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Message

re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 7/23/20 at 1:09 pm to
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25919 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 1:09 pm to
JAMA paper out of Canada looking at death rates in LTC facilities.

quote:

Key Points

Question How does the risk of death from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) among residents of long-term care (LTC) homes compare with that among the general population?

Findings In this cohort study of 627 LTC facilities, the incidence rate ratio for COVID-19–related death among LTC residents was 13 times higher than that among community-living adults older than 69 years.

Meaning In this study, the risk of COVID-19–related death was elevated among LTC residents, highlighting the need for improved infection control, widespread testing, access to personal protective equipment, and other supports to protect this vulnerable population.



Makes sense, as the folks in LTC facilities would likely be sicker/weaker than folks of the same age that aren't in homes.
Posted by Spankum
The Sip
Member since Jan 2007
62280 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 8:55 pm to
quote:

He was in his late 60's-early 70's, diabetic and on supplemental oxygen, so multiple co-morbidities. Not that it makes it any better.


No, it doesn’t change a thing....if not for Covid, your cousin would still be here. Sorry for your loss...
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25919 posts
Posted on 7/24/20 at 9:02 am to
Another preprint in regards to cross reactivity of immunity because of previous human coronaviruses.


quote:

SARS-CoV-2 S-reactive antibodies were readily detectable by a sensitive flow cytometrybased
method in SARS-CoV-2-uninfected individuals and were particularly prevalent in children and
adolescents.




Not a huge sample size, but school-aged kids have higher prevalence of cross-reactivity than adults.

quote:

Public health measures intended to prevent the spread of SARS-CoV-2 will also prevent the spread of and, consequently, maintenance of herd immunity to HCoVs, particularly in children.
This post was edited on 7/24/20 at 9:04 am
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25919 posts
Posted on 7/24/20 at 9:19 am to
Figure off of twitter examining the current deaths based on the latitudinal-seasonal patterns of CoviD based on the Hope-Simmons seasonal flu chart.



Instead of 30 degrees North being the inflection as it is for flu, they're saying it's 35 degrees north for SARS 2.0.



Axes: dates on the bottom; deaths per billion on the right.
This post was edited on 7/24/20 at 9:21 am
Posted by Mystictiger
Florida
Member since Jul 2015
2707 posts
Posted on 7/25/20 at 6:39 am to
Does anyone happen to know the average amount of times someone takes a covid-19 test? Counting only those who have had the test before.
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13136 posts
Posted on 7/25/20 at 7:06 am to
Interesting chart, it takes a while to figure out what it's trying to say. It's predicting a huge spike in the south temperate, comparable to north temperate. That's hard to see because the population is pretty low (Australia, NZ, S. Africa, Chile, Argentina, Antarctica). North Temperate is Europe, US, Russia, Canada. Very different cultures and behaviors that go well beyond the weather.

Australia is having a spike, though, and it will be interesting to see if it can be contained. But Canada is as well, and they look similar, despite being supposed opposites.

I'd guess tropical deaths are pretty under-counted. Brazil, India, Mexico...
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3206 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 8:22 am to
I’m wondering if you need to have a high caseload (10% of the population or so) to start to be able to contextualize the risk.

Australia crawling back into a bunker - with a total case load 1/8th of Louisiana (1/32nd of Louisiana on a per capita basis).

LINK
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 9:27 am to
Just a heads up. Military doctors are heading into Baton Rouge again. Things are heating up again.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 9:52 am to
quote:

Military doctors are heading into Baton Rouge again. Things are heating up again.


Source?

What’s heating up? The cases appear to have plateaued
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:08 am to
Family member that works at BRG hospital.
Posted by klrstix
Shreveport, LA
Member since Oct 2006
3577 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:11 am to
I am guessing but.. It would seem our Governor has asked for assistance to handle the overflow of covid patients...

Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:16 am to
What does your family member do?

Are they there to help with vaccine trials? BR hasn’t had enough cases to be even close to capacity and everything is leveling off.

Doesn’t make sense.
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25919 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:18 am to
quote:

What does your family member do?

Are they there to help with vaccine trials? BR hasn’t had enough cases to be even close to capacity and everything is leveling off.

Doesn’t make sense.


Goes with OLOL saying their CoviD patients are increasing, BRG also saw an increase.

BRG reducing numbers of elective surgeries/available rooms for elective surgeries. (Inside sauce.)
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:22 am to
I know for a fact the numbers are:

BRG bluebonnet - 42
BRG mid city - 25

Can they really not handle 67 patients between 2 hospitals? BRG isn’t even in the top 12 hospitals in the state as far as covid patients go.

The ventilator usage hasn’t increased. I have that information too.
This post was edited on 7/27/20 at 10:23 am
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:22 am to
quote:

BRG reducing numbers of elective surgeries/available rooms for elective surgeries. (Inside sauce.)


OLOL is doing this too!
Posted by Commander Data
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2016
7291 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:26 am to
We have about 22 employees at my company and we have 7 out of work with covid-19 right now. We are around restaurant workers every day servicing shake machines, fry vats, grills, ac units etc and right now the McDonald's stores are the only ones that seem to be serious about wearing masks and going the extra mile with hygiene and cleanliness. Some of the other stores are nasty and the employees dgaf but our guys could have picked up the virus on their on time shopping and what not.

My best friend is out with it and he had a tough time for like 3 days but after that he barely showed any sign of having it at all. I think folks are freaking out for no reason.
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25919 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:27 am to
quote:

I know for a fact the numbers are:

BRG bluebonnet - 42
BRG mid city - 25

Can they really not handle 67 patients between 2 hospitals? BRG isn’t even in the top 12 hospitals in the state as far as covid patients go.

The ventilator usage hasn’t increased. I have that information too.


Maybe it's the governor and the hospital execs playing politics and being ultra safe.

I dunno, man. Have to look like you're doing something, regardless of if it's necessary or correct.
This post was edited on 7/27/20 at 10:29 am
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:28 am to

7/19



7/24

Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:31 am to
quote:

My best friend is out with it and he had a tough time for like 3 days but after that he barely showed any sign of having it at all. I think folks are freaking out for no reason.


Sure if you are young and healthy there is a good chance of just a cold. Now on the other side of the fence, not so good.
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25919 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:46 am to
quote:

Now on the other side of the fence, not so good.


Commander Data knows all about the other side of the fence.
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