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re: CFB Betting Thread: Week 4
Posted on 9/18/19 at 1:02 pm to jac1280
Posted on 9/18/19 at 1:02 pm to jac1280
does anyone have any real strong convictions about the Wave tomorrow night? I really want to pull the trigger on it because this could be a program shifting win for them and they've looked the part so far.
but it is Tulane. so does the momentum run out here? I see 31-28ish if they're going to win. both teams 2-1 ATS this year
but it is Tulane. so does the momentum run out here? I see 31-28ish if they're going to win. both teams 2-1 ATS this year
4
Posted on 9/18/19 at 1:26 pm to WinnPtiger
Don't know about the wave, but thinking of taking Over 56.
Posted on 9/18/19 at 1:28 pm to WinnPtiger
Tons of internal pressure for Tulane here. Everyone who cares about the program is sky high about the game. That could be good or bad. Can't really guess how they'll respond.
It's hard to ride with the over as well. Tulane's defense has looked legit (and they really are good up front) and the offense is still a run-heavy scheme which thrives with ball control despite the new OC. I don't know if King is the best fit for what Holgerson likes to do with the Air Raid either.
It's hard to ride with the over as well. Tulane's defense has looked legit (and they really are good up front) and the offense is still a run-heavy scheme which thrives with ball control despite the new OC. I don't know if King is the best fit for what Holgerson likes to do with the Air Raid either.
Posted on 9/18/19 at 1:44 pm to WinnPtiger
I have the Wave in a bunch of ML parlays and tease pieces - they should win going away based on the situational spot. They should be able to maul Houston on the ground, and defensively I don't see Houston sustaining many long drives.
Posted on 9/18/19 at 1:48 pm to Billy Mays
King for UH is athletic enough to break a good defense that doesn't have tons of speed on it. It might be a bad thing for Tulane to drive him from the pocket.
Posted on 9/18/19 at 1:58 pm to oliveandblue
Wisc -3.5
UCF -12.5
Bama -10 1Q
UCF -12.5
Bama -10 1Q
Posted on 9/18/19 at 2:03 pm to oliveandblue
quote:
King for UH is athletic enough to break a good defense that doesn't have tons of speed on it. It might be a bad thing for Tulane to drive him from the pocket.
Yeah true I don't know much about Tulane's LB corps - definitely a match-up worth looking at.
The metrics are way down on Houston, but in fairness to them they've played 2 really good offenses. Tulane's offense is a bit one-note.
I just like the Wave's intangibles - Houston put a lot into their loss to Wazzu and not sure how motivated they will be going into Tulane. Should be a pretty hyped crowd for Tulane's standards too.
Posted on 9/18/19 at 2:05 pm to SoFunnyItsNot
Take Wisky not LSU....
Posted on 9/18/19 at 2:07 pm to oliveandblue
i’m starting to lean taking the points but expecting Tulane to win. King has been good, not great. and despite giving up 49 and 31 to OU and Wazzu, their defense isn’t awful. the did give up more points to Prarie View or whoever than was necessary 
has anyone checked the line movement? if it’s coming down I might just wait until closer to kick. that Over looks tasty though
has anyone checked the line movement? if it’s coming down I might just wait until closer to kick. that Over looks tasty thoughPosted on 9/18/19 at 2:11 pm to WinnPtiger
quote:
Line movement
It opened at Tulane -3.5 now its -5. It did get up to -5.5 yesterday afternoon. It opened at Ov/Un 62 and now it’s 56 on the book I use.
Posted on 9/18/19 at 2:17 pm to Sader1990
Northwestern has beaten Mich State the last 3 years.
Lean
Northwestern +9.5
Lean
Northwestern +9.5
Posted on 9/18/19 at 3:22 pm to Sader1990
took Houston +4.5
Posted on 9/18/19 at 3:37 pm to oliveandblue
quote:
That line opened at -1 and then moved HARD to -5.5.
Is that real??? I got Tulane -5 today
Posted on 9/18/19 at 3:45 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Exactly why I took UH and the points. I think Tulane will win, but UH should keep it close. Also took the under @ 56
Posted on 9/18/19 at 3:59 pm to Ed Osteen
I ended up taking U56. according to the experts, the under hits 57% of the time that there's wind higher than 12 MPH . I couldn't decide what to do
. I couldn't decide what to do This post was edited on 9/18/19 at 4:00 pm
Posted on 9/18/19 at 4:18 pm to WinnPtiger
Anybody touching Tennessee- Florida-13.5?
This post was edited on 9/18/19 at 4:18 pm
Posted on 9/18/19 at 4:21 pm to MickeyLikesDags21
FSU looked WAY better last week at Virginia. Hard to believe it was the same team. They kind of deserved to win - I had UVA huge on moneyline and I sweated my arse off the entire 4 hours.
This post was edited on 9/18/19 at 4:22 pm
Posted on 9/18/19 at 4:24 pm to SirWinston
I cannot believe the MSU-NW line is so high
Posted on 9/18/19 at 4:36 pm to LaBR4
I'm not but could definitely see Tenn keeping it close almost like FSU did at Virginia last week
This post was edited on 9/18/19 at 4:37 pm
Posted on 9/18/19 at 4:42 pm to LaBR4
quote:
Anybody touching Tennessee- Florida-13.5?
No way. I am on a decent UF ML play and parlay though. Id be stunned to see the pathetic vols leave gainsville with a win
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