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re: CFB bets week 4

Posted on 9/21/11 at 1:09 pm to
Posted by touchdown moses
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
6031 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Does anyone know whats up with the Boise line? Was -33 yesterday and now -29.5. Thats a big move for 1 day. Just curious if there was any injury news or something


not sure but when i first looked at the line without even knowing it would drop my first reaction was to stay far away from that game.
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42388 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 1:10 pm to
Very odd indeed...
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9040 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 1:10 pm to
If it get's down to 28 I'd begin to consider Boise due to those injuries, but I most likely wouldnt bet that game unless it was 21. That's just me though.
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9040 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

RLM has never entered your vocabulary.



You have to pick what ~53% ATS to break even with 10% juice? I've seen statistics that show that RLM betting in CFB is less than 60%.
Not a huge profit margin and you run the risk of losing line value.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 3:15 pm to
Im very shocked that Boise is moving like that.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82184 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

wish i was tebow

Quit posting in class and learn something
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Quit posting in class and learn something


Got better stuff to do

Like try to decide how these 20 year old kids are going to preform with 100's of thousands of people watching


ETA:

Tots

we could also look at florida and tex tech at -9.5 in the tease
This post was edited on 9/21/11 at 3:38 pm
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

when i first looked at the line without even knowing it would drop my first reaction was to stay far away from that game


Ditto

I have been burnt on more than a couple of their games through the years, and just tend to stay away from them in general unless it is really enticing
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82184 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 3:45 pm to
quote:


Tots

we could also look at florida and tex tech at -9.5 in the tease
I already have Florida at -17 which is a great line so I won't want to tease that one. Tech is a good option since I got them at -21 and they have come down .5

These are the ones I have my eye on for Friday afternoon when I place the bet:

Eastern Michigan +39.5
SMU -12 (One of my favorites)
Bama -2
Texas Tech -10.5
Boise -19.5
Oregon -5.5

Possibly:
UCF +13
Miami -3
OKst +14
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 3:48 pm to

Oregon is my favorite, No way Penn state even scores 38 points in that game love that, Like OKST, Like OU alot (mizzou is so bad) and like bama, But you could also do Ark +22. i dont see bama winning my more than 3 TD's
Posted by Hullabaloo
LA
Member since Sep 2009
15296 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Florida at -17



jealous. i got in at 19.5



turns out i forgot to hit place bet on my parlay (because i was in a rush)


so i didn't make it



i might just take Fla in a straight bet for 11 and do a 10 dollar parlay (3 team) and that's it
This post was edited on 9/21/11 at 4:12 pm
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42388 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:10 pm to
I think it was at like 17.5 or 18 when he got it but choose to bet it down to -17 (thus getting a lower potential payout)
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:12 pm to
i think UF covers your 19.5
Posted by Hullabaloo
LA
Member since Sep 2009
15296 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:20 pm to
gimme 2 solid picks you are going with not named UGA or Fla


I know your high on Oregon.

who else



TTT, on oddsmaker.. why cant you bet the Fla St game anymore?
This post was edited on 9/21/11 at 4:24 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82184 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

I think it was at like 17.5 or 18 when he got it but choose to bet it down to -17 (thus getting a lower potential payout)

Yea, my friend who has a bookie got a line at -17.5 so I went through him and bought it down to 17. The line was never below 18 on oddsmaker
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82184 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

TTT, on oddsmaker.. why cant you bet the Fla St game anymore?

Typically when they take games off the books, that means there is something in the rumblings that could shift the outcome of a game. I would guess it has to do with the QB Emmanuel, whether or not he will play. After they announce, they could put the game back on the books. This happens quite often
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9040 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:33 pm to
I hope they give FSU more points. Their backup looked good, especially in that situation.
Posted by Hullabaloo
LA
Member since Sep 2009
15296 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:33 pm to
i read the free money answer you posted...


could you explain it to me simpler? i read it like 10 times but to many slang words im not familiar with
Posted by FootballNostradamus
Member since Nov 2009
20509 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

I hope they give FSU more points. Their backup looked good, especially in that situation.


Think Vegas might have pulled the Clemson-Florida State line, I can’t find it anymore. Do you see it anywhere? I got Clemson at +3, and I’m loving it. Trickett might have looked good at home, but he’s going to get murdered on the road by Clemson’s defensive line.
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
23117 posts
Posted on 9/21/11 at 5:00 pm to
The FSU/Clemson line got pulled....

I see someone is buying into the Clemson hype LOL. Don't forget it's CLEMSON!

Anyone like the Illinois line? -13
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