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When do interest rates go up?

Posted on 11/26/20 at 12:55 pm
Posted by AndyJ
Member since Jul 2008
2755 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 12:55 pm
I’m such a novice, I don’t even know how stupid this question is, though I suspect that it is. I know “printing money” leads to inflation, and I know that’s what we have been doing for a while and it has recently accelerated. I also know that should lead to inflation... when does inflation begin and how high does it go?

The reason I ask is because I want to start investing in real estate and borrowing money... but I am still saving for down payments...
Posted by ellesssuuu
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2016
2780 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 1:00 pm to
Prime rate will be low for several years. Mortgage rates are predicted to be low 3’s in 2021.
Posted by AndyJ
Member since Jul 2008
2755 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 1:02 pm to
Thanks man, Are those low 3s considered lower than they are now?
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
48976 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 1:03 pm to
I thought the fed said rates likely to stay the same for the next 3 to 5 years?
Posted by ellesssuuu
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2016
2780 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 1:16 pm to
Rates right now are in mid to upper 2’s. Probably will be that way to start the new year
Posted by AndyJ
Member since Jul 2008
2755 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 1:22 pm to
Thanks guys
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
13628 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

I thought the fed said rates likely to stay the same for the next 3 to 5 years?


The rates banks lend with each other is not significant to most of us consumers. The 10 year treasury rate is the indicator for mortgage rates. Nobody has said the 10 year will not go up for 3-5 years.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11115 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 2:51 pm to
Jay would takeover the MBS market before he allowed mortgage rates to moon.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4590 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 3:54 pm to
The 2 other times in history where the 10 year treasury rate has fallen below 4% took it 30+ years to get back above 4%.
This post was edited on 11/26/20 at 3:55 pm
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
13628 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 4:36 pm to
True. We really have been in an amazing cycle with interest rates. People have come to expect cheap money. Powell won’t let them go up under his watch.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11115 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 4:50 pm to
He can't without blowing up the monetary system. That's the hilarious part. Our government wouldn't be able to function.
Posted by TDFreak
Dodge Charger Aficionado
Member since Dec 2009
7372 posts
Posted on 11/26/20 at 10:07 pm to
Thus far the Fed has walked a tight rope regarding monetary policy.

You are correct, easy money should result in inflation. However, we are teetering in the edge of
quote:

deflation
so the Fed increased the money supply dramatically to try and increase velocity (i.e. economic activity). Meanwhile most measures of inflation have been tame.

It almost seems like they have it all figured out (and it’s true they are paid big bucks to keep the economy from disaster). But as soon as you think you have solved the puzzle, another economic/fiscal/monetary issue arises like a game of whack-a-mole.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18241 posts
Posted on 11/27/20 at 7:38 am to
Didn't Fed say not touching rates until at least 2026?
Posted by KillTheGophers
Member since Jan 2016
6218 posts
Posted on 11/27/20 at 8:51 am to
If Biden gets in, Janet’s lieutenants plan to start equity purchase.
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