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Does Vegas know?

Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:11 am
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
129774 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:11 am
Odds on favorite on most betting sites is now Jordyn Tyson. Wasn't the case a week ago, its trended that way all week.

He is +270 (I believe was +220 early this morning)

Next closest are:

Tate +460
Delane +460
Bain +550
Downs +950

(Tate is +250 to DC)

Will be interesting to see how the line moves today. Sharps are usually pretty wise to the draft. Surprised it didn't move more given Loomis's "risk averse" comments.
Posted by Allons PonPon
Member since Dec 2025
59 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:13 am to
Posted by Townedrunkard
Member since Jan 2019
14835 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:14 am to
Banks wasn’t even in top 7 I think last year for odds for us.
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
23804 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:18 am to
Kellen said after the draft they were surprised he was still on the board for them, probably why
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
475503 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:22 am to
I have a feeling that would be similar to Love this year
This post was edited on 4/23/26 at 9:27 am
Posted by saints5021
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
19453 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:26 am to
Most mocks had Banks going in the 6-8 range.
Posted by Townedrunkard
Member since Jan 2019
14835 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:30 am to
It’s where there’s money to be made. Have to lay it down on someone unexpected to fall.

I may lay some down on Styles.
This post was edited on 4/23/26 at 9:31 am
Posted by bonethug0180
Avondale
Member since Jul 2018
5399 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 9:45 am to
quote:

Banks wasn’t even in top 7 I think last year for odds for us.
Because he had odds to go higher. He wasn't expected to slip, so the odds of him slipping were low and thus the low odds of us drafting him.

This is different than if a player expected to go in our range or lower has low odds, because then it is saying we aren't likely to take them even though they are likely to be there.

This would be like Styles falling to us. I'm sure our odds to draft him are lower, but not because we wouldn't take him.
This post was edited on 4/23/26 at 9:47 am
Posted by DamageInc
Member since Jan 2025
1070 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 10:14 am to
Tyson is the pick. Underhill has been signaling it for about 2 weeks now.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
35472 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 10:37 am to
Wild guess here, but I think what the Giants do will determine what the Saints do. I think the Saints have Tyson as their No. 1 target. Most think the first team that could realistically take him is NYG at 5. I don't think the Saints will want to pay the cost to move up from 8 to 4 (just ahead of NYG) to take Tyson.

However, if NYG does not take Tyson, then I could see the Saints trading with Cleveland at 6 to jump ahead of Washington to make sure they get Tyson. If NYG takes Tyson at 5, then the Saints stay put at 8
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
129774 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 10:55 am to
Tyson currently at +240

We really need to look about 3 hours pre draft. That is usually when the books used to traditionally stop betting because too many sharps knew the picks by then (however the online books now don't and even do live betting on the draft)
Posted by Townedrunkard
Member since Jan 2019
14835 posts
Posted on 4/23/26 at 11:06 am to
quote:

This would be like Styles falling to us. I'm sure our odds to draft him are lower, but not because we wouldn't take him.


I know, I’m just saying Vegas had long odds on us picking him. Just laid some money down on Stykes in case it happens again. I’ll make 500 if he does slide to us.
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