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Started By
Message
How long before major decline in each sport?
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:40 pm
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:40 pm
I’m not talking about extinction. I’m talking about the point where coach salaries, scouting budgets, player salaries all start to plateau and begin to decrease due to less fan interest, lower ratings, lower attendance, lower merch sales etc.
How long does each major sport have?
NFL- I think they’ll remain the most popular over the next 15-20 years by far, but salaries will start to come down in the next five years for coaches and budgets and the next ten years for players since there is a cap.
NBA- I think the NBA is possibly in the most trouble. Salaries should plateau now and maybe decline in the next 5 years.
MLB- having no salary cap helps, but it all hinges on the new CBA after this year. If there is a strike, baseball bubble has popped and fan interest won’t come back. If they successfully avoid a strike, I think salaries won’t decline until the 2030s like the NfL.
How long does each major sport have?
NFL- I think they’ll remain the most popular over the next 15-20 years by far, but salaries will start to come down in the next five years for coaches and budgets and the next ten years for players since there is a cap.
NBA- I think the NBA is possibly in the most trouble. Salaries should plateau now and maybe decline in the next 5 years.
MLB- having no salary cap helps, but it all hinges on the new CBA after this year. If there is a strike, baseball bubble has popped and fan interest won’t come back. If they successfully avoid a strike, I think salaries won’t decline until the 2030s like the NfL.
13
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:41 pm to Moustache
I mean is there any evidence this will happen?
Contracts in every sport have gone 1 way for decades.
Boxers still make millions on big fights and who the frick watches boxing’s
Contracts in every sport have gone 1 way for decades.
Boxers still make millions on big fights and who the frick watches boxing’s
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:42 pm to Moustache
They won’t go down but the rate of increase will slow a decent bit very soon
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:43 pm to Moustache
Already happening baw, no one watches that shite. Not being able to go to live games and total politicization of everything makes people turn elsewhere. Only thing that might save it is gambling and or fantasy, but I think fantasy will decline too.
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:44 pm to Moustache
College football is headed that direction before the rest of them. Theres gonna be a course correction in salaries, buyouts etc. Unless we're going to have Nick Saban setting the market at $20 million a year with mid tier coaches at P5 schools coming in at $8-10 million.
This post was edited on 2/23/21 at 12:46 pm
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:44 pm to Bout_Dat_Lyfe
quote:so true. The NBA is already gone from here in Ruston. I just dont see it surviving the next 5 years
Already happening baw, no one watches that shite
This post was edited on 2/23/21 at 12:45 pm
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:55 pm to SammyTiger
Its already happening. During a time when no one was allowed to be in groups, ratings have plummeted across the board. Which is the exact opposite of what should have happened.
People realize they were being being sold a reality show, not real competition
People realize they were being being sold a reality show, not real competition
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:56 pm to WestCoastAg
Something about watching a game with no crowd makes the games boring. It makes me feel like I’m wasting my time.
This post was edited on 2/23/21 at 12:59 pm
Posted on 2/23/21 at 12:59 pm to Bout_Dat_Lyfe
Do millennials and younger even care about sports all that much? That's where I think things might change when boomers start dying off and as Gen X gets older. I will say the proliferation of gambling may help. I am watching a ton of NBA and NHL that I would not follow nearly as close without it.
This post was edited on 2/23/21 at 1:06 pm
Posted on 2/23/21 at 1:00 pm to Moustache
Already happening
Posted on 2/23/21 at 1:04 pm to Bout_Dat_Lyfe
quote:
Already happening baw,
This, but the execs are probably too stupid to know it.
Posted on 2/23/21 at 1:10 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:
This, but the execs are probably too stupid to know i
Oh, the execs know it. They just don’t want to sell that idea to the guys cutting their checks.
Posted on 2/23/21 at 1:11 pm to WestCoastAg
Posted on 2/23/21 at 1:56 pm to Lsuhoohoo
quote:
College football is headed that direction before the rest of them
No it isn't.
Where do you guys get this? CFB will have record revenues once things get back to post Covid normality.TV revenues are increasing in every new negotiation.
Will things level off eventually?
I would assume so but when Amazon,Netflix,Facebook and Google start bidding on TV rights they could dwarf the current TV contracts.
Same with MLB,NFL and NBA
Posted on 2/23/21 at 1:59 pm to I Bleed Garnet
quote:
Already happening
Where outside of NASCAR?
Obviously 2020 numbers are outside the normal parameters.
Posted on 2/23/21 at 2:01 pm to WestCoastAg
quote:
true. The NBA is already gone from here in Ruston. I just dont see it surviving the next 5 years
What?
Posted on 2/23/21 at 2:45 pm to RD Dawg
quote:
What?
You heard what he said
Posted on 2/23/21 at 2:45 pm to RD Dawg
quote:
Where do you guys get this? CFB will have record revenues once things get back to post Covid normality.TV revenues are increasing in every new negotiation.
Highly doubtful. CFB interest has declined big time and will only get worse with opt outs and three schools winning every year (osu, bama, clemson)
It’ll become a very regional sport like college baseball. Teams outside the south and Ohio state just aren’t trying as hard anymore and they’re not investing as much.
This leads to lower ratings (this past ncg was laughably low). Also, the only reason there’s money is tv ad revenue.
Companies are starting to realize that advertising on live tv isn’t the best way to spend their money. Viral and internet advertising are the future. Especially as more and more unplug the cable
Posted on 2/23/21 at 2:46 pm to RD Dawg
That’s his shitty shitpost
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