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Official Week 6 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 10/7/14 at 7:07 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 7:07 am
Another good week last week, let's keep it going!

NFL Betting Trends

Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 7:12 am to
San Diego -7 @ Oakland
Posted by 21JumpStreet
Member since Jul 2012
14654 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 7:24 am to
I'm going with bye - 2.5 vs the Saints as the lock of the week
Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8805 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 7:30 am to
Since Ryan came out and said that Geno is still the starter, should we just continue fading the Jets?

Leaning:

Cleveland -2
Miami +3.5
Buffalo +3
St. Louis +3
This post was edited on 10/7/14 at 8:28 am
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 8:08 am to
patriots +3.5 at home????
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36317 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 8:12 am to
It's @BUF
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82033 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 8:26 am to
quote:

Since Ryan came out and said that Geno is still the starter, should we just continue fading the Jets?


You think Vick would fare better?
Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8805 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 8:38 am to
I have no idea, but anything would have to be better than what Geno is doing right now, right? Its worth a shot.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25283 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 8:44 am to
Early leans:

Buf +3.5 vs NE
Rams +3.5 vs SF
Cinci -7 vs. CAR
Posted by Sader1990
Metairie
Member since Jun 2013
1095 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 9:10 am to
I really like Denver -9 @ Jets. The jets are a dumpster fire.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 10:15 am to
Early leans...

Texans
Jets
Dolphins
Raiders
Rams
Bills

Will narrow down this week.

Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22966 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

Since the start of the 2013 season, the Bengals are 10-0 SU and ATS in regular-season home games, vs. 4-6 and 3-6-1 on the road. In those 10 home affairs they beat the spread by 125.5 points, a significant 12.6 per game, while on the road it has been a -46. Naturally there are some one-sided results that skew small samples, like the Sunday night outcome, but in terms of true home impact, consider the swing in results from division play in 2013:

Baltimore: +17H/-3A

Cleveland: +21H/-11A

Pittsburgh: +10H/-10A

With no other factors considered, the gap between home/away outcomes from six division games was a full 72 points – they Bengals lost by 24 on the road, and won by 48 at home.


interesting stats from What a bettor better know
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66439 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 11:38 am to
seattle is going to abolsutely steam Dallas.
Posted by UncleLester
West of the Mississippi
Member since Aug 2008
6612 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 11:59 am to
6.5 point teaser on the Chargers & Broncos.

Trying to hit a two-team teaser, as my only NFL play, for the fourth straight week.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 1:59 pm to
I'd imagine that'll be a popular one this week. Perception of the Jets and Raiders is terribly low at this point.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25283 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:06 pm to
Locked:

Miami +3.5 vs. GB - I heart this one so much.
Buffalo +3.5 vs. NE - Everyone is glossing over NE's deficiencies now in the wake of their big primetime win. Buffalo has a legit D.
Indy -3 @ HOU - I just need Andrew Luck to beat Ryan Fitzpatrick???
Cinci - 7 vs CAR - Cinci is essentially Sean Payton ATS at home, and this line would've 9 or 9.5 had CAR not had a fluky win last week.
Posted by Sader1990
Metairie
Member since Jun 2013
1095 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:08 pm to
You still like Cincy with AJ Green getting carted off the field today?
Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:37 pm to
took a 3-team 10 point teaser…risk 240 to win 200

Cincy +3.5 - they are amazing at home
Seattle +2.5 - they don't lose at home versus anyone much less an overrated Dallas team
Giants +13 - I think the Giants win this game straight up…would be shocked if Colin doesn't take the Giants in his Friday pickem…Giants are currently probably the best road team in the NFL
Posted by MillerMan
West U, Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2010
6512 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

Indy -3 @ HOU


Fishy line
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66439 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:43 pm to
very
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