Someone explain to me what OUs path to the playoffs could look like - I just do not see it

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A two loss bama or OSU would get in before a one loss OU

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shite, a 2 loss Ole Miss is ahead of them and is likely winning out (Vandy/MSU).

It is so fricking over for OU.

Bama loses to UGA. OUT

Oregon loses. OUT

Big 10 eats each other up. Mich State beats Ohio State and Ohio State beats Michigan. All have 2 losses. OUT
OU wins out and jumps the 2 loss teams and Wake. That puts them top 4 with Georgia, Cincy and ND.

Even if Big 10 team makes it, OU would then be a 1 loss conference champ fighting for last spot with 1 loss ND. It could happen. Proabably not but could.

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Bama loses to UGA. OUT

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Bama is #2 and would lose to #1.

That would not drop them below OU. Now, I don't think they'd be in, but they aren't jumping OU over them.

They would need to win out and have chaos in front of them. That's the only way they'd be able to pull off getting in at this point. I don't see that happening to the extreme it would need to with the schedules for most of the teams in front of them. Michigan, Michigan State, and Ohio State will work itself out over the next two weeks when Ohio State plays both. Whoever comes out of that will likely be in the playoff. Bama will probably lose to Georgia in the championship game and be out, but they'll be replaced by someone else that has one loss or Cincinnati. Notre Dame isn't getting in over Cincinnati or the Big 10 champ, but they'll stay ahead of Oklahoma. It goes on and on, but the short version is they aren't getting in. I don't even know if chaos of a lot of losses in the top ten these next two weeks would help them.

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Bama is #2 and would lose to #1. That would not drop them below OU. Now, I don't think they'd be in, but they aren't jumping OU over them.

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I don’t the the committee putting in a 2 loss team.

If Bama losing to #1 was enough to put them out, they wouldn't have been #2 and ahead of several undefeated teams last week.

I don't think it's a given that Wake Forest wouldn't be in over OU if Wake Forest wins out. They're both 1 loss and Wake Forest is currently higher. Both would be conference champions. Wake would have wins over 2 teams currently ranked by the committee + Clemson at Clemson.

OU would also have 2 wins over 2 teams ranked by the committee.

OU's best shot is if they get Baylor in the CCG and avenge that loss.

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I literally said that in the comment you responded to. Bama wouldn't get in with 2 losses (assuming UGA is second loss), but they'd still be ahead of OU.

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You are saying a 2 loss Bama gets in before 1 loss OU. I’m saying no way the committee does that.

Notre Dame has over a 50% chance while Oregon was lower than 50%. Guess they figure the odds based on remaining schedule and if there is a conference championship involved??

*First off, in years past, the committee has mentioned how they ‘value conference champions’ [take that w/ a grain of salt]

Lots of football left to be played, & teams tend to tighten up when things are on the line this time of year. Here’s a bit of a breakdown:

They have Bedlam to end the season, so that’s one additional quality win, and let’s say they rematch with Baylor in the Conference title game, that’s a second quality win and avenging their loss.

Those two things alone jump them up 3 spots, minimum. (Including Ole Miss since they have the conf. Champ on their resume)

Mich St. - Ohio St - Michigan all play each other still. So that’s two more spots (after all things are complete) — & whoever makes it out of all of those still have to beat Wisconsin again …

Oregon still has a big rival game with the Beavers, and will have to essentially beat Utah twice. They could easily pick up another loss

Cincinnati has their toughest stretch yet with SMU and a Houston team in the AAC ship.

Then there still a potential 2 loss Bama team and wild cards of Wake Forrest & Notre Dame to deal with, but essentially there’s a LOT left to play out before it’s all said and done.