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FiveThirtyEight predicts 2019-20 NBA playoff and title probability

Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:34 am
Posted by PrimeTime Money
Houston, Texas, USA
Member since Nov 2012
27304 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:34 am
They have a new system called RAPTOR which replaces their old system called CARMELO. Here are the results:

Playoff predictions and probability of making playoffs:

1. Rockets (57-25) 97%
2. Nuggets (53-29) 92%
3. Clippers (52-30) 89%
4. Jazz (50-32) 83%
5. Warriors (48-34) 74%
6. Lakers (47-35) 70%
7. Thunder (47-35) 68%
8. Mavericks (46-36) 64%
—————————————-
9. Timberwolves (43-39) 46%
10. Trail Blazers (41-41) 33%
11. Pelicans (40-42) 30%
12. Spurs (39-43) 25%
13. Suns (35-47) 13%
14. Kings (34-48) 9%
15. Grizzlies (33-49) 7%



1. Bucks (54-28) 99%
2. 76ers (52-30) 98%
3. Raptors (46-36) 91%
4. Celtics (46-36) 89%
5. Pacers (43-39) 82%
6. Magic (42-40) 78%
7. Heat (42-40) 78%
8. Nets (38-44) 56%
————————————-
9. Bulls (37-45) 47%
10. Pistons (36-46) 44%
11. Wizards (31-51) 17%
12. Hawks (29-53) 11%
13. Hornets (26-56) 6%
14. Cavs (24-58) 2%
15. Knicks (20-62) <1%


Best NBA title probability:

Rockets: 26%
Clippers: 16%
Bucks: 15%
76ers: 11%
Warriors: 9%
Nuggets: 5%
Lakers: 4%




https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/
This post was edited on 10/11/19 at 10:35 am
Posted by CocoLoco
Member since Jan 2012
29108 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:36 am to
With guys who always elevate their game in the post season like Harden and Westbrook this looks accurate to me.
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
37570 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:38 am to
This is going to be a good thread
Posted by KirkLazarus
Member since Aug 2017
3574 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:39 am to
Checking in just to watch
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66377 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:39 am to
Pelicans 100% GOAT flock bih
Posted by al_cajun
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2017
2442 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Best NBA title probability:

Rockets: 26%


Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145075 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:40 am to
is this before or after the chinese imprison the laker and nets organizations?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115468 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:40 am to
Nate Pyrite, amirite folks
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94846 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:40 am to
That back half of the Western Conference playoffs looks very interesting.

Not sure I see how OKC or an injured and depleted Golden State team are that much better than anew Orleans, Portland, or San Antonio.
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
6683 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:41 am to
Why are the Blazers so low?
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16831 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:41 am to
quote:

FiveThirtyEight


They should stick to politics...oh wait.
Posted by CocoLoco
Member since Jan 2012
29108 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:42 am to
quote:

Pelicans 100%


too low imo
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81342 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:42 am to
Posted by c on z
Zamunda
Member since Mar 2009
127379 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:43 am to
Clearly the Rockets year!
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145075 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:43 am to
quote:

15. Knicks (20-62) <1%

Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94846 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:44 am to
Still too high.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73271 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:44 am to
quote:

Clippers: 16%


quote:

Lakers: 4%




So good to run LA
Posted by JetsetNuggs
Member since Jun 2014
13884 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:44 am to
quote:

Why are the Blazers so low?


Because they keep running back the same team that fails yearly.

This year, they added the walking headache Hassan Whiteside.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94846 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:45 am to
Yet they didn’t lose two superstars in Westbrook and Paul George, replacing them with a crippled Chris Paul.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8419 posts
Posted on 10/11/19 at 10:47 am to
quote:

7. Thunder (47-35) 68%
8. Mavericks (46-36) 64%
—————————————-
9. Timberwolves (43-39) 46%


This seems really questionable. All three of these teams have some serious holes
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