- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 3
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:25 pm to foreverLSU
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:25 pm to foreverLSU
quote:
Louisville -14
Tennessee +28
4 and 6 point difference from the opener
1
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:30 pm to dcrews
What would lead you to believe they are over valuing Tennessee?
The spread indicates money coming in heavy on Oregon. Not Tennessee. If anything you could say Tennessee is being under valued since the line has changed so much since opening at 20 some places.
The spread indicates money coming in heavy on Oregon. Not Tennessee. If anything you could say Tennessee is being under valued since the line has changed so much since opening at 20 some places.
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:31 pm to bamafan425
Went ahead and added 2* Bama -7 (-120) myself. Saban is so deadly in these revenge games. I think people underestimate Va Tech's D as well....
Roll Tide
Roll Tide
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:35 pm to ChemE in the OP
Bama line will be interesting to watch. Not sure where public will be. Todd Furham said 60/40 on Bama.
If it gets back up to around 10 I might throw A&M in a teaser with something else.
If it gets back up to around 10 I might throw A&M in a teaser with something else.
This post was edited on 9/9/13 at 2:37 pm
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:40 pm to bamafan425
quote:
What would lead you to believe they are over valuing Tennessee?
The spread indicates money coming in heavy on Oregon. Not Tennessee. If anything you could say Tennessee is being under valued since the line has changed so much since opening at 20 some places.
I meant the initial line. Obviously I know the money is pouring in on Oregon like a tsunami of cash
-21.5 for an Oregon team that doesn't seem like it's missing a beat after Kelly leaves against a sub par SEC team (that Oregon smashed in TN in the other game of this series)? Also seems like maybe vegas was baiting people with a "+21.5" line.
Had TN not blown out WKU like they did (which would have happened if not for that fluke run of 5 turnovers nearly in a row), would they be getting more than 21.5 points initially? I think so.
This game being played @ Oregon gives me even more confidence. I think the line that came out was too low and the ducks roll.
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:42 pm to dcrews
quote:
Holy God.
WKU had 5 turnovers on 6 plays. Are people over-valuing their (TN) big win? Oregon traveled to UVA and beat the dog poo out of them (and even then on some drives they missed out on 3rd/4th and short).
Now they are at home against a TN team that I have no reason to believe will keep it close.
ETA: When does 5dimes normally post their totals?
Definitely going to tease oregon down. Would not side with Tenn at all.
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:43 pm to jp90
I can definitely see the Oregon game being a 47-21 type game
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:45 pm to dcrews
I think it's absurdly high now. Tennessee has one of the best olines in the nation.
I'm sure Vegas accounted for the fluke turnovers when setting the line. I think 21-24 is the right line. Butch has the Vols flowing with confidence.
I'm sure Vegas accounted for the fluke turnovers when setting the line. I think 21-24 is the right line. Butch has the Vols flowing with confidence.
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:47 pm to bamafan425
quote:
I think it's absurdly high now.
I agree. Which is why I teased it down with Louiville.
Oregon -19.5
Louisville -5.5
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:54 pm to dcrews
That's a nice looking teaser
Posted on 9/9/13 at 2:56 pm to dcrews
A quick question for y'all:
My buddy has a 6 team teaser with only Houston +1 left (other 5 teams have won) to win $160. Should he hedge San Diego for $80 to at least win or should he just roll with?
My buddy has a 6 team teaser with only Houston +1 left (other 5 teams have won) to win $160. Should he hedge San Diego for $80 to at least win or should he just roll with?
Posted on 9/9/13 at 3:04 pm to jembeurt
$160?
No. Not worth hedging for me.
No. Not worth hedging for me.
Posted on 9/9/13 at 3:05 pm to AstroTiger
quote:
That's a nice looking teaser
They all look nice...until one of the teams you put in the teaser shits the bed
Only reason I teased these two teams is because I wanted both of them but missed the opening line. By the time I realized the opening lines were out, they had already jumped (the Oregon line especially)
I feel very confident both of these would have been good bets with the opening line, so I don't feel bad about teasing them both. And I feel like I got good numbers for both (especially with a +100 payout)
Posted on 9/9/13 at 3:06 pm to LSUAlum2001
He's not a big bettor. He usually does a parlay card, and a couple of bets in a weekend. So $160 is a big payout for him. I told him to roll with it, especially since all Houston has to do is win.
Posted on 9/9/13 at 3:17 pm to jembeurt
Definitely roll with it. I used to hedge a lot, but only when the dollar amounts were much larger. I don't bet like I used to though so it's been a while.
Posted on 9/9/13 at 3:19 pm to jembeurt
id put $50-75 on San Diego + 3 1/2 and hope to middle them by Houston winning by 1-3 points
This post was edited on 9/9/13 at 3:20 pm
Posted on 9/9/13 at 3:27 pm to PokerChamp21
The only way SD stays close is if Houston pulls a Giants and has -4+ TO margin.
..but I trust Foster, Tate, etc not to frick up as much as Wilson and co.
..but I trust Foster, Tate, etc not to frick up as much as Wilson and co.
This post was edited on 9/9/13 at 3:27 pm
Posted on 9/9/13 at 4:00 pm to LSUAlum2001
I have Houston to finish off a 5 team ML parlay, but judging how the weekend went and the fact that everyone likes them scares me.
Posted on 9/9/13 at 4:03 pm to LSUAlum2001
I like the idea earlier of a roll it up rather than hurting your odds via Parlay.
Thursday - 1 unit on TCU -3
Friday - Meh, not much I like but if you really want to stick to one I'd take Air Force +23
Saturday 11 am - Louisville -13
Saturday 2:30 Tennessee +28
Satuday 6:30 WKU -10.5
1 unit to win 16. (I'm staying away from the Friday game)
Thursday - 1 unit on TCU -3
Friday - Meh, not much I like but if you really want to stick to one I'd take Air Force +23
Saturday 11 am - Louisville -13
Saturday 2:30 Tennessee +28
Satuday 6:30 WKU -10.5
1 unit to win 16. (I'm staying away from the Friday game)
Posted on 9/9/13 at 4:18 pm to jp90
I expect san Diego to look a lot better but srill too scared to pull the trigger. Goin over instead
Page 6 of 70
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News