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re: OFFICIAL Week 2 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:12 am to
Posted by touchdown moses
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
6028 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Pitt +4.5 tonight

reason?
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48110 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:14 am to
quote:

Message Posted by BilJ thinking about playing Pitt +4.5 tonight


I'm locked into Pitt.

There were several players who were suspended in the W1 loss to Youngstown St. I like the combo of Graham and Sunseri on offense for Pitt to bounce back.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162022 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:15 am to
public overreaction to a bad Pitt loss last week and I don't think Cinci is that good this year
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 9:17 am
Posted by touchdown moses
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
6028 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:16 am to
quote:

public overreaction to a bad Pitt loss last week

i can understand that
what does pitt have though? good d? good qb?
the bearcats can usually score points
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:16 am to
Road team has won the last 3 meetings, but after seeing Pitt give up 31 at home to Youngstown State last week and lose, i just don't think they can go on the road on a shortened week and pull out a win. I'm thinking of taking Cincy-4.5 and the OVER
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 9:18 am
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:22 am to
quote:

I haven't had to do any payouts yet


thats not a good thing buddy
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:22 am to
Not really feeling anything on this one. I probably won't even be home tonight to catch the game. I'm gonna pass on this one.

good luck!
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48110 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:23 am to
Sunseri (Pitt) is entering his 3rd year as a starter with over 5,100 yards passing and 26 TDs over those 2 years.

He played well last week: 19-30 239 1 TD.

Graham was leading the Big East in rushing until he was injured in October last year: 164 car, 958 yds and 9 TDs. He managed 71 on 14 carries last week as they were easing him back in.

Graham missed last year's 26-23 loss.
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:23 am to
I've been doing intertops for around 5 years now. I have so many bonus points racked up
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25639 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:34 am to
I like Cincy coming off a bye week 1 to prepare for this game the last few weeks. They have a chance to look at Pitt game film from this year, but Pitt doesn't have the same opportunity.

Well see. Good luck all!
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:38 am to
I don't take road teams in Thursday night games anymore. Well, maybe I could make an exception, but that's my rule.

Lessons were learned last season.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82043 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:32 am to
quote:

thinking about playing Pitt +4.5 tonight

LIKE
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:01 am to
quote:

I like Cincy coming off a bye week 1 to prepare for this game the last few weeks


im liking cincy much more today than i did a few days ago; the line is finally starting to move in the right direction; +5.5...
Posted by VegasPro
Vegas
Member since Aug 2011
2706 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:12 am to
Can someone find the ats stats for a team coming off bye week in week 1? Has to be bad. Def thinking Pitt plus points.
Posted by VegasPro
Vegas
Member since Aug 2011
2706 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:16 am to
Pitt +5.5 2*
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25639 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:17 am to
Don't have that, but an article I read had these ATS stats.

quote:

Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS after a double digit home loss, 16-5 after a straight up loss, 20-7 in conference games, 5-2 overall, 7-3-1 after scoring less than 20 points, 11-5 after and ATS loss, 2-5-1 in Thursday games, and 2-7-1 in September. Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS against teams with losing records, at home against teams with losing road records, and in September, 7-3 in Thursday games and on fieldturf, and 5-12 in conference games. Pitt is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 against Cincinnati. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 in this series.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:25 am to
indeed, so what youre saying is that those trends are irrelevant?

that pitt line may grow to 6 or 6.5 by kickoff as its moved a whole point in a half since the morning, (i would def. wait if i was leaning towards pitt). i wish i had cincy at -3, but im feeling *alright* with the -4.

neither team is any good, so it makes sense to favor the home team on a thursday night.

Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25639 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:29 am to
Yeah, all those ATS stats above seemed to cancel each other out. Though I do like that the home team is 4-1 and that Cincy is 7-3 on Thursdays.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:32 am to
Updated lines from Sportsbook
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (-5.5) (up)
NC State (-4.5) at UConn (up)
Penn State at Virginia (-10.5) (up)
Central Florida at Ohio State (-18) (up)
Auburn at Mississippi State (-3.5) (up)
Tulane at Tulsa (-25.5) (up)
North Carolina (-10.5) at Wake Forest (up)
Air Force at Michigan (-21.5) (up)
Michigan State (-20.5) at Central Michigan (down)
Purdue at Notre Dame (-14) (down)
Iowa State at Iowa (-4.5) (down)
Florida at Texas A&M (pick) (down)
Wisconsin (-7) at Oregon State (down)
Fresno State at Oregon (-35) (up)
Idaho at Bowling Green (-16.5) (down)
Washington at LSU (-24) (up)
Nebraska (-6) at UCLA (up)
Georgia (-2.5) at Missouri (up)
Illinois at Arizona State (-3.5) (up)
Posted by Slippin Pinkies
The 312
Member since Aug 2009
335 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:34 am to
Took Pitt +5.5

84% of public is on Cincy

Just going with my gut on this one
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