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re: OFFICIAL Week 2 College Football Bet Thread (The Digging Dog is back edition)

Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:27 pm to
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
54722 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:27 pm to
quote:


i just like the spot, home game 21.5 dogs.. sec game. they see each other every year. I love big home dogs in any sec game


Yeah I like the points too but I just can't rationalize it. Seems like easy money but I may stay away completely
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
9105 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:27 pm to
quote:

You think vandy will score two touchdowns? I think if they get 14 they may be ok




UGA will score in the 40's
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

You think vandy will score two touchdowns? 


No. I definitely do not

Again, ULM scored 2 TDs. Not that hard to envision, for me at least.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8784 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:30 pm to
I don't know why everybody thinks it's so tough to envision UGA sleepwalking through a 31-13 win
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
9105 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:32 pm to
[quote]No offense, but you have a lot to learn mane. Anything over 53% is solid.[/quote


I know right
This post was edited on 9/9/15 at 8:33 pm
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

I don't know why everybody thinks it's so tough to envision UGA sleepwalking through a 31-13 win


Seriously. Do you people even Richt era?

Ugly sleepwalk win vs Vandy, blast the frick out of SC in revenge, beat Bama at home, lose to Tennessee the following week.

C'mon guys, this shits easy.
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:37 pm to
Youre seriously fricking up my boner right now man
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

Youre seriously fricking up my boner right now man
sorry

In my head all week, I've been thinking of this game LINK

A Georgia team that was 5 yards from the BCSCG vs a 2-10 (0-8) Kentucky team. UGA was looking ahead to UF that week.
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:08 pm to
Oh I know. I havent touched a uga line in probably 5 or 6 yrs easy

And mainly my angle is more an indictment of Vandy. they are putrid, especially defensively. UGA will def be in the 40s+

It didnt bother me at all this week when they had lineman shite talking nick chubb either. Therefore....



Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:09 pm to
that meme
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:25 pm to
quote:

I love big home dogs


It's the first thing I look for every week when the lines come out.

quote:

home game 21.5 dogs


Solid number.

Rule #1 for me, bet numbers, not teams.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

dcrews


how did you do last week
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

how did you do last week


That's not important......
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8784 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:45 pm to
Do you bet every dog that's lined with a hook? It sure seems like it
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
54722 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:47 pm to
quote:


Rule #1 for me, bet numbers, not teams.


I like that rule, but to bet the team is to bet the number, no?
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:47 pm to
quote:



That's not important......


my man
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59246 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

Solid number. Rule #1 for me, bet numbers, not teams.


That's idiotic
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8784 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:50 pm to
The principle is correct, but he takes it too far IMO

He bets almost every home dog-that's not a profitable long term strategy

To clarify, I'm speaking about NFL. It seems like he follows a similar strategy for CFB as well
This post was edited on 9/9/15 at 9:52 pm
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

but he takes it too far IMO


I only bet two home dogs last week. I bet one home favorite and a road favorite because I liked the number and the game was in state.

Not to mention I don't just look at a line and automatically bet the home dog, but I do take a closer look at home dogs, most especially if the original line has gone up a couple points.

The whole "numbers, not teams" mantra is not a bad strategy. It certainly has more of a science/strategy to it than "Whoa dude, UGA will win by 40 TD's. XYZ team sucks!"

Most people make up their minds about who they think the better team is before the line is even out and wind up betting the team regardless of number. The number is important.
This post was edited on 9/9/15 at 10:01 pm
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 9/9/15 at 10:03 pm to
Georgia -20

I can't lay off this spread. Vandy is absolutely terrible.

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