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Message
CDC releases new estimates of Coronavirus fatality rate
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:53 am
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:53 am
CDC
So if 1/3 of all cases are asymptomatic It means the CDC’s best guess is:
Infection fatality rate is 0.26% total
0.87% over 65
0.134% 50-65
0.033% under 50
quote:
the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is estimating that about a third of coronavirus infections are asymptomatic.
The CDC also says its "best estimate" is that 0.4% of people who show symptoms and have Covid-19 will die, and the agency estimates that 40% of coronavirus transmission is occurring before people feel sick.
quote:
For people age 65 and older, the CDC puts that number at 1.3%. For people 49 and under, the agency estimated that 0.05% of symptomatic people will die.
So if 1/3 of all cases are asymptomatic It means the CDC’s best guess is:
Infection fatality rate is 0.26% total
0.87% over 65
0.134% 50-65
0.033% under 50
37
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:55 am to WaWaWeeWa
This will go down as the biggest, most expensive overreaction in history.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:57 am to WaWaWeeWa
People will use this to further whatever they already believed.
But somewhere around .3-.5% has been a pretty common range discussed on this board and elsewhere since the early weeks of this.
But somewhere around .3-.5% has been a pretty common range discussed on this board and elsewhere since the early weeks of this.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:57 am to WaWaWeeWa
shite. The numbers are simply too high. Better shut down businesses for another 3 months, just to be sure. Worldwide recession, market collapse, foreclosures, unemployment, and more is but a small price to pay for something with only a 99.6% chance to live through.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:58 am to WaWaWeeWa
Shut it back down.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:58 am to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
Infection fatality rate is 0.26% total
0.87% over 65
0.134% 50-65
0.033% under 50
So dare I say it.....similar to the flu?
This post was edited on 5/22/20 at 7:59 am
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:58 am to WaWaWeeWa
And 36M lost jobs
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:58 am to fallguy_1978
quote:
This will go down as the biggest, most expensive overreaction in history.
Yeah, probably.
But at scale, this thing moved pretty quickly, so even with that low fatality rate it means a fairly large number of people will have died.
Fear drove this thing, though.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:58 am to WaWaWeeWa
Does this include the people who died from shite like car wrecks, but were tested after there were dead and if they tested positive for COVID19, they counted it as a "coronavirs death"?
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:58 am to TDcline
This is where people decide to forget that the concern was about the spread and infection rate overwhelming hospitals and increasing the mortality rate beyond what it normally would be.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 7:59 am to WaWaWeeWa
Good thing the country got shut down for what ended up being a different stain of the flu. Stupid fricks
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:00 am to WaWaWeeWa
Reddit “shut down for 6 more months”
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:00 am to DollaChoppa
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/8/20 at 5:43 pm
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:01 am to Pettifogger
quote:Fake news. The early estimates even here were 0.6-1.0%. Most people would point to SK and say that even 0.6% is 6 times deadlier than the flu.
But somewhere around .3-.5%
This is 0.26%. A bad flu season and twice as bad as a regular flu season. Add in how little this impacts kids and the working class, and this will go down as the dumbest worldwide reaction in history.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:01 am to WaWaWeeWa
This event created so many libertarians. We got front row seats into what government incompetence and overreach really looks like.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:02 am to Eighteen
Lets. Politicize. Everything!
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:02 am to WaWaWeeWa
Ridiculous.
Our economy is tanked and American psyche is damaged. The political divide has grown wider and there’s no telling how nasty things will get going into the election.
Our economy is tanked and American psyche is damaged. The political divide has grown wider and there’s no telling how nasty things will get going into the election.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:02 am to DollaChoppa
quote:
This is where people decide to forget that the concern was about the spread and infection rate overwhelming hospitals and increasing the mortality rate beyond what it normally would be.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:02 am to WaWaWeeWa
Don’t think you can just add those numbers up to get 0.23%. It would be an average of those three numbers, depending on the number of people in each age group.
Posted on 5/22/20 at 8:04 am to DollaChoppa
quote:This was politicized from day one. The lockdown itself was a result of the prevalent cancel culture and politicians being afraid of looking like they were doing nothing.
Lets. Politicize. Everything!
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