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538: Saints have a 27% chance of winning the SB

Posted on 12/11/18 at 12:43 pm
Posted by hsfolk
Member since Sep 2009
18539 posts
Posted on 12/11/18 at 12:43 pm
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
64222 posts
Posted on 12/11/18 at 12:55 pm to
Damn. Best percentage

Feel like Seattle is a bit low. They seem to be coming on a bit more as a complete team compared to basically anyone but us.
This post was edited on 12/11/18 at 12:56 pm
Posted by Hoodoo Man
Sunshine Pumping most days.
Member since Oct 2011
31637 posts
Posted on 12/11/18 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Feel like Seattle is a bit low. They seem to be coming on a bit more as a complete team compared to basically anyone but us.

If that OL can consistently protect Wilson, the team would be beastly.
Wilson is great, but he is sometimes running for his life.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38785 posts
Posted on 12/11/18 at 1:04 pm to
32% if they win out
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81750 posts
Posted on 12/11/18 at 3:42 pm to
Well if Nate Silver says it...

Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
65688 posts
Posted on 12/11/18 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

32% if they win out
Ummm....

100% if they win out.
Posted by lsufan_26
Member since Feb 2004
12559 posts
Posted on 12/11/18 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

100% if they win out.

Posted by WhiskeyPlease
Member since Sep 2018
1959 posts
Posted on 12/11/18 at 11:42 pm to
Dont let that distract you from the fact that Falcons have a -1% chance of winning the SB.,
Posted by W0094545
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2008
204 posts
Posted on 12/12/18 at 4:52 am to
Are you sure about Atlanta being minus 1%. I thought it was minus 28.3%. You may want to look again lol
Posted by DeepBlueSea
Member since Jan 2018
773 posts
Posted on 12/12/18 at 9:04 am to
Nice. At least 6 percentage points above any AFC team, and almost 2x more likely than the Rams’ calculated chances. I’ll take those odds.

quote:

Are you sure about Atlanta being minus 1%. I thought it was minus 28.3%.


Nobody’s getting minus anything if we’re talking probability. But giving the Falcons even a >1% chance of winning the SB this year seems generous and no less realistic than a -28.3% probability, so why split hairs?
Posted by W0094545
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2008
204 posts
Posted on 12/13/18 at 8:36 am to
quote:

Nobody’s getting minus anything if we’re talking probability. But giving the Falcons even a >1% chance of winning the SB this year seems generous and no less realistic than a -28.3% probability, so why split hairs?


Haha....it was a reference to them blowing a 28-3 lead in the Superbowl against New England
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
17890 posts
Posted on 12/13/18 at 8:44 am to
quote:

Nobody’s getting minus anything if we’re talking probability.

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