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re: Analysis of LA's Covid Numbers - Deaths and Cases Only by Age

Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:17 pm to
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

So if JBE adds additional closures today, know that there's no statistical, scientific basis for it.


Where did you go to medical school and how long have you worked for the CDC? Just curious.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
60834 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

treyk89
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
86758 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

Where did you go to medical school and how long have you worked for the CDC?
I work in Nuclear Cyber Security. You are welcome to dispute any of the data and conclusions I've posted. Or you can simply ignore them as you've done here. It's a really convincing argument.
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
11102 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

Where did you go to medical school and how long have you worked for the CDC? Just curious.


What does this have to do with being able to comprehend statistical data that refutes what our supposed leaders are using to scare us?
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
58385 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

Where did you go to medical school and how long have you worked for the CDC? Just curious.



Are you incapable of analyzing the numbers or thinking for yourself?
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
16417 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:30 pm to
4 deaths under 18 in 4 months.

Online schooling only!!!
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
60834 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

Where did you go to medical school and how long have you worked for the CDC? Just curious.




Where did the medical experts and such go to medical school up in New York? The ones who were responsible for allowing covid positive elderly to be sent back to nursing homes?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
86758 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

4 deaths under 18 in 4 months.

Online schooling only!!!
Not sure if sarcastic these days.

The dumbest argument has been about protect kids... As if these kids haven't been in day cares, camps, play dates, in sports, etc. They haven't been quarantining.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13623 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:51 pm to
No. I’m not

I am The adult that watched a bunch of kids crowd into bars and create an outbreak with several that came back home and infected older people, some of which are in the hospital.

Now these kids are either idiots or, like many on this site, just don’t believe that it’s dangerous and therefore don’t care.
I tend to believe the latter but can’t completely dismiss the former.

Either way, what is a sign in a bar or restaurant going to do to make a difference?

Posted by TXLSUCHE
Houston, Tx
Member since Sep 2005
574 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:51 pm to
Not to nitpick the OP, but I think the more indicative death % would be to calculate it relative to the number of cases in each age group category (not against the total # of deaths). It would be:

<18 - 7,501 Cases (7.9%) and 4 Deaths (0.05%)
18-29 - 20,995 Cases (22.13%) and 12 Deaths (0.06%)
30-49 - 29,919 Cases (31.53%) and 188 Deaths (0.63%)
50-59 - 13,971 Cases (14.72%) and 306 Deaths (2.19%)
60-69 - 10,891 (11.48%) Cases and 611 Deaths (5.61%)
70+ - 11,445 Cases (12.06%) and 2,341 Deaths (20.45%)
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
86758 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

I am The adult that watched a bunch of kids crowd into bars and create an outbreak with several that came back home and infected older people, some of which are in the hospital.
What do you expect will happen when we send millions of kids and college students back to school? Wouldn't it have been nice if the "peak" in cases had already happened instead of pushing it to football/flu season?
quote:

Now these kids are either idiots or, like many on this site, just don’t believe that it’s dangerous and therefore don’t care.
Dangerous for whom?
quote:

what is a sign in a bar or restaurant going to do to make a difference?
Case load for that age group means nothing. If you're over 60 though and you choose not to come in contact with that age group, good for you. Welcome to being a responsible person.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
86758 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Not to nitpick the OP, but I think the more indicative death % would be to calculate it relative to the number of cases in each age group category (not against the total # of deaths).
My purpose was to show which age groups were most impacted. A percentage of the total within that age group does not convey the overall spread of deaths. The percentages you gave is the crude death rate which means even less because we don't have good case totals. Also, the two percentage numbers would not be consistent and would be misleading.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13623 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 2:51 pm to
I expect that kids will understand the risks and not crowd into the bars.

Covid is dangerous for people over 60.

These kids acting stupid and then went and spread it to people at risk.

What are you having trouble understanding?
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