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re: OFFICIAL Week 5 CFB Betting Thread

Posted on 9/23/14 at 8:47 am to
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
32694 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 8:47 am to
Wow, great insight
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16892 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:03 am to
Ummmm... You answered your own question! Michigan sucks, and Southern Miss is, well, Southern Miss! Now App has to go to Georgia Southern on a short week and stop this offense? Only thing that concerns me the least little bit, is the familiarity between these two teams. Southern hasn't beaten App since 2010. Pay back will be a bitch come Thursday night.

Insightful enough?
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25504 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:05 am to
quote:

I'm curious about the love for Arky as well.


They are currently a public darling.

The line opened @ 15 and has been pounded down due to early public money. The pros surely loved it over 14.

I suspect by kickoff 2/3 or more of the bets will be on the Hogs. This line may keep dropping, but I'm not sure what the floor is considering where it opened.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:08 am to
I'm happily on A&M -9.5 and if the bet loses so be it. 21-17 or so at half, 45-28 full time. That's how I see it.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:12 am to
You are seeing Arkansas as the public darling? Everywhere I see has TAMU getting public money, and that's what I'd expect.

Where'd it open at 15?
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46123 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:13 am to
havent got a feel for that game yet. Might be a teaser for that one for me
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25504 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:16 am to
Yeah I would lean TAMU.

Backing Arky now would be buying their stock at an all time high - I think there's value to be had on TAMU considering Arky's weak secondary and how fast TAMU can score. I was hellbent on backing Aggie until I saw the game was in Arlington, if the game was in College Station I would lock in for sure.

I agree it could be an Arky/Auburn scenario, close at half then TAMU adjusts and runs away at the end.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25504 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:18 am to
quote:

You are seeing Arkansas as the public darling? Everywhere I see has TAMU getting public money, and that's what I'd expect.

Where'd it open at 15?


I think I saw it on Twitter last Sunday.

Multiple places on the interwebs I see it opening @ 13 or so, so it has clearly been bet down by the public.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46123 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:20 am to
The over iN that game will probably hit no matter what the number is
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:21 am to
Yeah, I saw it on some twitter posts after searching.

I see A&M getting public support under 10. But I don't think it's a bad bet.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36486 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:25 am to
SportsInsights is showing 65% of bets are on Arky at the moment
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:38 am to
quote:

The over iN that game will probably hit no matter what the number is


most TTT statement ever


This post was edited on 9/23/14 at 9:39 am
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32481 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:42 am to
Currently in on
maryalnd +4.5
duke +5
tx am -9.5
nd -12
boston college -6.5
tcu -32.5


still trying to decide on mizzu game
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 9:57 am to
quote:

nd -12
boston college -6.5


i'm looking for good value with these games..

quote:

still trying to decide on mizzu game






Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32481 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 10:06 am to
i like mizzu... but the road factor is holding me back at sc
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 10:11 am to
65% on TAMU

Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25504 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 10:15 am to
Interesting - either RLM or late money on Aggie I suppose
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36486 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 10:17 am to
Weird... Their app had it backwards. It's corrected now.
Posted by RandySavage
Member since May 2012
33624 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 11:30 am to
Looking at Maryland. I like them +5, what do you more gambling savvy guys think about that one?
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 12:40 pm to
Duke +7
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