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re: Tellurian: A Potential Hundred Bagger?

Posted on 5/17/21 at 12:22 pm to
Posted by METAL
Member since Nov 2020
1544 posts
Posted on 5/17/21 at 12:22 pm to
Hopefully it continues. Doubled down on my position.
Posted by roadkill
East Coast, FL
Member since Oct 2008
2079 posts
Posted on 5/20/21 at 4:47 pm to
sigh

Link says Qatar will undercut global market, effectively killing LA projects....e.g., TELL
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
12752 posts
Posted on 5/20/21 at 5:24 pm to
Should we sell?
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13945 posts
Posted on 5/20/21 at 5:49 pm to
The whole story just seems too good to be true. I think the only way they can get to FID is through massive dilution of existing shareholders.
Posted by Lightning
Texas
Member since May 2014
3118 posts
Posted on 5/20/21 at 7:00 pm to
Oddly the share price has gone up since this article was released.
Posted by roadkill
East Coast, FL
Member since Oct 2008
2079 posts
Posted on 5/20/21 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Should we sell?


Great question - no sarcasm intended - if I knew the answer, I wouldn't be posting on TD Money Talk on a Thursday evening.

Per capita, Qatar is one of the richest countries on Earth - if they decide to sell LNG at a loss (subsidize) in order to eliminate long-term competition, they can do it.

There are a lot of moving parts, including:
- Biden and his unhinged base want to eliminate fossil fuels
- demand for LNG is increasing
- Qatar probably can't satisfy all LNG demand
- Qatar and others (non-USA) probably can satisfy all demand
- Tellurian may have to "adjust" their business model - what that means, who knows? Less free cash flow per share? Slower date for full production? Lower revenue per unit of LNG? Cash out and fold?
Financing either disappears or dramatic increase in cost? Some satanic combo of the above, plus other obstacles?

I invested in TELL with the understanding it was binary - grand slam, walk-off home run or called 3rd strike, down 3 runs w/bases loaded.

Charif Souki and his team ain't novice rookies and I will be listening closely to him the next week or so with the understanding he cannot be completely transparent. Also won't be surprised if stock craters (<$1) tomorrow - in which case, I may roll the dice and load up - why not?

Hang on - no guts, no glory.

Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15036 posts
Posted on 5/21/21 at 6:16 am to
quote:

Charif Souki and his team ain't novice rookies and I will be listening closely to him the next week or so with the understanding he cannot be completely transparent.


If anything this speeds up negotiating.

India hates China and they need gas. Qatar can't supply everyone and they areninna very unstable region. Gas contracts at great but orders can't be filled with shite blown up. People are going to commit their countries future on gas supply.

Not taken lightly. We are much more stable even with Biden in control (for now anyway).
Posted by ChasinTails
USA
Member since Oct 2017
162 posts
Posted on 5/24/21 at 8:47 am to
Looks like TELL is starting the day up 10% ... interesting.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28962 posts
Posted on 5/24/21 at 2:36 pm to
I cashed out of TELL today. Took my 33% profit
Posted by Clint Torres
Member since Oct 2011
2832 posts
Posted on 5/24/21 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

I cashed out of TELL today. Took my 33% profit


Hopefully this is just the beginning!
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15036 posts
Posted on 5/24/21 at 8:28 pm to
They ran it from up 10 to down 6 to finish up 6.

They are doing their best running it down.

We shall see.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 5/26/21 at 1:01 pm to
Thanks, picked up 100 shares yesterday.
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15036 posts
Posted on 5/26/21 at 9:15 pm to
Word on the street is CEO said they'll be sold out soon for gas.

Rerated to $4.40

Short interest is dropping quickly. They may be bailing knowing its going to continue to climb.

GL. I'm increasing my holding by 25%. That'll be what's left of my holdback.
Posted by AU_RX
City of St George
Member since May 2005
4501 posts
Posted on 5/26/21 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

be sold out soon for gas.


As in, funding for Driftwood and an FID?
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15036 posts
Posted on 5/26/21 at 9:20 pm to
quote:


As in, funding for Driftwood and an FID?


That is my understanding. Looking for his transcript from him staying that. Couple news articles mentioned it.

LINK

quote:

Tellurian expects to complete commercial agreements within the next few weeks sufficient to support the first phase of its Driftwood LNG export project in Louisiana, Executive Chairman Charif Souki said May 12.


he uploads videos personally every week
This post was edited on 5/26/21 at 9:28 pm
Posted by BayouBengals21
Member since Mar 2020
191 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 6:12 am to
Looks like TELL got a sales and purchase agreement that was announced this morning.. Hold on boys! We bout to make some money.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13945 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 6:15 am to
Man I wish I had gone for more than a small 15K share position now.... Souki said 4-5 deals like this were coming in the next few weeks.
Posted by METAL
Member since Nov 2020
1544 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 6:55 am to
Glad I am still sitting on a bunch of three dollar and 50 Cent calls but damn it would’ve been nice if this happened last week.
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
14453 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 7:25 am to
Not much movement in premarket..
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13945 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 7:29 am to
LOL you're joking right? It just broke $4. Closed yesterday at $3.17.
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