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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 8 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 10/24/13 at 11:31 am to Billy Mays
Posted on 10/24/13 at 11:31 am to Billy Mays
the point spreads are usually pretty different on the parlay cards that are passed out here on Wednesday.
one that kind of surprised me was
Saints -16 vs. Bills
Buffalo has been a real scrappy team this year. It would be kinda lame to bet against my own team but I think Buffalo will put up a much better fight than what this card is showing.
Raiders +4 vs. Steelers
I like this play. The Steelers are coming off a hard fought last second win over division rival BALT and have to travel across country. Oakland's defense is underrated and even though the Raiders O-line has been sloppy, Pittsburgh has struggled to get pressure on the QB so far this year.
one that kind of surprised me was
Saints -16 vs. Bills
Buffalo has been a real scrappy team this year. It would be kinda lame to bet against my own team but I think Buffalo will put up a much better fight than what this card is showing.
quote:
Raiders +2.5 vs. Steelers
Raiders +4 vs. Steelers
I like this play. The Steelers are coming off a hard fought last second win over division rival BALT and have to travel across country. Oakland's defense is underrated and even though the Raiders O-line has been sloppy, Pittsburgh has struggled to get pressure on the QB so far this year.
2
Posted on 10/24/13 at 1:48 pm to LooseCannon22282
My rankings have the Saints -16.5 and the Raiders -1...I'll probably be playing both of them
Posted on 10/24/13 at 1:56 pm to LooseCannon22282
In your case, laying 16 is asking a lot, but the Saints are a covering machine at the Dome, so I wouldn't be surprised. Vegas has it @ 11.5, so that's an easy take for me.
Buffalo definitely isn't terrible. I've been impressed their offense has been able to score on everyone regardless of who's at QB. They are the only team other than Denver to score 20+ every game.
Raiders + 4 is easy money, IMO.
Buffalo definitely isn't terrible. I've been impressed their offense has been able to score on everyone regardless of who's at QB. They are the only team other than Denver to score 20+ every game.
Raiders + 4 is easy money, IMO.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 1:58 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
Saints
quote:
Vegas has it @ 11.5
Best play of the week IMO. Saints win by 20.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 2:18 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
Buffalo definitely isn't terrible. I've been impressed their offense has been able to score on everyone regardless of who's at QB. They are the only team other than Denver to score 20+ every game.
yeah, they really have hung around all year. The only loss where the score was a little lopsided was that Thursday night game in CLE.
a late interception return for TD made the final score deceiving.
I don't plan on taking Buffalo as it would cause a conflict of interest, but that line just jumped out at me. With Jimmy not being 100% and maybe not even playing... I would like this game as an outsider.
I've got OAK +4 but that is the only Pro game I'm doing.
in college ball I've got,
Louisville -21 @ South Florida
North Texas -10 @ Southern Miss
so far still trying to find 2 more plays so I can try and flip $20 into $400.
usually just do a 5 team parlay at $20. There is also a weekly NFL Pick'em pool that usually has great participation at work so that is why I'm only betting $20 on the parlay. I'm also playing $20 in the pick'em pool.
Not exactly a big spender but I know the odds of winning.
This post was edited on 10/24/13 at 2:19 pm
Posted on 10/24/13 at 2:28 pm to Jwodie
as far as tonight's game goes, I actually think Tampa Bay will hang with Carolina.
they swept them last year.
but in the end, I say Carolina wins.
I would take Tampa at +6 or +7.
Tampa's D isn't all that bad, remember some of those points ATL got last week against them came off a fumble return for a TD.
they swept them last year.
but in the end, I say Carolina wins.
I would take Tampa at +6 or +7.
Tampa's D isn't all that bad, remember some of those points ATL got last week against them came off a fumble return for a TD.
This post was edited on 10/24/13 at 3:09 pm
Posted on 10/24/13 at 4:02 pm to LooseCannon22282
Carolina over 23 1/2
Posted on 10/24/13 at 4:53 pm to LooseCannon22282
Buffalo's D line against the Saints O line worries me. I like betting the Saints, but can't lay 11 here.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 4:55 pm to TigerSaints318
Took the Bucs +7.5 (-135)
Posted on 10/24/13 at 5:31 pm to TigerSaints318
Bucs +7.5; O 39
BOL
BOL
Posted on 10/24/13 at 5:36 pm to TheOcean
This is more of a philosophical question but do ya'll buy on or off key numbers?
Me personally, I'm more likely to buy from +6.5 to 7 than from 7 to 7.5. What are ya'll's thoughts?
Me personally, I'm more likely to buy from +6.5 to 7 than from 7 to 7.5. What are ya'll's thoughts?
Posted on 10/24/13 at 5:37 pm to DallasTiger45
I buy the hook both ways.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 6:08 pm to bamafan425
Interesting. That can get expensive though, especially buying to 3 in an NFL game. I guess if it wins it doesn't matter does it?
Posted on 10/24/13 at 6:09 pm to DallasTiger45
Haven't had the time to sit down and the run the vig #s, but I'm guessing it depends on the game. Obviously buying up from 6.5 to 7 makes much more sense.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 6:26 pm to TheOcean
Added Bucs +3.5 1H, tailing this pick
Posted on 10/24/13 at 6:27 pm to TheOcean
Loaded up on Tampa +8 with my local guy
Posted on 10/24/13 at 6:51 pm to TJG210
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:11 pm to TheOcean
I bet on Panthers -10.5 after they went ahead 7-0. Glennon looks awful. Panthers look very motivated and Bucs don't seem to care. This could get ugly.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:27 pm to houtigerfan
I knew I should have got on Car. All yall getting on TB scared me off
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:36 pm to wish i was tebow
Bucs have given up...I'm getting against them every week until they fire Schiano...he and Glennon are an awful combination. 
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