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re: Big Cold Blast Coming - Increasing chances of ice/light snow flurries Tuesday afternoon

Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:20 pm to
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
71180 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:20 pm to
Rain coming down harder now

Outside of campus

Temperatures continue to drop
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Nam doesn't seem like it is dealing with the precip back in western LA/TX good this run.





It did not. Way too light out to the west. Either it'll start to fade fast or it missed the energy providing the lift over there.
Posted by speedbump032
The Enterprise
Member since Sep 2015
150 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:22 pm to
Freezing drizzle coming down pretty good in Lake Chuck 30 degrees here
This post was edited on 1/16/18 at 2:25 pm
Posted by tigercraig
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
3835 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:23 pm to
Cold dry air moving in fast!
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
45189 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

Rain coming down harder now

Outside of campus

Temperatures continue to drop
You in BR?
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10139 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:24 pm to
Rain picking up in Oak Hills and that flippin wind is COLD!
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:25 pm to
Been raining up near St. Francisville for awhile now no snow but a lot of stuff is starting to ice over
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70813 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:26 pm to
Finally got some decent snow in Kingwood. I was tired of that damn ice.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:26 pm to
quote:


Cold dry air moving in fast!


We'll see. I'm having a hard time with that solution given the moisture to the west and the other models hitting on wetter solutions. That being said, a polar cold front like this would typically dry out with the persistent N/NW flow. Really interesting day for the weather nerds.
Posted by tigercraig
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
3835 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Really interesting day for the weather nerds.


Yep agree.

Just seems to me that the dry air is winning unfortunately
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10139 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Big flip from the widespread 2" I saw on the 12z. 


Got a gif of the latest run?
Posted by vistajay
Member since Oct 2012
2933 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:29 pm to
So what time today in NOLA are my employees going to start demanding to leave early to avoid the iced over roads?
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
9103 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:30 pm to
Raining pretty steady by 10/Acadian, will not be a fun morning tomorrow if it gets down in the teens/ low 20s tonight
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
45189 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:30 pm to
shite... I'm in NOLA but live on north shore. Guess I better leave soon.
Posted by tigercraig
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
3835 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

So what time today in NOLA are my employees going to start demanding to leave early to avoid the iced over roads?


Haha same here

I let mine go at 12:30 today in BR
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10139 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:30 pm to
quote:


Just seems to me that the dry air is winning unfortunately


Meaning, it will take all precip out or just the potential of snow?
Posted by tigercraig
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
3835 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

Meaning, it will take all precip out or just the potential of snow?


Something will still fall. Pretty good shower now at highland/Perkins. If the dry air wins out the precip will just be lighter and end sooner
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:34 pm to
Don't have a gif of the NAM yet, but it dries out the precip line pretty quickly. The GFS and HRRR model soundings don't show that though, with even points over toward Lake Charles having a moist column up to 500 mb.

quote:

Meaning, it will take all precip out or just the potential of snow?


Dry air really starts winning, it'll eat up all the precip. You'd expect to see the line really start to fade west and north of us if that's the way this goes. That's not what I'm expecting but it's a perfectly reasonable solution with a front driving all of this.
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
24053 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Raining pretty steady by 10/Acadian, will not be a fun morning tomorrow if it gets down in the teens/ low 20s tonight


shite it's already below freezing. Driving conditions will be horrific tomorrow.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10139 posts
Posted on 1/16/18 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

. If the dry air wins out the precip will just be lighter and end sooner


Gotcha. So just shitty roads.
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