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Message

re: OFFICIAL Week 3 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/13/14 at 12:30 am to
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 12:30 am to
quote:

Arkansas Pk


Was actually leaning Tech on this one.

85% of bets on Arkansas and Tech potentially getting points at home. Crazy things have happened there in Lubbock
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 12:52 am to
I just think the Arkansas run game will prevail...
Posted by WinnPtiger
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2011
24955 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 1:09 am to
quote:

Nobody looks good the week before or after LSU.

Remember how Georgia looked against North Texas last season?



I just don't think 2 scores is too much to give up. If it happens it happens, I just see State coming out with something to prove after last week
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 1:25 am to
quote:

I agree.

What are everyone's thoughts on Georgia Tech laying 17 at home? Opened at 22, and is on the down tick.

91% of the bets are coming in on Georgia Southern, which makes me want Tech on principle alone.



Just some random thoughts about the game tomorrow:

GSU is not a bad team. They where a fumble in the redzone away from being up 27-10 on NC State. Instead NC State took the ball down the field and scored and later won the game 24-23. They beat Florida last season and they have experience playing against P5 schools. What hurts them the most is a lack of players. They have a solid first squad but after that there is a drop off. I really expect this to be no more than a 10 point game and might even sprinkle some on the GSU ML +575.

GSU runs a unique option style offense. Not your typical triple option. My realistic take is that Southern wore down the stretch against State, showing that the depth against higher tier schools is still a major concern. Both Southern and Tech are allowing 4.9 yards per carry (I’m not counting the Savannah State University game which would give GSU stats an overly inflated number), so both teams have trouble with the run. However, I do feel that Southern has the edge with offensive scheme.

If Tech wants to move the ball on Southern, utilize short passes and interior runs. GSU looked good at stopping the deep ball as well as outside rush attempts. I think turnovers will be the biggest factor in this game.

Southern has sold all of it’s 6500 allocated tickets and has a lot of Atlanta players playing in front of many family and friends.

I don't think GTech fans even expect to cover the spread.

Lastly, GTech has struggled putting teams away all season.
This post was edited on 9/13/14 at 1:30 am
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 2:02 am to
Some additional thoughts:

VTech is 7-24 ATS when favorites over the past 31 games, not sure why 31 games but its information I got from someone else. ECU offense always leaves a backdoor cover open.

VTech also coming off a big win on the road and could be looking forward to the beginning of ACC play next week.


Wake Forest vs. Utah State U 44. Won't be a fun game to watch, both teams are terrible on offense.

Posted by Westlakeguy10
La
Member since Jan 2012
2011 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 2:36 am to
Just locked in a crazy parlay little mix of college and nfl. These are the college plays
Missouri- ML
Oregon 1H -28 1/2
UTSA vs OSU 1H- over 28
Rice vs T A&M 1H- over 38
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 3:58 am to
Here are my plays
Ga southern +17.5
ECU +10.5(bought 1/2 a pt)
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
37947 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 6:46 am to
My two early plays will be:
Louisville -6.5
Oregon over 64 (I think the Ducks score this themselves)

Good luck to all (unless you're on the other side of me) and let's break it off in them today!!

Posted by engvol
england
Member since Sep 2009
5307 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 7:36 am to
Baylor 1H as always pays for my weekends betting

LSU 1H and UCLA 1H

UCLA 1H, Florida 1H

LSU 1H, UCLA 1H, Oregon 1H

USC -17.5, ND -28.5, LSU -31, Georgia -5.5

And a random 8 team parlay

MSU -13.5
Okla State -13.5
Bama-48
Oregon -43
TT vs Ark - over 67
Bay vs Buf - over 68 (won)
Florida -18
OU vs Tenn - over 56


1st time I've told people my bets before the games starts so lets hope everything comes in before I start making in play bets

Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 7:45 am to
quote:

Sep 13 CFB
STRAIGHT BET
[152] SOUTH CAROLINA +5½-105

158 / 150

Sep 13 CFB
STRAIGHT BET
[185] TENNESSEE U +21½-125 (B+½)

188 / 150


Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 7:59 am to
Adding ECU +9.5 and some USCe +7 on top of my +5.5 for the final card... GL fellas!
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:12 am to
mornin' friends and neighbors!

here is what i'm looking at.. more value at -10 mizzour, trying to get good value at +7 USCe and it is going to be tough for me to take Miss St. and Ole Miss


party
Posted by Sampson
Drusilla and Jefferson
Member since Mar 2012
25031 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:14 am to
Thoughts on these picks?

Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:16 am to
For early games
Marshall-20.5
WVU+3
Boise-16.6
Louisville-6.5
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67797 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:33 am to
quote:

For early games Marshall-20.5 WVU+3 Boise-16.6 Louisville-6.5


Almost the same card as me, but I haven't pulled on WVU yet
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:37 am to
Legggo
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67797 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:39 am to
You on SC or Georgia later on?
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:54 am to
If I was on anyone it would be USCe. But i probably wont touch as their are a couple more I like
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
81985 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:56 am to
-.6 units yesterday

Today:
South carolina +6 W
Texas +7.5 w
Ok st -13.5 w
Ole miss ULL u58.5 L
Stanford -28 W
Central florida +11 L
Maryland -3 (quiet game where everyone seems to be on wv) L

1/2 unit plays
Rice +32 W
Boston college +17.5 W
ULM +30.5 L
Purdue +28.5 W
Teaser tcu-10 & ok st -6.5 W

Eta: south alabama +14 L
This post was edited on 9/14/14 at 7:34 pm
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/13/14 at 8:57 am to
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