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Started By
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re: What day is the Fed going to announce the interest rate cut?
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:48 pm to SDVTiger
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:48 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
Really, we don’t even need a cut
Why dont we need a cut?
We don't. The entity paying interest on 35T in debt does.
This post was edited on 9/17/24 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 9/17/24 at 2:31 pm to Art Blakey
Anyone know the announcement time? I want to close my positions before if possible. I have a bad feeling
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:13 pm to SDVTiger
I don’t think the economy is slowing down enough to heat it up with more lending and I think we have far too much consumer debt as it is.
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:10 pm to Bestbank Tiger
quote:
You're thinking interest rate cuts would make bonds less attractive and shift money to stocks. All else equal, that's correct.
For those already in bonds, the cuts are going to work out well. I've seen the bond fund in my 401k go from basically zero ytd return during the first part of the year to almost 7% now.
This post was edited on 9/17/24 at 10:32 pm
Posted on 9/17/24 at 10:34 pm to SDVTiger
Lol. 4% popping up soon? Not if Kamala wins.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 11:22 am to I Love Bama
quote:
Let’s be clear how the market will react.
.25 = still optimistic for soft landing
.50 = nervous
.75 = we fricked up something big
.50 is Goldilocks… market will probably selloff upon announcement but Jay will defend it by “moving forward” another cut so it’s not so close to the election. Market rallies. We’ll see. Zero reason to be bearish yet IMO.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 12:09 pm to kung fu kenny
I’d also like to know. Just refi for ~2k
Posted on 9/18/24 at 12:35 pm to TigerDeBaiter
If there is zero reason to be bearish; what problem does cutting rates solve?
Markets at highs
Unemployment low
What are we fixing?
Markets at highs
Unemployment low
What are we fixing?
Posted on 9/18/24 at 12:37 pm to I Love Bama
quote:
What are we fixing
The election.
Kidding.. but seriously the government can’t afford to keep the debt refinancing for very long. It’s not like deficits are going to stop.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 12:38 pm to LSUcam7
I agree, but that’s not the job of the federal reserve.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 1:03 pm to fallguy_1978
quote:
Damn they went 50
Posted on 9/18/24 at 1:12 pm to kung fu kenny
It's dovish on the surface, but need to hear the press conference.
Intermediate and long yields are up slightly since the announcement.
Intermediate and long yields are up slightly since the announcement.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 1:17 pm to I Love Bama
quote:
What are we fixing?
Rates have to be brought down. The amount of indebtedness out there in the private sector (business and individual) and in government is staggering. This is going to be highly inflationary.
ETA: If you've been accumulating gold these last few years, congratulations. Silver prolly about to take off too.
This post was edited on 9/18/24 at 1:31 pm
Posted on 9/18/24 at 1:20 pm to kung fu kenny
quote:
Is this good or bad
Very good
There will be another .25 , .25 after this
Posted on 9/18/24 at 1:31 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
SDVTiger
I know the recent mortgage interest rates had already baked in a little bit of this, but do you think the rates will go down even more because of was 50 bps?
This post was edited on 9/18/24 at 1:34 pm
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