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Message

re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 2/13/20 at 10:59 am to
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 10:59 am to
quote:

Dead has always been the same definition.


This was precisely my point
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61469 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:01 am to
John Hopkins needs to work on their graph skills.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:01 am to
quote:

First in a 1st world country... although was diagnosed after, so likely wasn’t treated properly. Plus she was 80


do you realize you suffer from the same cognitive biases of all the doomsayers on here? Your cognitive dissonance is looking for every reason to confirm your belief that people are only dying because “it’s China”

There’s a lot of 80 year olds here too you know. Just because you might not fall into that demographic doesn’t make it less important.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11825 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:02 am to
~500 is total. Red line is US portion of ~500 total.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85161 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:05 am to
quote:

do you realize you suffer from the same cognitive biases of all the doomsayers on here?


No I’m just a realist... I’ll go on the facts. And the facts are still that there is no indication this is any more deadly than the yearly flu and will be an issue here in the states or any other developed country.

Sorry not sorry for not being a chicken little.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:07 am to
Oh I see, you go on facts like...

quote:

although was diagnosed after, so likely wasn’t treated properly.


So very “factual”
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85161 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:11 am to
quote:

So very “factual”


I guess you don’t understand what “likely” is... I never said it was fact... But I’ll double down and say she def wasn’t treated properly being they didn’t even know she had it until after death.

But carry on with your sky is falling bullshite
This post was edited on 2/13/20 at 11:12 am
Posted by threeputtforbogie
Addison, TX
Member since Sep 2017
1009 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:13 am to
Which is an absolutely horrible way to show that data. The US has 13 cases and its being shown on a graph that has vertical axis ticks at every 200 cases.
Posted by Malik Agar
Member since Nov 2012
12076 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:17 am to
quote:

the facts are still that there is no indication this is any more deadly than the yearly flu and will be an issue here in the states or any other developed country.

There's also the fact that China has done unprecedented lockdowns/quarantines, is welding people in their apartments, and essentially shutting down everything in huge regions for weeks. The way China is acting tells me that this is either more deadly than the yearly flu, more contagious than the yearly flu, or probably both.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:18 am to
quote:

guess you don’t understand what “likely” is... I never said it was fact... But I’ll double down and say she def wasn’t treated properly being they didn’t even know she had it until after death.


You have zero. And I do mean ZERO evidence that this patient wasn’t treated appropriately. You do however have a serious bias that you just revealed to everyone.

Just because the official test returned positive after death doesn’t mean that they didn’t treat her for suspected coronavirus or viral pneumonia. Maybe they didn’t, but you have no way of knowing.

ETA: just out of curiosity, what treatment is there that you think they didn’t administer?
This post was edited on 2/13/20 at 11:19 am
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85161 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:19 am to
quote:

The way China is acting tells me that this is either more deadly than the yearly flu, more contagious than the yearly flu, or probably both.


I don’t think anyone believes China, but we should have more insight now that the WHO was let in.

But cases outside of China still haven’t skyrocketed yet. Could be the incubation period

Only time will tell.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:20 am to
quote:

Dead has always been the same definition.


Posted by Boat Motor Bandit
Member since Jun 2016
1891 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:25 am to
Honk Kong and Beijing are about to be your next big areas of concern. Probably around the port areas of both first.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85161 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:27 am to
quote:

You have zero. And I do mean ZERO evidence that this patient wasn’t treated appropriately. You do however have a serious bias that you just revealed to everyone.


So you’re saying she was appropriately treated for Coronavirus even though they didn’t know that she has Coronavirus until after she died, so they retroactively treated her for Coronavirus to make up for it

And she was hospitalized on Feb 1 for Pneumonia. So the test took nearly two weeks to come back positive since you’re saying they assumed it was Corona.

Will be interesting to see if any of the docs/nurses come down with it.

And what’s my bias exactly? That I’m not screaming and hoping for an epidemic
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85161 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:29 am to
quote:

Honk Kong


Agree... Lams reluctance to close the border allowed more to come in.

I’ve got a friend there who is still out jogging the city without a mask. DUMB if you ask me, but they won’t listen.
Posted by BayouBengals2679
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2016
159 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:31 am to
It already is an epidemic, technically. I think the word you are looking for is pandemic. Happy to help!
This post was edited on 2/13/20 at 11:33 am
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:34 am to
quote:

So you’re saying she was appropriately treated for Coronavirus even though they didn’t know that she has Coronavirus until after she died, so they retroactively treated her for Coronavirus to make up for it


No. That’s not what I’m saying at all.

I’m saying there is no evidence she wasn’t treated appropriately.

If they sent off the test they obviously had some suspicion. They knew the test wouldn’t come back for 2 weeks. You think they were waiting for the test to treat her?

Do you even know what the appropriate treatment is? You don’t need a positive lab test to treat viral pneumonia empirically. There aren’t many options anyway, it’s mainly supportive care.



Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:47 am to
That’s been my point from the beginning. The treatment is mainly supportive. Your theory that this is only going to be bad in China means you think their supportive capabilities are significantly inferior to ours. That may be true to a minor extent just due to a large population, but people were dying from the beginning before anything was completely overwhelmed.

They have ventilators, they have tamiflu, they have steroids.

This isn’t some disease that requires strict contact precautions, rare medication or a technical surgical procedure where we would have an advantage.
Posted by GeauxTigers2020
Member since Sep 2013
28667 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:48 am to
(no message)
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11960 posts
Posted on 2/13/20 at 11:49 am to
Somewhere in China, a bean/rice counter has the numbers of deaths from previous years. Somewhere, that counter is going to create a graph that averages five years (or so) of data to show how, each day, more people added to the number the day before makes a graph slope.

I really want to see that hypothetical graph overlaying the graphs we are seeing from Hubei province.

One thing I thought I saw in the "number of new cases confirmed" reports was that it almost always dropped on Saurday (reported here Sundays). We never have seen the number of new cases as a percentage of the number of tests administered , and then a split out in "Tests administered" into new patients v. retests of previous negatives.

And finally, we'll never know the competence of the technicians the internal tests for reproducibility and the purity of the "test" much less which tests are used and or not used.
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