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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 10/23/15 at 3:30 pm to ChemE in the OP
Like it.
Posted on 10/23/15 at 3:55 pm to Mac
1-0 on the year from college so I figured I would donate some of my NFL winnings back 
USC -3
Auburn +6.5
LSU -16.5 (Terrible homer play)
Ole Miss -5
USC -3
Auburn +6.5
LSU -16.5 (Terrible homer play)
Ole Miss -5
Posted on 10/23/15 at 4:52 pm to josh336
1-0 with Temple last night.
(I may be undefeated on thursdays so far)
Gonna look through friday real quick and see if anything jumps out.
(I may be undefeated on thursdays so far)
Gonna look through friday real quick and see if anything jumps out.
This post was edited on 10/23/15 at 4:52 pm
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:01 pm to josh336
Baylor -37
Texas -4
LSU -16.5
Clemson -6.5
1U 4 fold
LSU -16
Ohio State -21
Alabama /UT - Over 53.5
Texas A&M/Ole Miss Over 63.5
1U 4 fold
Think I'll go big on Ohio State single, think Barrett will get them back to a spread beater
Texas -4
LSU -16.5
Clemson -6.5
1U 4 fold
LSU -16
Ohio State -21
Alabama /UT - Over 53.5
Texas A&M/Ole Miss Over 63.5
1U 4 fold
Think I'll go big on Ohio State single, think Barrett will get them back to a spread beater
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:06 pm to engvol
quote:
Baylor -37 Texas -4 LSU -16.5 Clemson -6.5 1U 4 fold LSU -16 Ohio State -21 Alabama /UT - Over 53.5 Texas A&M/Ole Miss Over 63.5 1U 4 fold
Is it too late for me to talk you out of these?
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:10 pm to engvol
quote:
Baylor -37
Texas -4
LSU -16.5
Clemson -6.5
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:18 pm to Carson123987
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:20 pm to accnodefense
Nope
And I know the the second one is definitely losing with the ole miss A&M over bet
And I know the the second one is definitely losing with the ole miss A&M over bet
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:24 pm to Carson123987
quote:
Carson123987
I don't want to be the guy that critiques people's plays, especially when I am not having a great year myself, but all of those parlay sides are... extremely square. No way do they all hit. Hell most of those sides I wouldn't even consider betting solo.
37 will be a lot to cover for Baylor in the monsoon they are about to play in.
Texas -4 may be the only play he is on I would consider
LSU is a steam chasing play considering you could have gotten them at 14.5, and WKU has the quarterback to cover through the backdoor. Plus LSU hasn't been good at covering vs. non conference opponents this year.
Clemson -6.5 is a very square play, Miami has a good chance to cover in that one, even if they don't win. Clemson's toughest road test this year, and they won their previous toughest road game by 3.
Ohio State -21 on the road is a bad idea considering how bad they have been at covering this year
Tennessee/Alabama in my opinion is one of the easiest unders this week. My model says it goes under 92% of the time. So the over is a bad idea - where is Tennessee going to get their offense from?
My model does have A&M and Ole Miss going over, but A&M's offense has been inconsistent this year away from Kyle Field and against teams not named Ball State. Do you trust A&M's offense in their first road game, especially with a QB who may not be the most confident person right now?
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:27 pm to accnodefense
quote:
Clemson -6.5 is a very square play, Miami has a good chance to cover in that one, even if they don't win. Clemson's toughest road test this year, and they won their previous toughest road game by 3.
Yeah, Miami+6.5 is mad hipsterish.
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:28 pm to engvol
quote:
Nope
Don't lock it in, if you want to do a 4 leg parlay there are better options.
I'd look at the under in the Baylor/Iowa State game because of the rain.
Under in the Kansas/Oklahoma State game looks good too. Oklahoma State's defense should shut out the worst offense in FBS according to my model, Kansas's offense. Will Oklahoma State score 63? I doubt it.
Missouri/Vanderbilt under. My model has this going under 100% of the time. That may be a little extreme, as turnovers and special teams could ruin the under. But this is two top 5 defenses against two bottom 10 offenses. Points will be tough to come by.
Lastly I would take Boise State against any number. I got them at -31, but take them at -35 too. They have always seemed to respond well after a loss, and this has the makings of the 55-0 beating Boise State put on Hawaii a few weeks ago.
There is a 4 team parlay for you. It probably won't hit, but it stands a better chance than what you had.
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:29 pm to accnodefense
he may win all of them... but there are definitely way better plays this week.
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:32 pm to josh336
No plays tonight for me. Practicing discipline. Good luck guys. 
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:35 pm to josh336
Ride that Tulsa train josh !
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:38 pm to accnodefense
quote:
37 will be a lot to cover for Baylor in the monsoon they are about to play in
Agreed.
quote:
Texas -4 may be the only play he is on I would consider
Agreed.
quote:
LSU is a steam chasing play considering you could have gotten them at 14.5, and WKU has the quarterback to cover through the backdoor. Plus LSU hasn't been good at covering vs. non conference opponents this year.
I think LSU covers, but I can see it being tight.
quote:
Clemson -6.5 is a very square play, Miami has a good chance to cover in that one, even if they don't win. Clemson's toughest road test this year, and they won their previous toughest road game by 3.
I really like Clemson. I feel they are being underrated this year.
quote:
Tennessee/Alabama in my opinion is one of the easiest unders this week. My model says it goes under 92% of the time. So the over is a bad idea - where is Tennessee going to get their offense from?
I really like the Under here as well. I HATE playing unders though because it makes watching the game terrible.
quote:
My model does have A&M and Ole Miss going over, but A&M's offense has been inconsistent this year away from Kyle Field and against teams not named Ball State. Do you trust A&M's offense in their first road game, especially with a QB who may not be the most confident person right now?
I don't like the over/under here. I like Ole Miss to cover the spread. They will bounce back.
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:41 pm to BilJ
What does Tulsa spelled backwards???
A slut. Memphis is going to beat the breaks off of a slut this evening.
A slut. Memphis is going to beat the breaks off of a slut this evening.
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:42 pm to josh336
Final Card:
ECU -2.5 L
Ga Tech +7
Kansas St +4
YTD: 26-20
On a 6 game losing streak in college so treading lightly this week.
ECU -2.5 L
Ga Tech +7
Kansas St +4
YTD: 26-20
On a 6 game losing streak in college so treading lightly this week.
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:45 pm to 4LSU2
quote:
What does Tulsa spelled backwards???
A slut. Memphis is going to beat the breaks off of a slut this evening.
This confirms Tulsa +10.5
Posted on 10/23/15 at 5:48 pm to FulshearTiger
Memphis - 9 on mine. Idk what to take
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