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Message
So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:13 am
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:13 am
5
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:16 am to Me Bite
They may have a 36% shot at coming in 6th, but that's roughly the same odds as them coming in at either 3rd or 5th.
Picking somewhere in that range isn't a bad thing considering that there are probably 4-6 guys worth taking high in the draft, between Noel, McLemore, Smart, Burke, Porter, etc.
Picking somewhere in that range isn't a bad thing considering that there are probably 4-6 guys worth taking high in the draft, between Noel, McLemore, Smart, Burke, Porter, etc.
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:19 am to teke184
quote:
but that's roughly the same odds as them coming in at either 3rd or 5th.
Not according to the chart above
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:21 am to teke184
quote:
between Noel, McLemore, Smart, Burke, Porter, etc.
I really like Etc. That dude can ball!
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:22 am to Me Bite
quote:
[quote] but that's roughly the same odds as them coming in at either 3rd or 5th.
Not according to the chart above
26% shot at being #5, 10% shot at being #3.
Add the percentages and you get a 36% shot at being #3 OR #5.
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:24 am to Me Bite
quote:
odds are they get the 6th pick
You're looking at it wrong. Picking 6th is the most probable individual outcome, but it is not the most probable outcome.
Picking 6th = 36% chance
Picking 5th or better = 55% chance.
This post was edited on 4/16/13 at 9:25 am
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:34 am to TigerinATL
quote:
Picking 6th = 36% chance
Picking 5th or better = 55% chance.
Was just coming to post something similar.
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:34 am to TigerinATL
quote:
You're looking at it wrong. Picking 6th is the most probable individual outcome, but it is not the most probable outcome.
Picking 6th = 36% chance
Picking 5th or better = 55% chance.
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:36 am to VOR
^what they said
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:37 am to Me Bite
odds we get a top 3 pick 29.2% 
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:44 am to Fearthehat0307
Me dont do math
Posted on 4/16/13 at 9:47 am to Fearthehat0307
quote:
odds we get a top 3 pick 29.2%
Odds of drafting Nerlens Noel = 8.8%
Odds of drafting Otto Porter = 20.4%
Posted on 4/16/13 at 10:08 am to TigerinATL
quote:
Picking 6th = 36% chance
Picking 5th or better = 55% chance.
Good point...
Nerlens in New Orleans would be money!
Posted on 4/16/13 at 1:43 pm to Me Bite
We could start calling him Nerleans
Posted on 4/17/13 at 12:44 am to Me Bite
We are getting #1. Thanks Stern
Posted on 4/17/13 at 9:42 am to Me Bite
Why the shite can we not get 4th?
Posted on 4/17/13 at 9:54 am to Jumbeauxlaya
quote:
Why the shite can we not get 4th?
You can only go up to spots 1 through 3 if you win the lottery.
Even if the teams with the most balls, the Bobcats, Magic, and Cavs, win the first three picks in any order, we still can't jump the Suns for the 4th spot.
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