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re: Bill Simmons Trade Deadline Trade Value: Pels Edition

Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:22 am to
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
25159 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:22 am to
So in his opinion we would trade Zion straight up (if not with filler) for Lauri Markkenen? the frick is he talking about.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
25159 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:26 am to
quote:

- Jaylin Williams ahead of Chet Holmgren (20 & 21)


He doesnt have Jaylin Williams ahead of Chet. lol. He has Jalen Williams ahead of Chet.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112635 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:26 am to
quote:

CJ makes less money and is arguably playing better than Dame right now. His season is being massively underrated right now

I do agree with all of this, but Dame would still likely have more trade value than CJ right now. I'm not even sure that he's more valuable once you factor in his contract compared to CJ's, but he has the clout.


But yea, CJ's season is massively underrated. He's arguably been our best player. When you look at a few of the metrics with him/BI/Zion, it's all over the place with all 3 being close to each other, and CJ doing it on lesser usage is just impressive.

If we were a legit contender, that would drastically change his value. If we were like 35-15 and the 1 or 2 seed or whatever, CJ would easily have much more value than all of Hawkins/Herb/Trey...it wouldn't even be close IMO.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112635 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:27 am to
quote:

So in his opinion we would trade Zion straight up (if not with filler) for Lauri Markkenen? the frick is he talking about.

That's not how it works. That logic is quite literally impossible to make a trade value ranking out of.
This post was edited on 2/7/24 at 11:28 am
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
25159 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:31 am to
quote:

That's not how it works. That logic is quite literally impossible to make a trade value ranking out of.



Help me understand then. cause ive listened to years of these rankings. and while Lauri makes less hes up for a new contract in a year.

i dont see how "trade value rankings" somehow are impossible to make using.....trade value.


Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
5874 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:40 am to
quote:

CJ makes less money and is arguably playing better than Dame right now. His season is being massively underrated right now


I disagree. Yeah he's playing great but take into consideration age/ contract/ etccc. He isn't top 100 when accounting for future value.
Posted by TotesMcGotes
New York, New York
Member since Mar 2009
27900 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:41 am to
I wouldn’t call Caruso a “poor man’s Herb” though.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112635 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:45 am to
quote:

i dont see how "trade value rankings" somehow are impossible to make using.....trade value.

I'd say this...let's just say the Bucks would not trade Giannis for Luka and the Mavs would not trade Luka for Giannis, then how do you rank one over the other?


Also factor in, trade value, would also mean probably more so how much you could get back in a trade. And going back to your original post, I do think there's very much a legit argument that Lauri could get more value back in a trade than Zion. Right or wrong...I think it's wrong...Zion's own team doesn't even seem to think he's higher on the pecking order than Brandon Ingram. The team has gone out of its way to tell us BI is the #1 and Zion is #2. I imagine there's quite a few other teams who don't have the highest opinion of Zion either.

This post was edited on 2/7/24 at 11:46 am
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112635 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:47 am to
quote:

I wouldn’t call Caruso a “poor man’s Herb” though.

Agreed.

They're pretty darn close to equal, you can make IMO a solid case for either one being better than the other.

The "poor man's line insinuates one is clearly and much better, and that is not the case in either direction I'd say.
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
5874 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:49 am to
I understand where you are coming from as a whole. I also agree with Hester that this can be used as a reference or "base package" comparison.

BI and Bridges are close enough value around the league that if one wants 3/4+ picks or young players then you can easily argue the value can be lopsided there. It doesn't mean that chemistry/stubbornness/ bidding war is irrelevant but it can be used as a factor.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
25159 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 11:56 am to
quote:

I'd say this...let's just say the Bucks would not trade Giannis for Luka and the Mavs would not trade Luka for Giannis, then how do you rank one over the othe


The Jazz would 100% trade Lauri for Zion though.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112635 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

The Jazz would 100% trade Lauri for Zion though.

But again, what do you do in the Giannis/Luka hypothetical if that is the only way you're viewing it and assuming neither team would trade either guy, so now you can't rank 1 over the other.

It goes back to value.

While you could argue that Zion may have more value and Simmons is just off base a bit, I don't think you can say outright that is completely an outlandish take and just crazy that Simmons would dare put Lauri ahead of Zion. Not saying you said it like that, just more so pointing out that while you can disagree, I think the Lauri more value than Zion is a defensible stance too.
This post was edited on 2/7/24 at 12:17 pm
Posted by ghost2most
Member since Mar 2012
7777 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 12:21 pm to
I think the Mavs should trade Luka for Giannis. I don't think they're that close. Giannis is a lot better imo.
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
8863 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

I disagree. Yeah he's playing great but take into consideration age/ contract/ etccc. He isn't top 100 when accounting for future value.

CJ is younger than Dame and will make 20 million less (per year) over the next two years
This post was edited on 2/7/24 at 12:29 pm
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112635 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

I think the Mavs should trade Luka for Giannis. I don't think they're that close. Giannis is a lot better imo.

GIannis is like 5 years older though
Posted by whatiknowsofar
hm?
Member since Nov 2010
25970 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

CJ is younger than Dame and will make 20 million less (per year) over the next two years


And is having the best year of his career.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
25159 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

But again, what do you do in the Giannis/Luka hypothetical if that is the only way you're viewing it and assuming neither team would trade either guy, so now you can't rank 1 over the other.


I think top 5 is simply “untrabeable” and at that point you use a slightly different criteria to evaluate ranking.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
32384 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 1:12 pm to
Lillard is first in essentially all 4th quarter statistics for his position. That's why he's a massive favorite for Clutch Player of the Year
Posted by ghost2most
Member since Mar 2012
7777 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 1:16 pm to
The age is a factor. Also Luka's game may age better than Giannis so I changed my mind ha
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112635 posts
Posted on 2/7/24 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

The age is a factor. Also Luka's game may age better than Giannis so I changed my mind ha

Yea, Luka's game will age very well.

Giannis will have to be a freak like Lebron, which he may very well be, or he's going to decline very fast the instant the insane athleticism goes.
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