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re: Big Cold Blast Coming - Increasing chances of ice/light snow flurries Tuesday afternoon

Posted on 1/15/18 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43074 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Looks like a proper snow day coming for DFW. Austin going to be a mess too


They upped the wind adv to 20-25 w/ gusts to 40.

only need 35 sustained for a blizzard
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146553 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

They upped the wind adv to 20-25 w/ gusts to 40.

only need 35 sustained for a blizzard

gonna get some blizzard advisories in the DFW?
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7722 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:06 pm to
I have a fun two days heading through ATL to Providence RI and back
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43074 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:07 pm to
quote:


gonna get some blizzard advisories in the DFW?


They need to up the winds another 10mph for that to happen.

Only 20-25 right now. Will gust above 35 though.

They also mentioned this snow will be the northern powder kind. Whatever the hell that means.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:19 pm to
What's interesting is that if all the long range forcast hold up for the rest of January the average high will be 55.8 degrees F for January 2018. That's 5.2 degrees below the average high of 61 degrees F for the month of January.

About the same for the average low of 40 degrees F. We are forecast to average 39 degrees F for the low in January 2018.

This is data is for Covington.

Also look at this (circled in red):



That is some cold July and August mornings right there.
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22421 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

but we it all stuck and the roads iced over and the fact that no onw has any snow removal equipment, every one was stuck.


You could’ve been a snow plow driver from Minnesota and had trouble with those road conditions. The streets were literally skating rink quality ice. Never seen anything like it.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

You could’ve been a snow plow driver from Minnesota and had trouble with those road conditions. The streets were literally skating rink quality ice. Never seen anything like it.


There's no driving on straight up ice like that. Much less if you have the hills of Birmingham.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
24792 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:36 pm to
So is it going to snow in southern LA?
Posted by Flanders
Member since May 2008
9936 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:46 pm to
If we don't shut down our office in Homewood by 10am tomorrow I will be leaving regardless.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40594 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 1:49 pm to
As to North Louisiana specifically, I think something being lost in all this hype is the fact that we don't get above freezing until Thursday. Usually we wake up to a snow and it's all melted by the end of the day.

Shreveport:

This post was edited on 1/15/18 at 1:51 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

So is it going to snow in southern LA?


Maybe. Yeah I know, not really an answer, but that's the best we got. Model runs have trended wetter for SELa, but they are still drying out for the most part as it comes over us. So I'd hedge that there will be a flurry or two with no accumulation at this time. Could be a surprise inch or two, with odds better the farther NW you go. Could dry up before it even gets to BR.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
24792 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Maybe


I knew it. I give up.
Posted by MrLarson
Member since Oct 2014
34984 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

The streets were literally skating rink quality ice. Never seen anything like it.


Once I got out of downtown I was able to go anywhere I wanted to. I am missing my excursion right about now. I should have drove it down here last night.
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23469 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:18 pm to
I am done with the unusual LA winter. Gimme back mid 90's with 1000% humidity.
Posted by the paradigm
Moon Township, PA
Member since Sep 2017
5417 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

So is it going to snow in southern LA?



No
Posted by BrohemAlem11
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
13377 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:30 pm to
work for a stubborn arse supervisor here in Shreveport. She's from Michigan so "don't wanna hear it"... what are the chances I wake up with a legit excuse to not be able to come in tomorrow?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:40 pm to


NAM keeping the line through SEla for the first time. Following the global trend of more moisture in place.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40594 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

what are the chances I wake up with a legit excuse to not be able to come in tomorrow?


I don't know. My 4 year old has never seen snow, so I'm rooting for it.

Seems like there was a chance, then they backed off, then today they are more bullish.

I saw one graphic that had the heaviest estimated totals(2-4") on a line from Carthage, TX to Shreveport to Eldorado, AR towards Memphis.
This post was edited on 1/15/18 at 2:58 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:43 pm to
Shreveport?

You've got a winter storm watch/warning in place with a good 2" probable. In Shreveport, that's probably not advisable to drive through.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146553 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

work for a stubborn arse supervisor here in Shreveport. She's from Michigan so "don't wanna hear it"... what are the chances I wake up with a legit excuse to not be able to come in tomorrow?

everything seems good for you to tell her to f off
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