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re: Tennis 2019 -- The Unofficial Non-GS Thread

Posted on 3/26/19 at 1:27 am to
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 1:27 am to
quote:

I guess this question could be re-phrased as, "What would the line have to be for you to take RBA?",



Or what would the line have to be for you to take Novak?
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 1:54 am to
I could do -450 in a parlay, but for a straight bet, I don't know, maybe -250.

You?
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:00 am to
Damn Ando is -240 now.

F it, I haven't made a bet for fun in a while...



Line opened -195 and keeps rising.
This post was edited on 3/26/19 at 2:16 am
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:19 am to
quote:

I could do -450 in a parlay, but for a straight bet, I don't know, maybe -250.

You?


I'd take it at -350 for sure.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:25 am to
quote:

Damn Ando is -240 now.



I bet it a few minutes ago at -230.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:27 am to
Daniil moved down to +270. Fudge. I missed value. I went ahead and sprinkled it anyway. Just for kicks and giggles.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:30 am to
Nice.

Didn't realize what Thompson did to Khachanov before he beat Dimitrov. Oh well. That's what's giving us this nice price on Big Kev.

I sprinkled a little Medvedev. He used to hate slow courts, but I can see him going into full-on pusher mode and frustrating Roger. Night match should be slower in theory too.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:31 am to
quote:

Daniil moved down to +270

I got a +280 at Will Hill in Vegas
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:32 am to
Current live rankings:

1. Novak
2. Rafa
3. Alex
4. Thiem
5. Fedsmug
6. Kei
7. KA
8. Teetsy
9. Delpo (i'm so f'ing pissed at delpo right now)
10. Cilic
11. Swaggy KK
12. Isner
13. Daniil
14. Borna
15. Dogshit Milos
16. Cecchinato (this surprised me)
17. Basilash
18. Fabio
19. Monfils
20. Goffin
21. Edmund
22. RBA
23. Shapov
24. Diego
25. Demon

LINK
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:37 am to
quote:

Didn't realize what Thompson did to Khachanov before he beat Dimitrov.


Fair enough. But KA is one of those guys (a la RBA or Goffin.....or the best historical example ever, Ferrer) who tends to both win and lose the matches he's supposed to.

Also, I do not have a great read on Swaggy KK. He is kind of all over the place this year.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:41 am to
quote:

9. Delpo (i'm so f'ing pissed at delpo right now)

Is he not hurt? Or am I missing something?
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:45 am to
quote:

Is he not hurt? Or am I missing something?


He's hurt, but I thought he would be back. He was my second draft pick in my little tennis fantasy league, and I absolutely wouldn't have taken him that high if I had known how long he was going to be out. it isn't even clear whether he's going to play Monte Carlo....I can't get any decent updates on it. And so I'm pissed off at myself for drafting him, but not sure whether it would be wise to pull the trigger on just letting him go.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:47 am to
quote:

Tue 3/26 325 Felix Auger-Aliassime -115
12:00PM 326 Nikoloz Basilashvili +105



I'll probably end up laying off this, but one thing to consider is that FAA had to qualify and so has played five matches -- and 13 sets -- in the past six days.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:49 am to
Forgot about fantasy... should have known.

Here's Thompson vs. guys 6'4 or taller in the top 50...





Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 2:52 am to
quote:

FAA

He was off yesterday though, and he's (very) young. Might be worth a play.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 3:00 am to
quote:

Here's Thompson vs. guys 6'4 or taller in the top 50...



Poor Benny P
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 3:03 am to


Had no idea he was 6'5".

Gotta hit the bed. These prices on Kev and Shapo are a little nuts...

Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 12:44 pm to
I'm glad I didn't fade FAA. Kid is really stepping it up.
Posted by Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
34684 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

I'm glad I didn't fade FAA. Kid is really stepping it up.


He'll probably lose to the winner of the Coric/Kyrgios match in the next round but making it to the quarterfinals of a Masters is a fantastic run for an 18-year-old.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 3/26/19 at 1:34 pm to
Half decent slate on Grandstand

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