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re: Official NFL Week 1 Bet Thread

Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:05 am to
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
68033 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:05 am to
leans

Wash +3.5
Wash ML
Chicago ML
Seattle ML
Houston -1
Posted by NaturalBeam
Member since Sep 2007
14984 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:44 am to
Just throwing this out here - I wondered if the HBO Hard Knocks series causes some distraction in the preseason and makes for a rusty week 1.

I went back and took a look at the history - since the show came back in 2007 (it was on in '01 & '02, then took a break), there have been 8 seasons (not counting 2011, when it wasn't on), the featured team is 2-5-1 ATS. Only the 2008 Cowboys and the 2014 Falcons covered the spread.

Taking that theory to this year, KC is +1 @ HOU. Coupled with Houston's sure-to-be abysmal offense w/o Foster, and I'm rolling with KC
Posted by ATLsuTiger
Johns Creek
Member since Aug 2009
5750 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

NFL Steelers vs Patriots Player to score first TD
Thu 9/10 8:25PM

DeAngelo Williams +1000
Dion Lewis +1400
Scott Chandler +2000


Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82911 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 2:57 pm to
Locking in pats -7
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:12 pm to
Still kicking myself for not locking in -3 before the judges ruling.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97816 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:25 pm to
Locked in Rams +4 550 to win 500
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40487 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:42 pm to
On New England -7. Brady starting for me in Fantasy and I think he's pissed.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162882 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:45 pm to
I think you're reading too much into that stat, most of the teams on Hard Knock usually just suck
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
32161 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

Still kicking myself for not locking in -3 before the judges ruling


Me too, but we had no reason to believe that Brady was going to be playing week one. I wonder exactly how quick the line changed on 5dimes after the ruling.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8781 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:01 pm to
Pitt/NE OVER 52 tonight.
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40487 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:07 pm to
weather is gonna be NASTY out there tonight
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8781 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:21 pm to
Yea, as you can see by the number this was locked in days ago haha. Oh well!
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:23 pm to
65deg with a 50% chance of rain, meh.
Posted by Mac
Member since Nov 2007
14803 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:33 pm to
Big Ben wins in the slop


Saw some stat about it on SportsCenter this morning
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
33188 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:38 pm to
Man 51.5 seems low, looking at the over pretty hard
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8781 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:45 pm to
Besides, it's not like these teams are dome teams...they're used to playing in the elements.
This post was edited on 9/10/15 at 4:46 pm
Posted by Birdie King
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2013
8065 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 5:43 pm to
Saints ML

Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162882 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 6:05 pm to
I'll have a piece of that over tonight
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82911 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 6:23 pm to
No kidding, SMS had it too. I just didn't believe him.
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 6:29 pm to
patriots -6.5(b 1/2)
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