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re: Daily Sports Betting Thread - 2/23/22 Edition

Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:34 am to
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
59468 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:34 am to
Added LSU baseball -170

And a couple of long shot soccer parlays:

Atletico Madrid ML
Ronaldo anytime goal scorer
+1182

Ajax ML
Bayern Munich ML
Liverpool ML
Man City ML
Juventus ML
Chelsea ML
+1035
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36992 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:35 am to
I have hit 8-team ML parlays the last 2 days, so I will share today's pics with the class. There is no science or data to these picks. I don't look at advanced metrics. I just find 5-10 point favorites that I feel really good about winning the game based on their recent play and their opponent's recent play. I never pick a shitty team, no matter how bad their opponent is. I am not trusting a 8-21 team to do my dirty work for me.

Dayton
Seton Hall
SMU
VCU
Longwood
App St.
UNCG
Dayton

$10 bet on the parlay; 20 cents each on the 250 RR bets.

Admittedly there is not a lot of juice here. Today's profit if all 8 hit is $98, where I have been getting $110-$120-ish. There are a lot of games today that I stayed away from on the ML because the favorite seemed sketchy--but in turn, that means there are a lot of spreads that I like.
This post was edited on 2/23/22 at 9:38 am
Posted by danny d lsu
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2007
1567 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:40 am to
Creighton vs St. John's is interesting to me. So I must be missing something. Creighton has won 6 of last 7 games and beat St. John's by 23 earlier this year. It was @ Creighton but I feel like Creighton +5 is obvious take. But is it too obvious?
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
59468 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:41 am to
I’m going to tail that, baw, because hitting 8 leg parlays three consecutive times is very common.
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
7082 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:51 am to
You have given me something to look at there.
Posted by kellyboy23
Member since Dec 2019
316 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:51 am to
I guess Caesars does not want any of the college baseball action.
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36992 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:52 am to
quote:

I’m going to tail that, baw, because hitting 8 leg parlays three consecutive times is very common.



I hope you are right
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36992 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:54 am to
quote:

Creighton vs St. John's is interesting to me. So I must be missing something. Creighton has won 6 of last 7 games and beat St. John's by 23 earlier this year. It was @ Creighton but I feel like Creighton +5 is obvious take. But is it too obvious?


I am glad I wasn't the only one who noticed that.
Posted by lsufb1912
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2021
5965 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:55 am to
quote:

I just find 5-10 point favorites that I feel really good about winning the game based on their recent play and their opponent's recent play. I never pick a shitty team, no matter how bad their opponent is.



I was looking at doing the same thing today for mostly favorites playing at home (based off of your recent success). Will try to post my pics later, but looks like we have some of the same ones.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83741 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:55 am to
quote:

I have hit 8-team ML parlays the last 2 days


Did you track how many of those ML winners also covered the spread?
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36992 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:57 am to
quote:

Did you track how many of those ML winners also covered the spread?



Actually I did not, but that is a good idea. As much as I enjoy the numbers of all of this, I am shocked that I didn't think of it in the first place.
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10546 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:59 am to
frick there are so many games on the slate tonight. I can already see how this is going to end

"Ok, I'll just put in a few bets before any of the action starts"

*First tip-off at 5:30*

"you son of a bitch I'm in"
Posted by jkylejohnson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2016
14512 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 9:59 am to
quote:

Hit a 17 leg parlay on FanDuel last night


Posted by danny d lsu
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2007
1567 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 10:00 am to
quote:

I am glad I wasn't the only one who noticed that.


Preparing myself for St. John's to win by 5.5.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162130 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 10:01 am to
think I may switch some money from FD back over to draft kings for college baseball and they just seem to have better options for building SGP.

getting a little tired of some of the random shite FD won't let you tie together. I get why on some they won't but some of it makes no sense.
Posted by jkylejohnson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2016
14512 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 10:02 am to
Yeah the whole “I’m done after the Super Bowl” plan I had got blown to shite. I never even used to visit the MSB and now it’s almost the only board I click on. Nothing like having your heart beat out of your chest on a Tuesday night over a hockey game that you can’t name a single player in.
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10546 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 10:04 am to
Correct. I've posted more the past month in these betting threads than I've posted during the previous 13 years of being on TD
Posted by Polar Pop
Member since Feb 2012
10924 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 10:05 am to
Taking it easy tonight, I need to sleep.

Rutgers +5
Kentucky ML
Wisconsin ML
Posted by jkylejohnson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2016
14512 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Taking it easy tonight


Posted by Polar Pop
Member since Feb 2012
10924 posts
Posted on 2/23/22 at 10:10 am to


Just a hold over for NBA tomorrow night
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