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re: The Unofficial 2018 Non-GS Tennis Thread
Posted on 11/3/18 at 1:45 pm to Bunk Moreland
Posted on 11/3/18 at 1:45 pm to Bunk Moreland
and of course the better player delivers the goods and prevails. dangit.
Posted on 11/3/18 at 1:47 pm to little billy
Feds only chance against novak is in these best of three masters but today he came up just short. I don’t see him beating novak in a best of five ever again. He’s just too old although it’s remarkable he’s still at this level for his age.
Posted on 11/3/18 at 1:50 pm to TigerDog83
3.5 hrs for a best of 3? that was fun to watch.
Novak was 0/12 break point chances, he really should have put this one away earlier.
Novak was 0/12 break point chances, he really should have put this one away earlier.
Posted on 11/3/18 at 5:32 pm to The Egg
quote:
3.5 hrs for a best of 3?
Damn pushers
Posted on 11/4/18 at 12:36 pm to bayoucracka
quote:
He's 6'6, 22 years old, moves well, and has all the shots. The only NextGen player that is clearly a step above him is Zverev. As luck would have it, they will face off in about 45 minutes. Zverev won their last meeting at the French in 5 set
I'm actually having trouble figuring out who the best prospect is among those guys. Alex was better a year or two earlier than the other guys, but isn't CLEARLY the superior player, imho.
Between Teetsy, Daniil, Swaggy K, and Alex, they all seem like they are on the same tier right now.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 12:41 pm to bayoucracka
quote:
Maybe our expectations are a little too high to expect them to pass guys who have been doing this for 5-10 more years.
Historically, guys that are better are going to be better at 19 or 20. The Kevin Anderson's of the world that slowly get better as they get older would have to be considered the exception.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 12:44 pm to Bunk Moreland
quote:
All I know is you have to have mad respect for a guy like Murray to win three majors and two gold medals in the midst of all of this. He'd probably have eight or ten without these GOATs.
I agree with you here. Murray is the most interesting case. He was such a damn good player at the absolute worst possible time.
quote:
I feel bad for lostgen players like Nishikori and Grigor.
And Milos. But I don't feel sorry for them.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 12:48 pm to Bunk Moreland
quote:
KK wins Paris.
Holy crap, I thought Novak/Smug was the final.
HUGE for Swaggy K. Huge huge huge.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:50 pm to MidnightVibe
I think Stef ends up with the best career. I'll bump this in 13 years when speak of Goatsipas is ubiquitous.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 11:04 pm to MidnightVibe
quote:
MidnightVibe
Read this carefully as it will be my last post about tennis on this site.
quote:
Alex was better a year or two earlier than the other guys, but isn't CLEARLY the superior player, imho.
Between Teetsy, Daniil, Swaggy K, and Alex, they all seem like they are on the same tier right now.
Nope. It's not a debate. There is no argument. It's an absolute fact. To put it another way to make sure you understand: What I said was absolutely right, and what you said was absolutely wrong. There is zero question about it.
When I posted that (3 matches ago), these were the stats:
Masters Titles:
Zverev: 3
Tsitsipas: 0
Khachanov: 0
Medvedev: 0
ATP Titles:
Zverev: 9
Tsitsipas: 1
Khachanov: 3
Medvedev: 3
In case numbers aren't your thing, as of two days ago, Zverev had MORE Masters Titles and MORE ATP Titles than all three of those guys COMBINED. Karen Khachanov was not on your (or most people's) radar when I wrote that post. He was also 1 point away from losing to Isner in the 3rd round. Since then, he knocked off Zverev, Thiem, and Djokovic in straight sets, and now all of a sudden you are all over his nuts. If anyone could come in here and gloat about something, it would be me for posting about the guy immediately before he beat 3 top players in a row, but that's not what I'm about.
Do you happen to remember who picked Alex Zverev to win the US Open less than two months ago? Hint: It's the same guy who is now claiming that Medvedev, Khachanov, and Tsitsipas are on the same level as Zverev. What you said is akin to saying Kevin Anderson is on the same tier as Basilashvili. So either you only have 2 or 3 tiers in all of tennis, or you don't understand how tiers work. And this is not about 2019, or 2025, or any other time in the future. I specifically said that Zverev was clearly better at that time.
I don't know if you think you get some type of e-cred for liking every player who plays well for a few weeks, or if you need attention that badly, or if there is something else involved. I'm not too familiar with bipolar disorder, but maybe you have that and have a wild range of emotions. Most of the time, I can tolerate the way you operate, but every now and then you feel the need to pick out one line out of dozens from one of my posts, and start something for no reason. And the majority of the time, my posts are not directed at you, or anyone in particular.
Why I post here:
1. I like tennis
2. I watch and play a lot of tennis
3. To interact with other fans and learn more about the sport
4. To share my knowledge of tennis with lurkers who may not have the time or experience to learn or understand it
5. To share how/why I bet on tennis. I don't claim to be great at it, but better than most.
NOT why I post here:
1. Attention
2. Upvotes
3. To start a debate
4. To start an argument
Almost every day people write things that I disagree with, but I can probably count on one hand how many times in my TD existence where I've gone out of my way to nitpick their posts to get under their skin or feed some need for attention. On the other hand, you are the exact opposite in this regard. We've touched on this before, but it's obvious that you have no intention of changing.
So, rather than continuing to hold back my thoughts, I feel it's better to just step away. I've tried to do my part to keep the tennis thread active during dead times, but it's not really worth the hassle to have to think twice about every word I type in case I have to defend it later on. And it's even worse when I post things that aren't even debatable, and still have to explain them.
Best of luck going forward. To everyone else, thanks for the banter and good times.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:44 pm to bayoucracka
Rafa is out for London, so it's anticlimactic and Novak is year end number one. Nishikori and Isner are in for next week to replace Rafa and Delpo.
Cracka, we will see you back in the 2019 AO thread, buddy.

Cracka, we will see you back in the 2019 AO thread, buddy.

Posted on 11/5/18 at 11:14 pm to bayoucracka
Bayou,
I’m confused. I literally just scratched my head before putting my fingers back on the keyboard. I’m at a loss for what it is about that statement that might have set you off. That was definitely not an attempt to start something. Or nitpick at you or anybody else. Not even a little. Indeed, I didn’t believe it to be a particularly bold statement at the time, and, on further inspection, I still do not believe it to be a particularly bold statement. I’ll go through why.
I first wrote
With this, I’m acknowledging that when it comes to career accomlishments thus far, that Alex is on a much higher level than the other three. This cannot be denied in any way, and for the various reasons you have pointed out. 3 Masters Titles. 9 ATP wins. Was ranked as high as #3 in the world. Has made 12 million smackers in prize money at the tender age of 21. Earned a spot on “Chopped Steak”, which is MidnghtVibe’s fantasy team name, and, on that note, had me so bullish on his prospects for success during this hardcourt season that I was repeatedly sprinkling in the optimistic #summerofalex mantra in as many posts as I could have it make sense in.
And so, yeah, if we’re talking “better” in terms of a career resume test, you are indeed 100% correct that it is not debatable. And because the first clause of that sentence, which is quoted above, is expressly backward looking, you and I certainly have nothing to disagree about before that first comma. After that first comma, I wrote the following:
The word CLEARLY there is an upfront qualification for what comes next, and not a subtle one. I’m saying “yeah, the jury may still end up coming back with a “guilty as being better” verdicts, but not without some legitimate, straight-faced deliberation. And to unpack that a little further, let’s do some legitimate, straight-faced deliberation on the question not of whether Alex has compiled the better resume so far, but whether the evidence is clear that he will be the superior player going forward.
I’m confused. I literally just scratched my head before putting my fingers back on the keyboard. I’m at a loss for what it is about that statement that might have set you off. That was definitely not an attempt to start something. Or nitpick at you or anybody else. Not even a little. Indeed, I didn’t believe it to be a particularly bold statement at the time, and, on further inspection, I still do not believe it to be a particularly bold statement. I’ll go through why.
I first wrote
quote:
“Alex was better a year or two earlier than the other guys”
With this, I’m acknowledging that when it comes to career accomlishments thus far, that Alex is on a much higher level than the other three. This cannot be denied in any way, and for the various reasons you have pointed out. 3 Masters Titles. 9 ATP wins. Was ranked as high as #3 in the world. Has made 12 million smackers in prize money at the tender age of 21. Earned a spot on “Chopped Steak”, which is MidnghtVibe’s fantasy team name, and, on that note, had me so bullish on his prospects for success during this hardcourt season that I was repeatedly sprinkling in the optimistic #summerofalex mantra in as many posts as I could have it make sense in.
And so, yeah, if we’re talking “better” in terms of a career resume test, you are indeed 100% correct that it is not debatable. And because the first clause of that sentence, which is quoted above, is expressly backward looking, you and I certainly have nothing to disagree about before that first comma. After that first comma, I wrote the following:
quote:
“but isn't CLEARLY the superior player, imho”
The word CLEARLY there is an upfront qualification for what comes next, and not a subtle one. I’m saying “yeah, the jury may still end up coming back with a “guilty as being better” verdicts, but not without some legitimate, straight-faced deliberation. And to unpack that a little further, let’s do some legitimate, straight-faced deliberation on the question not of whether Alex has compiled the better resume so far, but whether the evidence is clear that he will be the superior player going forward.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 11:15 pm to MidnightVibe
1. Alex Zverev v. Daniil Medvedev.
So maybe you haven’t been paying attention to this -- I do realize that the final leg of the ATP season can be a bit of a drag, and one’s attention can tend to wane -- but Daniil Medvedev has been playing at the level of a top 5 player throughout the entirety of hte hardcourt season -- starting in Canada and going all the way through the Paris Masters. Homeboy is 30-8 over that time period, which is a match winning percentage of 79%, which is objectively elite.
To put that in perspective, Juan Martin Del Potro has the 4th best winning percentage in the calendar year 2018, at 78%.
“BUT BUT BUT” you say. “This is only over a three month period; specifically, the last three months, and isn’t that just typical MV to get all overexuberant about recent results.” To that I would first respond that 38 matches is a statistically significant sample size every single day of the week and arguably twice on Sunday as well. I would further add that this isn’t merley an August-October run for Daniil. No no. i went back and checked the numbers for the full season of 2018 and homeboy has the 5th best hard-court winning percentage in the ATP -- comfortably ahead of Alex.
Now correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe that they play more majors on hard courts than any other surface. You still convinced Alex will win a major before Daniil Medvedev?
Well, I got reasonable doubt like a freaking Jay-Z album.
This post was edited on 11/5/18 at 11:34 pm
Posted on 11/5/18 at 11:15 pm to MidnightVibe
2. Alex Zverev v. Stefanos Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas finished strong in 2017, sneaking into the nextgen atp finals as the alternate, and then carrying that momentum into the 2018 season where he started out ranked #91 in the world and worked his way all the way up to #15. Starting from Barcelona, the greatest waiver wire pickup in the history of my tennis fantasy league ::pats self on back:: has a match winning percentage of 67%, with an overall W-L record of 37-18. In that time span, he lost in the finals of Barcelona to the Great Great Rafa Nadal on clay, and followed that up with a respectable semifinal loss to Sousa in Estoril. He was steady but not spectacular in the next few tournaments, and did take a pretty good butt whupping in DC at the hands of Alex.
But he bounced right back from said butt whupping at the Canada Masters. He made it to the final of the Canada Masters -- taking out Alex Zverev along the way -- only to fall to an in-form man from Mallorca in the final. He got his first ATP career win in Stockholm just a few weeks ago. He’s a year and four months younger than Alex and clearly still improving. He arguably has more upside in that he’s the better athlete between the two, but thi is arguabl offset by the fact that he rocks a one-handed backand, which is just an overall inferior product imho.
But, for what it’s worth, Teetsy reached his career ranking of 15 on his 20th birthday. When Alex turned the big two oh, he had yet to crack the top 20.
Are you sure that Alex will have greater success going forward than Teetsy? Because I am picking up some doubts on that, and they are of the variety that I would tend to place under the “not unreasonable” umbrella.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 11:15 pm to MidnightVibe
3. Alex Zverev v. Swaggy K
The swaggiest Russian I’ve ever seen is a year older than Alex and, as I stated initially, and elaborated on above, was not as good as early as was Alex. SK is also the only player included in my self-characterized Alex Tier that i really haven’t previously sung the praises of on this board. And, again, I’m thoroughly confused as to what gave rise to the post I am responding bot, but perhaps a contributing factor is the belief that, in lumping SK in with the other two and Alex in the Alex Tier, I am once again just enjoying the flavor of the month.
But is that what I’m doing? Or am i accurately pointing out that dude is coming into this own? And that this conclusion is not a mere knee-jerk overreaction to a single great tournament win. And, for the record, any and all are kindly invited to peruse the ‘17 version of this thread in search of any such hint of an overreaction towards Jack “Jizzrag” Sock. You want find it. Because I actually follow the focking shite out of tennis and don’t merely get excited by shiny things.
I also don’t blow the funk up on somebody based on a beef that exists only in my own head, and on “knit-picking” that I can’t even find when I go back and re-read my posts looking for it specifically But i digress. Let’s get back to SK and with an increased emphasis on brevity as this is getting long as frick.
So, Swaggy K, starting from July of this season and going through to the end of the season -- so, including Wimbledon -- has a match record of 24-9. He lost to Djokovic in the round of 16 at Wimbly. He lost to Rafa in the quarters at Canada. He won Moscow. And then just won the Paris Masters. And he beat Alex Zverev along the way. Check that: he annihilated Alex, beating him breadstick and two with a DR of over 2 (which is a focking beatdown).
He’s now ranked #11 in the world. And for those of you keeping score at home, Alex came in with a match record of 20-8 over the same period. Not bad at all. But not as good as SK.
So...are you sure that Alex will have more sustainable success going forward than Swaggy Karen K? I mean, he might. I definitely ain’t ruling it out. But I”m not convinced.
And so I guess what i’m saying is Alex, imho, isn’t CLEARLY superior to any of those guys, and that it would be more appropriate to say that
quote:
they all seem like they are on the same tier right now.
Way more appropriate, in fact. No question about it.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 11:28 pm to bayoucracka
quote:
Almost every day people write things that I disagree with, but I can probably count on one hand how many times in my TD existence where I've gone out of my way to nitpick their posts to get under their skin or feed some need for attention. On the other hand, you are the exact opposite in this regard. We've touched on this before, but it's obvious that you have no intention of changing
I won't beat a dead horse, but to quickly recapitulate. You said that Alex was clearly the better player. I responded to that post by saying that I wasn't so sure that he was in fact the clear superior to those three right now
That was not knit-picking. That was my opinion. An opinion that I have now elaborated on more.
Had somebody asked me today what I wrote that post in response to or who the poster was that wrote it, i honestly would not have had the first damn clue.
Point is: I wasn't picking a fight with your or needling you in any way. At all.
If you were just having a bad day and were a bit on edge, no harm no foul. I'm sure your headspace was no less idyllic than mine after Houston lost outright to SMU and singlehandedly flipped my first winning week in the last three to another one in the red.*
*Coming the realization that a thing that you really enjoy and put a lot of time and thought into is nonethless something that you really suck at is a kick in the dick.
This post was edited on 11/5/18 at 11:30 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 8:11 am to MidnightVibe
Not trying to stir the pot. He's right that Alex's results are clearly on another level than the other young guns. But, I don't think it's crazy to think or say someone else might surpass him, especially at majors (as we've discussed, there are some endurance or just general tournament/match management issues in 3 out of 5 set format that the young guys need to get used to). I mean, Alex should not be losing to Kohli at the US Open. But, I think we have to give Alex and these guys another year or two before we pile on about a new lost generation.
My brother made a good point about Alex after seeing him and guys like Rafa in person. He just really thought Alex doesn't have much variety or ability to adjust. When you watch Rafa, he can go to the slice/offspeed game and really angle his shots to change things up. Alex just seems to have one gear. He is a freakshow to watch, though, as far as a big guy who moves incredibly well.
I really had no idea KK was this young. I thought he was like 25/26. Anyway, I don't care which guy breaks through. I just kind of want someone to start beating the old guys so we stop talking about GOATs.
My brother made a good point about Alex after seeing him and guys like Rafa in person. He just really thought Alex doesn't have much variety or ability to adjust. When you watch Rafa, he can go to the slice/offspeed game and really angle his shots to change things up. Alex just seems to have one gear. He is a freakshow to watch, though, as far as a big guy who moves incredibly well.
I really had no idea KK was this young. I thought he was like 25/26. Anyway, I don't care which guy breaks through. I just kind of want someone to start beating the old guys so we stop talking about GOATs.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:08 pm to Bunk Moreland
Thanks, Bunk, glad you agree with me.
Posted on 11/7/18 at 5:33 pm to MidnightVibe
Anybody watch/catch the highlights of any of the Next Gen Finals? Tiafoe got worked today by Tsitsi... I just do not see Tiafoe doing a ton more with his bizarre technique. He is young of course and an incredible athlete, but still. You watch him play Tsitsi and its night and day.
Thoughts? For the record I hope I am wrong because I want the young American guys to succeed and Tiafoe has had a great year.
Thoughts? For the record I hope I am wrong because I want the young American guys to succeed and Tiafoe has had a great year.
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