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re: What to do about Lonzo Ball?

Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:25 pm to
Posted by MeanWeen225
Member since Nov 2020
253 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:25 pm to
I mean yeah, if someone offers him over $20 mil a year, then you have to let him walk. Hopefully SVG waits until year two to give him good coaching
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110832 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

I mean yeah, if someone offers him over $20 mil a year, then you have to let him walk.
Or...we can trade him to one of those teams that overvalue him.

If they overvalue him, we'd likely get a solid return.

Like the last post on the last page stated, if you concede he can't get to the rim, then he's really just a 3 and D guy, and those guys shouldn't command high salaries.
Posted by MeanWeen225
Member since Nov 2020
253 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:32 pm to
If we get a great offer from a team that over values him, then yes certainly consider that offer. I don't think we should trade him because we are worried that someone will over pay for him though. I think you take that risk, and then consider a sign and trade if he is getting huge offers. I will say that if he does get huge offers next year, it means that he got much better.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38768 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:38 pm to
quote:

I mean yeah, if someone offers him over $20 mil a year

nobody is offering lonzo ball 20MM
Posted by MeanWeen225
Member since Nov 2020
253 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:41 pm to
I completely agree, Lonzo's next contract will be about what his rookie contract is. Around 4 years, 40-45 mil total
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38768 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:45 pm to
ingram on 25% max for at least four years
zion on rookie scale for three more, then 25% max
so in that fourth year of ingram 50% of the cap for two players

there is no chance that lonzo overlaps that fourth year
sucks for him but he’s not the guy
that third slot is for a whale and they need to stay flexible
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61492 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

nobody is offering lonzo ball 20MM


Up until a week ago I wouldn't have agreed, but the Knicks seemed to operate like a normal team this offseason. They even brought Elfrid back for half price.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38768 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:53 pm to
I’m struggling to imagine what an RFA offer sheet for him would look like...he’s clearly an NBA player but he just doesn’t warrant a 4 yr guaranteed deal at market rate.

his future is as Austin rivers 2.0
Posted by MeanWeen225
Member since Nov 2020
253 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:54 pm to
That's a good point. If you have 2 max players, you should be a team either in the luxury tax or close to it, and advancing in the playoffs every year. Hopefully we get there soon.

But yes, we can't surround Zion and BI with role players who make around $15 mil a year. Hopefully we can use some of these draft picks to bring in good players on rookie contracts.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61492 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

But yes, we can't surround Zion and BI with role players who make around $15 mil a year. Hopefully we can use some of these draft picks to bring in good players on rookie contracts.


In theory Kira and Jaxon will be the other medium-high priced core pieces and the rest should be veteran role players and use our wealth of picks to have a revolving door of developing rookie scale role players like the Spurs have always had.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38768 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 7:08 pm to
yes the pels have to make some decisions relatively soon (in the next two years). They have some breathing room with all the rookie scale contracts they will have but cannot have a middling guy clogging the gears

like I said it sucks for lonzo but it’s just bad timing for him here
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38768 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 7:42 pm to
Shamit

quote:

I mean this with total sincerity but if the Hawks miss on Bogdanovic, Lonzo would be a really good fit with their starters. Between Trae, Gallo and Collins, Lonzo would make everyone's lives easier. He would feed them all.

hard to argue with that
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17838 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 7:42 pm to
The funny thing is that Lonzo's assist to turnover ratio was 2.8 and 2.5 in his two season with the Lakers. As a Pelican last year, his ratio dropped to only 2.3.

So, I gotta think that Gentryball simply wasn't a good fit for him. I think that with a better, more disciplined approach in the half-court, Lonzo can be much more effective.

To me, the thing that makes Lonzo worth some risk is that he completely reworked his shot last year and improved his 3-pt percentage from 33% to 39%, while also adding volume. It's clear to me that Lonzo is far from a finished product; he certainly will continue to improve -- the question is how much?
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 7:46 pm to
We need to keep hyping him up regardless if he’s has a future or not.

The narratives were starting to swing on him before he was a disaster in the bubble.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
32445 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

his future is as Austin rivers 2.0


This is a terrible take
Posted by supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
10388 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 8:01 pm to
Yea... I think I’ll wait and see how SVG utilizes him and see how much improvement he makes this season before talking about him as an afterthought. If he make dramatic improvements in his game like he did his 3 point shot, he’s not going anywhere.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
32445 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 8:12 pm to
Even if his future isn’t with the Pels, he’s not going to be a minimum level guy in 4 years.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38768 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 8:29 pm to
rivers’ second contract was 3/33.
hardly minimum
you really think lonzo is going to do better than that?

obviously I disagree but make a case.
who is going to pay lonzo 4/60? Or even 4/45?
This post was edited on 11/24/20 at 8:30 pm
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
32445 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 8:34 pm to
Rivers’ second contract was 2/6.5 with a player option

If the Pels could sign him for 3/45 they would almost assuredly do that

ETA: the Pels didn’t even tender Rivers a QO because he was so bad, I guarantee they put a QO out there for Lonzo.
This post was edited on 11/24/20 at 8:37 pm
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38768 posts
Posted on 11/24/20 at 8:39 pm to
yes sorry, he basically made rookie money for 4 years (just like lonzo).
he then signed 3/33, which is what I meant by Austin 2.0.

I’m saying lonzo isn’t likely signing a new 4 year deal at market scale after this season. That’s all
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