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re: 2/5/2013 Basketball, Hockey, Soccer Bet Thread

Posted on 2/5/13 at 3:45 pm to
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
29423 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

added GSW/HOU 1Q under 55


Good call....I think.....up has been down and left has been right for me for about the last week.

I'll probably add this to my half play on the game.......then the teams will come out and score 70 in the 1st quarter.
This post was edited on 2/5/13 at 3:47 pm
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 3:49 pm to
quote:

One thing I have noticed lately in your plays (and this is only a surface observation, I haven't had time to delve into the numbers too deep)is that some of the teams that were scoring lights out have come back to earth, and your system hasn't compensated. Do you have any component that (again I'm assuming you have 24hrs to devote solely to capping) takes into account a rolling 10game avg? Would something like that be beneficial?

There's a last 10 games and last 3 home/road games weight in the formulas.

You could argue that's a good or bad thing. Team on fire one night comes back to earth the next or maybe the team has changed.

For example, when no one thought the Nets could score, my system did. We've made a lot of money off Brooklyn in the past month or so. We also went like 9-2 in Clippers 2Q overs before the CP3 injury ruined that.
Posted by memphstigers23
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

Well, say and edit bruh

I'm on thin ice bro
This post was edited on 2/5/13 at 4:14 pm
Posted by NOLA1128
Member since Dec 2011
3961 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

The second boom won't happen (first is still set too)


Bower is the first.
I'm guessing RSJ was the second.
Posted by LSUcdro
Republic of West Florida
Member since Sep 2009
11362 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 3:58 pm to
Hi memphis

Carson it's feast or famine with you huh?
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36725 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 3:58 pm to
Memphdaddy, you know anything besides Willis is back in play?
quote:

I'm guessing RSJ was the second.
This post was edited on 2/5/13 at 4:01 pm
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:01 pm to
locked in:
Ill-Chi +12
Texas Tech +12
Northern Iowa -12
Kentucky -17
Georgia Tech -2.5 (2x)


will be adding DePaul and Southern Illinois. waiting on hooks on those.
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
29423 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

CP3 injury ruined that.


I think it also extended into the first 5 or so games he missed when they didn't compensate for his speedier backup.

Does the World Peace suspension for tonight hurt the over in that game?
This post was edited on 2/5/13 at 4:05 pm
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

I think it also extended into the first 5 or so games he missed when they didn't compensate for his speedier backup.

Yeah, I'm not sure what to do about trades and the playoffs yet.

And no NBA sides for me tonight. I had Nets circled, almost grabbed it at -2.5 but decided to watch the public and how Vegas reacts. It was up to 5 before I could blink. I have Nets by 5.5 full-game.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Does the World Peace suspension for tonight hurt the over in that game?

nope
Posted by memphstigers23
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:14 pm to


quote:

Memphdaddy, you know anything besides Willis is back in play?

I'm hurt that you had to ask if I knew you should know I know everything that's going on with our recruiting

quote:

Hi memphis

Hi
This post was edited on 2/5/13 at 4:20 pm
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36725 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:16 pm to
I got rid of my subscription when TSD guys made the jump to 247. I'm out of the loop.
Posted by memphstigers23
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:21 pm to
247 is the tits. Willis is still listening to pitches so I guess he's in play, but he said he's signing with UCLA Friday (parents or mom are out of town) so take that fwiw. But he called the coaches Friday and yesterday about how he's second guessing his choice. Also a OG from FL to keep an eye on WINK WINK.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36725 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

Also a OG from FL to keep an eye on WINK WINK.
I have no earthly idea.
Posted by memphstigers23
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:26 pm to
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36725 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:30 pm to
Gotcha, thanks

I just skimmed through Rivals database under OG and didn't recognize any names; Rivals has him at OT.
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
29423 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:31 pm to
DK looks the part
Posted by memphstigers23
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:34 pm to
I'm grateful to be back, thanks rummel
This post was edited on 2/5/13 at 4:48 pm
Posted by LSUcdro
Republic of West Florida
Member since Sep 2009
11362 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:35 pm to
dayum mac, you are really running with College totals tonight?

Is this a desperation move?
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 2/5/13 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

dayum mac, you are really running with College totals tonight?

I don't believe in playing NCAA totals. They are the devil.

quote:

Is this a desperation move?

Nah. Trying to keep gambling fun since I have no NBA full-game picks tonight.

I was good in NCAA in November, shitty in December. We'll see how it goes.






Oh, and I did lock in S. Ill +10.5 and DePaul +2.5
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