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Correlation between NIL spending and CFP Rank
Posted on 11/10/26 at 2:28 pm
Posted on 11/10/26 at 2:28 pm
Spearman's rank correlation test (the proper choice for ordinal data like this). There is no significant correlation between NIL spending and CFP ranking (as of the most current rankings). Data for NIL comes from nilstandard website.
Example data point:
Georgia is #2 in the CFP rankings, #21 in NIL spending.
Spearman's rank correlation rho
data: RankCorr$CFP.Rank and RankCorr$NIL.Rank
S = 1962, p-value = 0.2361
alternative hypothesis: true rho is not equal to 0
sample estimates:
rho
0.2453846
Slightly positive correlation but not meaningful or predictive.
Here is the raw data:
Team,CFP Rank,NIL Rank
Miami,1,5
Georgia,2,21
Utah,3,38
Indiana,4,13
Alabama,5,11
Kentucky,6,30
Texas,7,1
UCLA,8,23
BYU,9,39
Ole Miss,10,8
Notre Dame,11,6
Ohio State,12,4
Tennessee,13,10
LSU,14,3
Texas Tech,15,9
Wake Forest,16,55
Houston,17,47
Missouri,18,24
Iowa,19,66
USC,20,12
South Carolina,21,16
Arizona,22,59
Oregon,23,2
Florida,24,15
Boise State,25,64
Example data point:
Georgia is #2 in the CFP rankings, #21 in NIL spending.
Spearman's rank correlation rho
data: RankCorr$CFP.Rank and RankCorr$NIL.Rank
S = 1962, p-value = 0.2361
alternative hypothesis: true rho is not equal to 0
sample estimates:
rho
0.2453846
Slightly positive correlation but not meaningful or predictive.
Here is the raw data:
Team,CFP Rank,NIL Rank
Miami,1,5
Georgia,2,21
Utah,3,38
Indiana,4,13
Alabama,5,11
Kentucky,6,30
Texas,7,1
UCLA,8,23
BYU,9,39
Ole Miss,10,8
Notre Dame,11,6
Ohio State,12,4
Tennessee,13,10
LSU,14,3
Texas Tech,15,9
Wake Forest,16,55
Houston,17,47
Missouri,18,24
Iowa,19,66
USC,20,12
South Carolina,21,16
Arizona,22,59
Oregon,23,2
Florida,24,15
Boise State,25,64
Posted on 11/10/26 at 2:36 pm to PoliticalSavant
This methodology would make sense if everyone played the same schedule. That's not the case though.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 2:59 pm to PoliticalSavant
Excellent formating
Posted on 11/10/26 at 3:20 pm to PoliticalSavant
let me help ya
not much of a correlation it seems at r^2 = 0.1042
not much of a correlation it seems at r^2 = 0.1042
Posted on 11/10/26 at 4:17 pm to PoliticalSavant
Shocking Indiana spends more than Georgia.
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 4:18 pm
Posted on 11/10/26 at 7:54 pm to hubertcumberdale
quote:
not much of a correlation it seems at r^2 = 0.1042
That is the wrong measure in this situation, but thank you for posting the plot.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 7:56 pm to Brisketeer
quote:
This methodology would make sense if everyone played the same schedule. That's not the case though.
The CFP ranking is the mechanism that adjusts for schedule.
Posted on 11/10/26 at 8:16 pm to PoliticalSavant
quote:
That is the wrong measure in this situation, but thank you for posting the plot.
buddy im not splitting the atom here just showing there isnt really much of a correlation bw CFP ranking and NIL $ spent
Posted on 11/10/26 at 8:17 pm to PoliticalSavant
Who is number 2? Aggy? 
Posted on 11/10/26 at 8:40 pm to UnluckyTiger
quote:
Who is number 2? Aggy?
I thought it was Ohio State but this has them at #4. It could be A&M.
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 8:41 pm
Posted on 11/10/26 at 8:43 pm to UnluckyTiger
Oregon I believe
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