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re: Sports gamblers, what about it is appealing to you?
Posted on 11/5/21 at 9:01 am to Jim Rockford
Posted on 11/5/21 at 9:01 am to Jim Rockford
People say that hitting 50% is good. How is that good when you can flip a coin or draw team names out of a hat and hit 50%. All you need is 52.5% to breakeven. Shouldn’t the human mind be able to improve that much over flipping a coin?
Seems that way, but few win. I know I didn’t.
Seems that way, but few win. I know I didn’t.
1
Posted on 11/5/21 at 9:04 am to Overbrook
An actual coin flip is actually a better bet than a typical ATS sports bet, ironically, lol.
At least in a coin flip you’re not starting out behind (vig). And that’s not even getting into the discussion about natural/inherent human biases, which there aren’t in an actual coin flip.
At least in a coin flip you’re not starting out behind (vig). And that’s not even getting into the discussion about natural/inherent human biases, which there aren’t in an actual coin flip.
This post was edited on 11/5/21 at 9:12 am
Posted on 11/5/21 at 9:26 am to Deactived
quote:
Put a jar on your counter. Place your bets with the jar instead of using a bookie. At the end of the season, take the money out the jar and put it back in your wallet.
You will be pleased
I'm sure you're a hoot at parties.
Posted on 11/5/21 at 9:29 am to Horsemeat
quote:
The thing I hate about the widespread legalization thats going on is how it's morphed sports talk radio into sports betting talk. It's just like fantasy football, I don't give a shite about your team. Just give me the news and rumors, if I want to look at the lines I can check my phone.
yeah most of the generic gambling content is really dull and worthless.
getting hot women to push parlays on twitter also seems to be all the rage right now
Posted on 11/5/21 at 9:44 am to JPLSU1981
quote:
An actual coin flip is actually a better bet than a typical ATS sports bet
If you follow most “analysts”, their records are usually bellow 50% ats. For example, cbs website has a group of sportswriters that pick games each week ats. All but one guy has a losing record. It shows you flawed reasoning behind these picks as humans overvalue and undervalue things that are biased to them.
Also, break even percentage is 52.3 for 10% line and 51.2% for 5% line. But these are based on 50/50 outcomes. But if you look for props, there are some that has a 2:1 outcome ratio. In fact, there are some that has a 4.5: to 1 ratio.
Posted on 11/5/21 at 9:58 am to PeteRose
Yep
Don’t get me wrong…I enjoy sports gambling as much or more than the next guy (I’m not one of those to tell people to stop doing it and save their money), because I know there is absolutely an entertainment/fun value in it, even if you lose. But I do get a laugh out of the “expert” analysts and self-proclaimed expert amateurs that have their own “system” for trying to regularly beat a coin flip, lol. And to make matters worse, the coin flip wasn’t even a 50/50 coin flip to begin with.
Don’t get me wrong…I enjoy sports gambling as much or more than the next guy (I’m not one of those to tell people to stop doing it and save their money), because I know there is absolutely an entertainment/fun value in it, even if you lose. But I do get a laugh out of the “expert” analysts and self-proclaimed expert amateurs that have their own “system” for trying to regularly beat a coin flip, lol. And to make matters worse, the coin flip wasn’t even a 50/50 coin flip to begin with.
This post was edited on 11/5/21 at 10:05 am
Posted on 11/5/21 at 10:19 am to JPLSU1981
quote:
Lol, yeah that’s a lot of work and stress for very little (or usually negative in the longrun) return. But to each their own I guess, as long as they get some enjoyment out of it.
For sure, but when I lived in Vegas that was me. Doing small bets parlays and all of sudden you are down like 500 on a weekend
And I always said to myself. Frick if I only bet 500 on Alabama to destroy ppl in the first half I would be loving life
So I changed strategy. And now don't even watch the games after I bet to lessen the stress
Posted on 11/5/21 at 11:18 am to Jim Rockford
Go sit in a bar or a sportsbook with a group of your friends one Saturday from 11am till Hawaii and bet the sheet. You will either have a great time and understand, or you aren't someone I would want to hang around.
Posted on 11/5/21 at 11:31 am to MetrySaint24
quote:
Go sit in a bar or a sportsbook with a group of your friends one Saturday from 11am till Hawaii and bet the sheet. You will either have a great time and understand, or you aren't someone I would want to hang around.
Try ncaa tourney in March in Vegas if you haven’t before …it’s insane fun
This post was edited on 11/5/21 at 11:32 am
Posted on 11/5/21 at 1:24 pm to SDVTiger
u have to know your limitations and what sports you are good at. i refuse to bet NFL. it IS the hardest to win. so much parity.
i will bet college football but my bread and butter is NHL and MLB system plays all year and then playoffs. moneyline plays.
same here. i hardly ever watch games i wager on. far too many baseball and hockey games i'd have to watch. trust the system
i will bet college football but my bread and butter is NHL and MLB system plays all year and then playoffs. moneyline plays.
same here. i hardly ever watch games i wager on. far too many baseball and hockey games i'd have to watch. trust the system
Posted on 11/5/21 at 1:35 pm to Bunk Moreland
quote:
I was betting a lot of pucks last year and it made me crazy. I got sucked in by under 6.5 so many times.
i avoid over/under bets.
so much volume in NHL and MLB my ML systems work great.
in college football u simply cannot force plays ATS. either it is there or it is not. not enough volume and as far as ML on football? you will lose your arse if you lose straight up.
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