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Technical Analysis Market Bottom
Posted on 4/5/25 at 11:55 am
Posted on 4/5/25 at 11:55 am
Is there anything online that publishes Technical Analysis on the Nasdaq or S&P?
I am interested in putting some cash into an index ETF near a technical bottom if I like the smell of it. Nothing crazy.
I am interested in putting some cash into an index ETF near a technical bottom if I like the smell of it. Nothing crazy.
9
Posted on 4/5/25 at 12:02 pm to CharlesUFarley
The Dow is hitting a trendline from the 2020 low that was successfully retested in 22 & 23. Could be the start of a bottom.
Posted on 4/5/25 at 12:06 pm to CharlesUFarley
RSI says buy
DMA and MACD say don't
So nobody knows. Just buy, you are looking at over $100 per share profit when it returns to the all time high.
DMA and MACD say don't
So nobody knows. Just buy, you are looking at over $100 per share profit when it returns to the all time high.
Posted on 4/5/25 at 3:37 pm to trader_tiger83
VIX also at/above 40 is a technical trend to buy
Posted on 4/5/25 at 3:56 pm to CharlesUFarley
I don’t know about the stock market. It’s at the 2020 lows but interest rates aren’t going to 0 again, and we aren’t printing 2T again.
It’s hard to say if we’re at a “bottom” or the start of a more significant pullback. Right now it looks like a “correction”. It could actually be a drop.
I guess it depends on if you think the trade war is going to escalate. China escalated. Europe and Japan haven’t decided yet.
Japan and China have treasury notes. I’m interested to see what countries choose to do with our debt.
If you think we’re entering a brave new world, I wouldn’t touch the stock market. If you think this is temporary and we will return to business as usual, I’d load up.
Personally, I’m buying more BTC. It looks like it’s actually decoupling from the stock market.
It’s hard to say if we’re at a “bottom” or the start of a more significant pullback. Right now it looks like a “correction”. It could actually be a drop.
I guess it depends on if you think the trade war is going to escalate. China escalated. Europe and Japan haven’t decided yet.
Japan and China have treasury notes. I’m interested to see what countries choose to do with our debt.
If you think we’re entering a brave new world, I wouldn’t touch the stock market. If you think this is temporary and we will return to business as usual, I’d load up.
Personally, I’m buying more BTC. It looks like it’s actually decoupling from the stock market.
Posted on 4/5/25 at 4:01 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:
If you think we’re entering a brave new world, I wouldn’t touch the stock market.
Posted on 4/5/25 at 4:08 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:
I don’t know about the stock market. It’s at the 2020 lows but interest rates aren’t going to 0 again, and we aren’t printing 2T again.
It is not at the 2020 lows..
S&P down 2.5% last 12 months. (5,000 now, 2300 at low of 2020)
Nasdaq down 4% last 12 months. (15.5k now, 7400 at low of 2020)
DJIA down 1.5% last 12 months. (38k, closed around 20k at low of 2020)
Posted on 4/5/25 at 4:11 pm to Dawgfanman
True- I misspoke. I meant from an standpoint of sentiment indicators.
Posted on 4/5/25 at 4:14 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:
True- I misspoke. I meant from an standpoint of sentiment indicators
It’s bad right now that’s for sure but we get down to 2020 and it’s gonna be the end times.
Posted on 4/5/25 at 7:54 pm to CharlesUFarley
2 weeks ago - 490 had strong open interest and support. Now, TBD by the week but 450 possible.
Posted on 4/5/25 at 8:38 pm to CharlesUFarley
Technical analysis is astrology for stock bros.
Posted on 4/5/25 at 9:12 pm to Joshjrn
:(
Posted on 4/5/25 at 9:38 pm to Dawgfanman
I suspect we’re not out of the woods yet.
Is the definition of “correction” still tied to 30% ? …. or did they change that when they changed the definition of “recession?” *wink*
Is the definition of “correction” still tied to 30% ? …. or did they change that when they changed the definition of “recession?” *wink*
Posted on 4/5/25 at 10:57 pm to CharlesUFarley
460-480 spy range seems to be bottom jarring global nuclear war type of thing. Saying that buying tqqq here is a pretty incredible long term opportunity including the divy imo. Nvda sub 100 is nice too long term.
Posted on 4/6/25 at 9:50 am to CharlesUFarley
EU response comes tomorrow, so may not be the bottom yet.
Posted on 4/6/25 at 10:00 am to CharlesUFarley
What is the hurry to buy? No one will ever time " the low " perfectly. Buy when the market turns, not before. GL
Posted on 4/6/25 at 10:10 am to CharlesUFarley
Who knows. Short term, personally, I think we'll have a "Black Monday". No new updates from Trump about tariffs suggest he will maintain his stance.
What does it mean for Monday? Stocks continue falling, possibly until capitulation occurs, whenever that is. The world wants to sell to us. They don't necessarily always want to buy our goods and therein lies the rub. Who blinks first.
But, you shouldn't try to time the market. Let the first few hours shake out and maybe start your stake with a set % of your investment $. DCA weekly a set portion over the next month thereafter. And don't panic.
SPY Analysis
Trading Expectations (SPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 7th we expect SPDR S&P 500 ETF to open at $512.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $493.02 and $517.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$12.26 (+/-2.43%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR S&P 500 ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $536.70, some $31.42 (6.22%) from the current price of $505.28, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is SPDR S&P 500 ETF ETF A Buy?
SPY holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
What does it mean for Monday? Stocks continue falling, possibly until capitulation occurs, whenever that is. The world wants to sell to us. They don't necessarily always want to buy our goods and therein lies the rub. Who blinks first.
But, you shouldn't try to time the market. Let the first few hours shake out and maybe start your stake with a set % of your investment $. DCA weekly a set portion over the next month thereafter. And don't panic.
SPY Analysis
Trading Expectations (SPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 7th we expect SPDR S&P 500 ETF to open at $512.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $493.02 and $517.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$12.26 (+/-2.43%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR S&P 500 ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $536.70, some $31.42 (6.22%) from the current price of $505.28, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is SPDR S&P 500 ETF ETF A Buy?
SPY holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
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