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re: Are NBA Players Getting Too Good? (YT Video)

Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:33 pm to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422472 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

Theres literally no coherency here.

You are the one who tried to "gotcha" the hand check.

Again, it existed outside of the Dead Ball Era. Why wasn't it this offense killers prior to the Dead Ball Era?

Also, the Dead Ball Era was a function of intentionally destroying pace offensively (not via defense). How did hand checking cause coaches to want to slow pace down offensively?

I'm using your arguments. Try to keep up with them.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422472 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

Where is your data for this?


Did you miss the whole change when partial zones were legalized?

Did you not look at the pictures in OP to see how laughably shitty defense was in the old era?

Or you can go to the sources of the time...Jordan, Tmac, Duncan, KG, etc for some subjective analysis.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422472 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:37 pm to
quote:

I said it was,


No you said

quote:

And the data on free throws is going to be skewed because post players are getting less touches (and shaq probably brought down the league average himself lol).


quote:

what's your point?

Is shooting a skill?

If shooting is getting better, that shows the league is getting more skilled, yes?

My primary point is that players are more skilled than ever before and systems are more efficient than ever before, which has cause offensive efficiency to go up. It's a simple point.
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23189 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

but the data doesn't back this up.


Waiting for it.

quote:

If it was a pure "defense worse" scenario


Who is arguing this?

Like in football, it's both true you aren't allowed to defend like you could 15 years ago, and also receivers have made catches that would have been catches of the week/month/year not long ago Into nearly routine.

I reference odell's catch against the cowboys. That catch was a national phenomenon that made Odell a household name.

That's probably "just a great catch" by todays standards and Odell's is still playing!
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23189 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

. Why wasn't it this offense killers prior to the Dead Ball Era?


Because the 80s were another era where no one played defense probably.
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23189 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:43 pm to
quote:

No you said


No I said.

quote:

when all offense is defended other than free throws.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422472 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:44 pm to
quote:

Like in football, it's both true you aren't allowed to defend like you could 15 years ago,

It would be like if the NFL had banned zone D for decades, but then made illegal contact a foul while legalizing zone D in exchange (and creating a shorter permitted huddle time).

Would you say NFL Ds would be at more or less of a disadvantage by that exchange?

Man only + more contact prior to releasing the ball on a pass and the full 24 seconds to huddle as you please

v.

Man + Zone without illegal contact and forcing teams out of the huddle with, say, 12 seconds to go on the clock.

That's more comparable to what the NBA did.
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23189 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

It would be like if the NFL had banned zone D for decades, but then made illegal contact a foul while legalizing zone D in exchange (and creating a shorter permitted huddle time). Would you say NFL Ds would be at more or less of a disadvantage by that exchange?


I would say comparing the scale of those changes in basketball and football is ridiculous.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422472 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

I would say comparing the scale of those changes in basketball and football is ridiculous.

You're slipping

Typically when you digress the topic and I respond, instead of that avoidance mechanism you say I'm all over the place.

You're the one who brought up comparing this to football and in one reply argue comparing this to football is "ridiculous"

Posted by TC Kidd
Member since Nov 2023
776 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 11:16 pm to
Can you imagine a scenario where your freedom depends on this retard’s representation?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422472 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 11:18 pm to
quote:

Can you imagine a scenario where your freedom depends on this retard’s representation?




My mom thinks I'm handsome
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83462 posts
Posted on 12/27/23 at 11:51 pm to
Finally you channel your efforts into a Lebron > MJ thread
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422472 posts
Posted on 12/28/23 at 8:26 am to
This is more like "is Tyrese Haliburton > Lebron?", son.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83462 posts
Posted on 12/28/23 at 8:55 am to
quote:

This is more like "is Tyrese Haliburton > Lebron?", son.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57316 posts
Posted on 12/28/23 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Even if you look at the terrible "Dead Ball Era" (about 1997-2016, when teams just intentionally ran a slow pace that artificially destroyed offensive stats)


Sounds to me you are making an argument for Kobe being the GOAT. Dude went at teams 5 on 1 like it was nothing, zone defense or not. The entire dead-ball era was meant to slow him down. His 2006 season, adjusted to today's game would equal 50ppg.
This post was edited on 12/28/23 at 9:17 am
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
47613 posts
Posted on 12/28/23 at 9:20 am to
quote:

The entire dead-ball era was meant to slow him down.


I thought the so called dead ball era was a result of expansion and the first lockout, before Kobe was even in his prime

It also coincided with a shorter 3 point line

I’d say it lasted from the Rockets-Knicks finals in 1994 until Steve Nash joined the Suns in 2004
This post was edited on 12/28/23 at 9:36 am
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
31907 posts
Posted on 12/28/23 at 9:24 am to
I wonder how much the Kirk Goldsberry shot maps helped to finally cement the current offensive strategies.

Here was a case of a guy with a PhD and Harvard affiliation showing objectively that long 2’s went in at a 2-3% higher clip than three-point shots, with a gigantic sample size and no typical blogger snark.

I suspect it really won over GM’s and execs.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61263 posts
Posted on 12/28/23 at 9:26 am to
The NBA is unappealing because the players are unappealing.


They're all former AAU circuit players, and all they care about flexing on social media and banging insta-models.


There are no compelling storylines like the 90s or even 2000s.

Like a quarter of the NBA is children or kin of former NBA players.
This post was edited on 12/28/23 at 9:29 am
Posted by NFLU7
Houston, Tx
Member since Jan 2016
1255 posts
Posted on 12/28/23 at 9:40 am to
Based on what? Your old head eye test? The league today is far and above what it was even during the Kobe era talent wise.
Posted by MrBarry
Member since Sep 2023
432 posts
Posted on 12/28/23 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Take your top 10 centers from the Dead Ball Era or the high-flying, no defense 80s preceding it. Look at what comparable 3point rate is necessary to compete with their FG%. When you go to total eFG (considering the likely FT% drop), it gets even worse.




Tim Duncan - Shot 69% for his career inside 3', 55% TS%
Shaq - Shot 75% from inside 3', 59% TS%
Malone - 66% from inside 3', 58% TS%
Ewing - 60% (age 34-39 only) from inside 3', 55% TS%
Robinson - 66% inside 3', 58% TS%
Olajuwon - 66% (age 34-39 only) from inside 3', 55% TS%
Rik Smits - 68% from inside 3', 55% TS%
Sabonis - 61% from inside 3', 57% TS%
Mutombo - 65% from inside 3', 57% TS%
Garnett - 69% from inside 3', 55% TS%
Mourning - 72% from inside 3', 58% TS%
Yao Ming - 68% from inside 3', 60% TS%
Staudamire - 67% from inside 3', 60% TS%
Pau Gasol - 66% from inside 3', 57% TS%

the unskilled Dwight Howard who can't make FT's - 72% from inside 3', 60% TS%


What you see here is if anything, the dead ball error centers were actually more efficient than the great centers of the 90's.


The great effecient Klay Thompson 57% TS%
Jayson Tatum 58% TS%
Doncic 58%
Lebron 59%
Mitchell 57%
Booker 58%
Lillard 59%
No 3 Giannis 61%

Steph Curry 63% a true effecient player unlike any other.
Kevin Durant 62%, another truely efficient player unlike any other.




Jokic 63% TS%
Embiid 61% TS%


Last year of the top 16 players in TS%, only 4 of them weren't big men. Austin Reaves, Durant, Kispert, Curry.
Jimmy Butler, the guy that rarely takes 3's, was at 65% TS% last year, 59% from his career.

Centers who don't shoot 3's can be just as efficient if not more than the 3 point shooting guards of today launching 10 3's a game.



There's a lot more to playing basketball than not playing defense and running to the three point line once your team gets the ball so you can shoot a three.
Of course NBA players are getting more skilled. There's this belief that everyone has to be able to shoot 3's or your worthless in the NBA. Guys who shoot 3's are becoming more efficient, and guys who don't shoot 3's are getting more efficient, but the most efficient players are still the dominant centers, like it's always been. The issue is no one is teaching centers how to be skilled in the low post anymore, and instead try to teach them to shoot 3's and when they can't they just say well go catch this ally oop and hustle for put backs. No need to teach you how to get into a good position with your man on your back and learn how to drop step into an easy bucket opportunity, b/c that's boring basketball, just like hitting singles in baseball is boring.

Everyone shoot 3's, everyone hit homeruns. That's basketball and baseball today.


and i'll make this Pels related and bring up that Jonas Valaniunas has a career 62% TS%. The Pelicans look better when playing through him. That doesn't mean he has to take 20 shots a game, but when the ball goes through him, we typically get a high percentange shot, either from JV himself or b/c of the defensive rotations that are forced after he passes out of the double team.
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