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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:56 pm to
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1237 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:56 pm to
I wonder if a percentage-based "cone" would work better. Could even draw it wider to account for outliers, and then adjust the percentages as needed.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13693 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:57 pm to
Posted by Drunken Crawfish
Member since Apr 2017
3858 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Everyone fire up your YETIS right fricking now. Start making some ice in there. Tomorrow at 5 we gonna meet at Cypremort Point n dump that all and cool that water like that


I laughed way too hard at this.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Don’t you all get tired of arguing over the same thing in every hurricane thread? Haven’t most of you been here long enough to understand the basics of what’s going on? It’s every storm thread. The same thing every time.

A retarded monkey can understand a forecast map. It’s not that complicated. Jesus.


if hurricane threads upset you so much maybe you should find something else to do
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

then I turned him off since I don’t see much to support that on local news, on this site or otherwise.

Dude seems like an alarmist


then why did you run to a hurricane thread repost what he posted?

You seem like a drama queen and attention whore
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
14735 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:03 pm to
GFS hates SELA right now

Posted by ABucks11
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
1208 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

How fricked is br given the current forecast?


Well the latest GFS has a 977mb Cat 2 going over BR. So potentially not great.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
20042 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:04 pm to
"Current" Forecast = current is WRONG, Always WRONG 4 - 5 days from landfall
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:05 pm to
hey bro. trying to learn. does the 961 mean cat 3 landfall?
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:05 pm to
Category H
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39371 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:11 pm to
I no longer think this is a FL storm, a little late to the game but I’ve been busy all day. I hate this setup.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
80940 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:11 pm to
quote:

Category M
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67107 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:11 pm to
quote:

"Current" Forecast = current is WRONG, Always WRONG 4 - 5 days from landfall

Is it?
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
26157 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:12 pm to
Sweet! Another iteration of Conegate 2020!
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67107 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

I no longer think this is a FL storm, a little late to the game but I’ve been busy all day. I hate this setup.

I just want to know which model you're throwing out this time. First it was the Euro and GFS. Then, the HMON and HWRF had to go. Which one is next?
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22798 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:15 pm to
could finally be SELA’s turn. Looking more and more possible that it could be a major hurricane at landfall and the models have been deadset on SELA for the past 24H+ now.

Do y’all think we get a hurricane warning here as soon as tomorrow?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
52907 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:16 pm to
Hurricane Supplies Errand Traffic Update

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
97184 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:18 pm to
Looks like it hates south central La to me
Posted by Fratigerguy
Member since Jan 2014
4855 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

Looking more and more possible that it could be a major hurricane at landfall


And nearly every model shows that this isn’t the case.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39371 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

I just want to know which model you're throwing out this time. First it was the Euro and GFS. Then, the HMON and HWRF had to go. Which one is next?


Euro has been shite all year.


What I said has nothing to do with any model. Just with the fact that it’s just not doing what I thought it would yesterday. I’m just treating this as a personal journal honestly.

Models will likely shift back East at some point though. I wasn’t expecting the LLC to be as south as it is.

This is a no bueno setup for SELA
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