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re: Jrue not in Bradford Doolittle's Top 15 PG (ESPN)

Posted on 7/29/13 at 1:51 pm to
Posted by tgr4ever
Gwinnett, baw
Member since Jul 2011
16214 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

No way in a million years that DRose is the 8th best PG in the NBA.
He probably ranked him so low because he's coming off of a major injury...

He also ranked Rondo #9
Posted by c on z
Zamunda
Member since Mar 2009
130906 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 1:57 pm to
What is Lowry doing on this list?
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
62446 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

What is Lowry doing on this list?


Lowry is a statistical beast. I remember a few seasons ago hearing that in some stat model Morey uses he was a top 40 player.
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
9028 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 1:59 pm to
So Derrick rose was still 8th best PG in terms of Wins above replacement without even playing a game? That doesn't make any sense
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39153 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 2:02 pm to
mother of god that thing is hideous
Posted by WhoDatPelican596
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2013
783 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 2:02 pm to
Jesus Christ
Posted by tehchampion140
Member since Sep 2010
18891 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 2:08 pm to
Lowry being at 8 and Parker at 13 are enormous jokes. My dog could put together a better top 15.
Posted by RonBurgundy
Whale's Vagina(San Diego)
Member since Oct 2005
13302 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 2:24 pm to
This formula accounts for games played, age/season based production analysis.

Also from his twitter:

quote:

Any time you rank anything, it generates a flood of disagreement. That's the fun part! I'll stop by Twitter later to field some ?s.



his own explanation-
quote:

(Although keep in mind that assigning a primary position to a player in today's NBA is often more art than science.) Over the next two weeks, we'll rank players by position according to ATH's forecasted WARP, or wins above replacement level. WARP is perfect for this kind of exercise because it accounts for a player's efficiency, volume of production and team context. Here are the projected top 10 point guards for the 2013-14 NBA season followed by the next five and an overview of how some notable PGs fell outside the top 10.


quote:

So much wrong with that list that it's not worthy of a true response.

quote:

Who the frick is Bradford Doolittle?


quote:

Never heard of him until today.


quote:

Just goes to show you how flawed WARP is.


Doolittle is one of ESPN's better metric guys, is the co author of Basketball Prospectus and Baseball Prospectus- a pay for site that's a great resource(which uses SCHONE system

He came more into prominence last year with his bi-weekly Big Man Barometer rankings and should be credited with as the first guy to point out the dominance of Andre Drummond,LeBron as a 4,etc.AD as the top rookie last year (and top 5 big)
WARP explained.

I agree WARP isn't perfect, I prefer Win Shares. "Replacement level" is a very subjective term.


Final note: as the case of Tony Parker,he points to the historical drop of point guards this far into his career, but his 7.1 WARP projection puts him in the top 10 at every position but PF (where the small ball 4s and others dominate).
This post was edited on 7/29/13 at 2:53 pm
Posted by mattz1122
Member since Oct 2007
56295 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Lowry is a statistical beast. I remember a few seasons ago hearing that in some stat model Morey uses he was a top 40 player.




And then he traded him for assets.
Posted by ssgtiger
Central
Member since Jan 2011
3283 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

No way in a million years that DRose is the 8th best PG in the NBA.


You saying better or worse?

I have no idea how good he will come back. It seems like he hasn't played in 2 seasons.
Posted by LSU Piston
The 313
Member since Feb 2008
3844 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

ssgtiger


Better.
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
9028 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 5:11 pm to
It obviously doesn't account for defense or having working legs
Posted by MrBlue105
chillin with the BWC - anaconda
Member since Apr 2013
6602 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

So much wrong with that list that it's not worthy of a true response.
Posted by AlaTiger
America
Member since Aug 2006
21638 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 5:35 pm to
No Rondo either.

Does he watch basketball at all?
Posted by Diddles
LA
Member since Apr 2013
6981 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 5:38 pm to
I dunno but his last name is Doolittle
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

So much wrong with that list that it's not worthy of a true response.

Posted by tgr4ever
Gwinnett, baw
Member since Jul 2011
16214 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

No Rondo either.

Does he watch basketball at all?
Again, this is not his opinion, it's based on WARP.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
37052 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 5:57 pm to
It's projected WARP right?
Posted by 1ranter1
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2008
10886 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

13. Tony Parker


Holy shite this dude should not have a job
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
68038 posts
Posted on 7/29/13 at 6:35 pm to
This. That's terrible.
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