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re: DAT Spring Training Thread: YWCHA Edition

Posted on 3/8/23 at 4:14 pm to
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
99784 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 4:14 pm to
Idk those 10 years $300 million aren’t palatable to me. Look at Pujols, best player on the planet before he got 10/250 and he went to shite as he aged. But that's the current market isn't it? Outside of guys taking undermarket deals, which granted we've been fortunate to have, you're not going to keep star players if you don't pay.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
102513 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 4:45 pm to
I'd be happier giving Tucker 10/$300M now at 26 rather than when he's an UFA at 29, but still just seems high.

I agree though, that's the market. If he keeps playing like he has for three more seasons he'll get it.
Posted by Cliff Booth
Member since Feb 2021
2864 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 4:53 pm to
He went on to say the analytics don't look so good with these long deals going past age 33 seasons and he's right. I don't really know what to think about it without knowing what Tuck is asking for. Based on the deals this past offseason, it's probably at least 10 years. If he'd do 7 or 8 it might be different.

These long arse deals are clearly a way to manipulate the CBT and it'll be interesting to see if anything is done about that. If not, it might just be the cost of doing business and Crane won't have a choice if he wants to keep any top tier talent.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
102513 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 5:08 pm to
The Astros giving him 10/$300M now would be through his age 35 season. If he falls off after 33 you've hopefully already benefited enough to stomach it.

Some other team offering the same deal 3 years from now is going to hit 33 midway through the contract. Risky.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
99784 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 5:19 pm to
We've talked a lot about Tucker and Framber deals but we've not really touched on Bregs who's up at the end of next season. He'll be going into his age 30 season. Rendon got his stupid 7/245 deal going into his age 30 season. Breg will have a big market and a big number. He already signed a friendly, albeit back loaded deal paying him 30.5M, once before. I'm expecting he'll want to max his earnings on what's likely his last deal. At least every bit of 200 right?
This post was edited on 3/8/23 at 5:29 pm
Posted by wahoocs
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2004
23540 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 5:30 pm to
Bregs isn’t going anywhere

He has marketing behind him, and family close by

I think we may overpay by typical standards, but still less than what the market would bring

We committed to him over Correa and there’s probably some good faith b/w both parties
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
99784 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 5:40 pm to
The 2nd baseman for Venezuela picked up a single and got thrown out trying to tag up to 2nd. And Bielak gave up a HR to Sal Perez. Sometimes it do Bielak that
This post was edited on 3/8/23 at 5:57 pm
Posted by Cliff Booth
Member since Feb 2021
2864 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

Sal Perez


Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
99784 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

Dana Brown: “I just don’t know that I have the comfort of going as long as, say, maybe I’ll have to to get Tucker done. I just don’t like big deals. If they’re open for something a little more than five, maybe I would be open to doing that." -



Remember how bright eyed and ambitious Brown was about extending players when he first came on the scene? Something about telling Jim Crane buckle up, it's coming.

Now we're getting the quote above. A little more than 5 huh? Like 6 years? 6 being the longest contract Crane has handed out. Crane neutered this guy's gumption in a hurry.
Posted by cypresstiger
The South
Member since Aug 2008
12467 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 6:11 am to
Crane neutered this guy's gumption in a hurry.
—-Hey, if it ain’t broke don’t fix it
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
102513 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 9:00 am to
See, I wouldn't have a problem giving Tucker and Framber 8-9 year extensions now, because we are already on the hook for the next 3.

Consider it buying out their arbitration years and then adding on a new 5-6 year deal.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
38865 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 9:21 am to
quote:

The 2nd baseman for Venezuela picked up a single and got thrown out trying to tag up to 2nd


its truly remarkable how dumb of a baserunner he continues to be
Posted by Topo Chico
Houston
Member since Apr 2019
446 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 9:29 am to
quote:

Remember how bright eyed and ambitious Brown was about extending players when he first came on the scene?


Brown is talking about these extensions too much. The more he talks about them, the less I believe.
I appreciate the candidness, but having to backtrack his initial comments has come off a little amateurish. It feels like he is trying to talk these extensions in to existence.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
105578 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 9:38 am to
He found out how cheap crane really is. The edict is the same...offer undermarket deals and hope. They accept. If not, let them walk...

Tucker is absolutely the mold and age that you offer a 10 year deal to and these idiots acting like Holy shite we can't go that far.

The game has changed dramatically and crane hasn't realized it. The days of stocking the farm like they did under lunhow are impossible now.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
102513 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 10:00 am to
Yeah, offering Framber 10 years is a little risky. He's 29, but has a healthy track record.

It's a lot lower risk with Tucker at 26, but sometimes shite happens.
Posted by wahoocs
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2004
23540 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 10:33 am to
We all form attachments and want to keep our own, esp when we drafted and raised them, but to use a phrase by the poster earlier, you can't will their production in later years into existence

We don't have the luxury of signing Bregman's first deal and Yed and Javier's recent deals if we already had huge deals in place for others

This last WS win, along with the consecutive ALCS runs, has helped me to accept the necessities of keeping this team competitive.
Posted by Domeskeller
Astrodome
Member since Jun 2020
9096 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 10:57 am to
Offering almost any pitcher a 10-year deal is risky, regardless of age.

I know Framber has been relatively healthy, but it still seems like too much of a risk.

But, sadly, long deals are becoming the cost of doing business.
This post was edited on 3/9/23 at 11:02 am
Posted by Floating Change Up
Member since Dec 2013
12490 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 11:03 am to
quote:

This last WS win, along with the consecutive ALCS runs, has helped me to accept the necessities of keeping this team competitive.


Agreed. We always hear the super stars state, "This is a business." and everyone nods and says, "yep I don't blame him for taking the money and running."

I never hear anyone say, "Well, it's a business. I don't blame that owner for letting that superstar leave for that absurd contract."

frick it. Good, bad, or ugly -- Crane has managed to bring 2 WS championships. If he doesn't want to pay these stupid contracts, who am I to argue?

That said... he's rich. I'm not. It's his money. Not mine.

He better pay that man his money.
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
62202 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 11:07 am to
I don’t think a pitcher has ever received a 10 year deal in MLB history, Cole’s 9 year deal is the longest I can remember. I love Framber, but unless you’re just doing it to defer money giving him a “real” 10 year deal would be borderline malpractice

I seriously doubt they need to do that also. I am guessing 5 or 6 years is fine, just a question of the value
This post was edited on 3/9/23 at 11:09 am
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
105578 posts
Posted on 3/9/23 at 11:44 am to
Tucker is absolutely worth the long commitment. He projects as the kind of player to maintain his production long into his 30s. Healthy, speed, great defense LH hitter with power. Prime still ahead of him.
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