operators are going to do because of this news. If they are shocked by this, they are terrible business people seeing as they are the ones creating all of these numbers. So all layoffs are already based off of this knowledge.
Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:58 am to KG6
So that means my trucknut stock wasn't a waste! Offshore baws to the rescue!

Posted on 2/22/16 at 10:59 am to Mrs. Amaro
quote:
So what does this mean
Propaganda
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:01 am to RedRifle
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/8/20 at 10:31 am
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:07 am to TexasTiger39
quote:
doesn't mean they can't be canceled...
if it isn't profitable, they wont be doing it
They are cancelling some. But pretty much anyone in a rig contract was seeing that rig contract through. You have some pretty large fees associated with cancelling a rig contract. So if they already paid for the equipment, allocated money to the AFE, have a rig that they are required to pay for, they complete the project. Now that it's been a year or so and rig contracts are up for renewal, you see projects falling fast. No new orders for equipment, lot's of rigs getting dropped, lot's of projects sitting in limbo. Last year wasn't slow at all in the grand scheme of things. This year is a different story so far.
When they say years to "come online", the well may drilled and completed, but the production platform is still being prepared to take on the reserves. I know plenty of wells that sit for months before they flow.
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:11 am to bamarep
The $1.00/gallon of gas OT poors won't like this
This post was edited on 2/22/16 at 11:12 am
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:13 am to TexasTiger39
quote:
doesn't mean they can't be canceled...
I'm pretty sure that these are deepwater projects that were already well into construction with most of the wells likely already drilled and awaiting facility installation. Companies likely spent most of the capital and those costs are sunk. Cash flow even at $30 a barrel is more attractive than eating a 100% loss on capital spent so the project gets completed and put on line. I would assume projects that are just in the appraisal stages will indeed be cancelled. Ask some of the manufacturers how new orders are looking once existing projects get completed - it's ugly.
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:15 am to TexasTiger39
quote:
doesn't mean they can't be canceled...
if it isn't profitable, they wont be doing it
I'm not sure you understand the article.
Once the well is drilled and the ability to produce comes online, you basically HAVE to pump oil to pay for everything you've already spent. The production costs are already spent - at this point you have to take what you can get in order to pay your bills.
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:34 am to slackster
Right. The production that comes online has mostly been paid for already, so they have to produce it. The projects that may be cancelled are the ones further down the line (several years) that are in early planning stages.
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:35 am to RedRifle
quote:
1.63 million barrels per day this year and 1.79 million barrels a day in 2017,
and the country uses 20 million barrels per day. go figure
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