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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:10 pm to Ancient Astronaut
Stop saying this shite please it's not helping anyone.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:10 pm to Ancient Astronaut
quote:
This thing is landing in Texas. We good.
So Beaumont?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:10 pm to PhillyTiger90
In general, if people in this thread are going to make a guess that is outside of the NHC path or model consensus, they should give some basic reasoning as to why.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:11 pm to ell_13
quote:
So often you end up coming across as a poser. We get multiple examples for every storm.
I'm sorry, who are you?
So I'm a poser for not jumping on this wishcasting bandwagon yall seem to be on. It's like you WANT it to go to Lake Charles. Big fricking deal, the CMC, UKM, and GFS ensembles moved west for a run or two. I'm not seeing anything that makes this a remote likelyhood.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 1:13 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:11 pm to jimbeam
quote:
Baton Rouge will be Gulffront property by 2000
Was supposed to be at Hwy 30/Tanger by 2020. Vividly remember that warning when I was in HS.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:11 pm to GEAUXmedic
Someone who doesn't understand how ensembles work apparently.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:12 pm to Duke
quote:
In general, if people in this thread are going to make a guess that is outside of the NHC path or model consensus, they should give some basic reasoning as to why.
50 miles East of Galveston is in the cone..it's on the 1st page of the thread
EAT: sorry I meant East
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 1:14 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:13 pm to X123F45
quote:
It's only 70 miles from bayou sorrel/ Plaquemine. And that's what's crazy.
Plus, how much will the marsh/waters really negatively impact a storm and weaken it significantly with that track,..not too much...he has a point
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 1:14 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:13 pm to Duke
I think Lafayette and BR are going to both feel the effects the strongest regardless of which model verifies at this point. Anywhere from Cameron to Morgan City is fair game for a landfall until it gets in the GOM and they can narrow it down.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:13 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
50 miles West of Galveston is in the cone..it's on the 1st page of the thread
East?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:13 pm to fatboydave
I bought the last pallet that Rouses had
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:14 pm to PurpleGoldTiger
quote:
50 miles West of Galveston is in the cone..it's on the 1st page of the thread
East?
yeah I edited
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:15 pm to tgrbaitn08
If it continues to make runs that way then you might have something but he's right, the models are just going to keep ping ponging until they all have a very small general area zeroed in. It's a little early to be thinking this thing is going to shift that far west. It hasn't even made a turn yet.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:15 pm to Duke
quote:
In general, if people in this thread are going to make a guess that is outside of the NHC path or model consensus, they should give some basic reasoning as to why.
I agree with this.
The consensus is pretty tight right now due to apparently obvious steering currents set up over the central/eastern gulf and Texas.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:15 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:No different than you calling “anything west of laffy” as “dead wrong.”
So I'm a poser for not jumping on this wishcasting bandwagon yall seem to be on. It's like you WANT it to go to Lake Charles. Big fricking deal, the CMC, UKM, and GFS ensembles moved west for a run or two. I'm not seeing anything that makes this a remote likelyhood.
It’s in the cone. It’s certainly possible. But you want to sound like an expert so badly.
It’s hilarious to witness. 
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:15 pm to jimbeam
Latest Euro stays the same as the previous run as far as landfall location.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 1:16 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:16 pm to tgrbaitn08
Rds, Duke, Slack, Geaux... is there anything showing a shift to the east? Not necessarily a significant shift. Everything keeps shifting west and nothing to the east.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:16 pm to deuce985
ECMWF is way west, nearly at the La/Tx border at 96h if I’m reading it right.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:16 pm to ell_13
quote:
No different than you calling “anything west of laffy” as “dead wrong.”
It’s in the cone. It’s certainly possible. But you want to sound like an expert so badly. It’s hilarious to witness.
I think you just have a hard on for being an a-hole. No one is trying to sound like an expert, it's called having a fricking opinion. But since you disagree with me, give me evidence why you think this storm will make it farther west than Laffy?
And don't say cause the models told you so.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 1:17 pm
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