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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:09 pm to
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:09 pm to
Euro has been awful this season period.

Something to note on the ensembles is they're very tightly packed within a few hundred miles even this far out. That says a lot.

If this stays I'm trying to figure out where would be a good place to rent a hotel. Too early to know for sure. My grandmother is on oxygen I'd have to take her with us. Man this fricking sucks. I hate this year.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43474 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Once it hits the gulf this is gonna turn into a bad arse bitch.




The gulf is actually not very conducive to strengthening right now, and is generally not thought to be able to sustain a major hurricane.

I think your post sealed that deal.
Posted by NolaTiger52
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2018
1962 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:10 pm to
So it’s going to weaken from a cat 3 before landfall?
Posted by JackieTreehorn
Malibu
Member since Sep 2013
33050 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:11 pm to
Destroya is already making a list of what she’s going to buy with the FEMA money.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
124288 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:11 pm to
Every time I see an "M" it makes me freak out a bit.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:11 pm to
Mama Miiiiiiaa
Posted by habz007
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
4369 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:11 pm to
Though Louisiana landfall spot may not have changed much, the early 1-2 day cone is significantly west from yesterday.

The 10pm/1am overnight cone didn’t incorporate Yucatan and Cozumel at all. It was westernmost Cuba. Now Cuba has been removed from that cone with significant shift to Yucatan. That early cone was much too tight.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:12 pm to
Are we going to have to change it to how many M's the forecast shifts?
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
14735 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:12 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
90105 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

When I say originally projected, I meant that the original hooking NE would mostly miss my service territory.




Gotcha. Yeah I guess you could say central/western MS away from the coast is trending the wrong direction.
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
10319 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Usually when they cancel schools it ends up being a bright sunny day.

Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
15869 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

That is over the top, but Cat 3 in the central GOM is in the cards.
How much strength it loses on approach to the N gulf is the big question.


Serious question (not trolling).

Why is the water closer to the coast (on the shelf) cooler? Its shallower so I would think it would be warmer (not having the deep cold water).
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:13 pm to
Don't know for sure the answer to that but I'd imagine it has a lot to do with the waters dumping off into the GOM since they're cooler.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

keep pushing west!




I just met with my adjuster from Laura on friday.
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
7216 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:18 pm to
There has been upwelling close to the coast due to previous storms coupled with the unseasonably early cool we have experienced.

Basically the coastal water never recovered heat loss from prior storm because we have had sustained lower than normal air temps.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
40400 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:19 pm to
quote:


Serious question (not trolling).

Why is the water closer to the coast (on the shelf) cooler? Its shallower so I would think it would be warmer (not having the deep cold water).


Several factors; the previous storms took a lot of the heat, the recent cold front we are currently enjoying, and the colder Miss. River waters.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
14735 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:19 pm to
HWRF rips Delta apart before it makes landfall in SELA
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:21 pm to
Everyone fire up your YETIS right fricking now. Start making some ice in there. Tomorrow at 5 we gonna meet at Cypremort Point n dump that all and cool that water like that
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39296 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

Why is the water closer to the coast (on the shelf) cooler?


Further north (further from equator) so everything isn't as hot.

Plus, the other stuff people have said (Cold river water, upwelling from prior storms, etc)
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
71858 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 4:22 pm to

Steve Caparotta, Ph.D.
@SteveWAFB
·
27m
JUST IN: 4 PM advisory on #Delta indicates winds are up to 70 mph. Now forecast to become a major hurricane in the NW Caribben/Gulf & threaten the northern Gulf Coast by Friday. Some weakening still expected before landfall. #LAwx
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