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re: Early round upset predictions

Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:23 pm to
Posted by Hubbhogg
Our AD Sucks
Member since Dec 2010
13547 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

If you like March Madness trends, last season was just the third time in the last 27 years that all 2 seeds reached the S16. If you follow, think you almost have to look at St. John's against Arkansas or Kansas. Last few 7/10 seeds to bounce a 2 have come from power conferences.



Yeah horrible draw for St. John's having to play 2 teams that actually have as much or more talent than them in round two.
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16207 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:33 pm to
I started a thread on this a while back
LINK

My lists is down to Auburn, Duke, Florida, & Tennessee

Auburn probably best value currently at +550. I think they beat Florida if they meet in Final Four
This post was edited on 3/18/25 at 1:36 pm
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
89550 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:43 pm to
Duke continues to be at the top of pretty much any metrics or predictions out there...but are we not concerned about their weak overall schedule? I know they themselves ARE elite but how much stock do we put into their schedule considering the level of competition ?
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16207 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

I know they themselves ARE elite but how much stock do we put into their schedule considering the level of competition ?


They have NET & KenPom rankings to do that for us, Duke is #1 in both
Posted by moontigr
Commanders/LA Kings/Detroit Tigers
Member since Nov 2020
7006 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:54 pm to
UCSD
Yale
Liberty
Akron
VCU
CSU
Drake
McNeese
Posted by tugreenwave3
Thibodaux, LA
Member since Jun 2012
272 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:56 pm to
All four 11 seeds

UNC/San Diego St winner over Ole Miss
Drake over Missouri
VCU over BYU
Texas/Xavier winner over Illinois

#12 seed Colorado St over Memphis
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16207 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:57 pm to
You might get 4 out of 8
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16207 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

All four 11 seeds

6 vs 11 are 12-12 over the past 6 tourneys
Posted by holdmuh keystonelite
Member since Oct 2020
3668 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 2:59 pm to
High Point over Purdue
Posted by InkStainedWretch
Member since Dec 2018
4868 posts
Posted on 3/18/25 at 5:06 pm to
Aside from the teams already mentioned I like Grand Canyon and Lipscomb.
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16207 posts
Posted on 3/19/25 at 2:34 pm to
13 Yale over 4 A&M
11 Drake over 6 Mizzou
13 High Point over 4 Purdue

Not predicting upsets but I’ll take
15 Omaha +18.5 vs 2 SJU
15 Robert Morris +23.5 vs 2 Bama
Posted by Lake08
Member since Jun 2023
2778 posts
Posted on 3/19/25 at 2:39 pm to
A&M’ s win over Auburn was at home
Posted by Lake08
Member since Jun 2023
2778 posts
Posted on 3/19/25 at 2:40 pm to
You must watch/listen to jmac on FS1
Posted by mtnhighTiger
Scottsdale, AZ
Member since Jan 2010
4327 posts
Posted on 3/19/25 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

Seems like every year someone who has watched approximately 0 minutes of college basketball ends up winning the groups I’m in.
And it's always the random person who picks based on uniform colors or the mascot. sheesh.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
53741 posts
Posted on 3/19/25 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

Unless I've skimmed over it I don't see a similar thread already so figured I'd start one. What are some of the 1/2 round games you're thinking upsets? Of course the 12/5 is usually a trendy pick. I feel like I haven't watched near as much NCAAB this year as usual so I'm mostly clueless on my upsets this year.

Drake over Missouri seems to be a somewhat common one I've seen so far. I'm really not sold on Clemson at ALL so I have no qualms taking Mcneese. Vandy and Arkansas as 10s have piqued my interest although a 10 over a 7 isn't really anything to write home about I guess.

Who are some of the real sleepers as double digit seeds I should be looking for?


Shocking.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
53741 posts
Posted on 3/19/25 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

Drake over Missouri

Missouri is a 6 point favorite. You call that an upset?


What's interesting is the Drake basketball team has 7 players on the roster from MO.
Posted by Magnus
San Diego
Member since Sep 2019
1934 posts
Posted on 3/19/25 at 4:29 pm to
yale, uc san diego, csu, troy. one of those will happen

i like high pt
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
53741 posts
Posted on 3/19/25 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

Drake over Missouri
quote:
Missouri is a 6 point favorite
quote:
You call that an upset?


I don't think Drake defeating Mizzou would be a surprising defeat for Mizzou. I think Drake beat Vandy this year and they also won 30 games this season.
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