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So the market is down 20% from it's ALL-TIME high, but read this Disney related

Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:26 pm
Posted by Zilla
Member since Jul 2005
10599 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:26 pm
article .... DISNEY and the shape they are in:

LINK

and this isn't 20% off some avg market, this is 20% off a booming market that recently made this all-time high.... I sometimes feel like the market has barely adjusted for this event at all....


This post was edited on 4/12/20 at 11:27 pm
Posted by SECdragonmaster
Order of the Dragons
Member since Dec 2013
16174 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 5:25 am to
Article is behind a paywall.

However, Disney is. It fighting for its life. It’s too big and too beloved to fail. This may shift how they operate temporarily but that is it.
Posted by Spirit of Dunson
Member since Mar 2007
23111 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 5:32 am to
quote:

It’s too big to fail.
explain how they are too big to fail.
Posted by IrishTiger89
Member since May 2017
1492 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 6:10 am to
I always thought that Apple buying out Disney made a lot of sense
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24124 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 6:32 am to
Disney is not “too big to fail”. However, they are iconic and I would presume could get emergency financing relief if required given the numerous assets they hold so I expect they weather the storm.
Posted by SECdragonmaster
Order of the Dragons
Member since Dec 2013
16174 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 7:31 am to
quote:

explain how they are too big to fail.


They own 1/3 of the major networks.
They own ESPN.
They own almost every popular children’s movie for 50 years.

Do you think America is going to suddenly stop desiring entertainment?

Look at the Disney + dominating Netflix in just months. Netflix started the model and now they are Disney’s whipping post.
Posted by boomtown143
Merica
Member since May 2019
6680 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 7:37 am to
yeah, I don't see them goign anywhere.


ESPN....not sure if it is Disney's fault or not...but it sucks now (not bc of Corona. It's been going downhill for the past few years).
More people I know listen to sports podcasts (barstool) and radio than watch ESPN's daily sports talk shows (bc they turned in to political/racial talk shows).

Disney +, The parks (which will come back) and Movie's (will come back) are all amazing
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 7:38 am
Posted by Tshiz
Idaho
Member since Jul 2013
7542 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 7:41 am to
quote:

Look at the Disney + dominating Netflix in just months. Netflix started the model and now they are Disney’s whipping post.



Where are you getting this from? Just some numbers? Bc households across The globe generally prefer Netflix over Disney+.
Posted by Dr.Funke
Not a real Doctor
Member since Dec 2011
642 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 7:45 am to
They definitely aren't going anywhere.

It will be interesting to see how movie theaters recover after all this, I think a lot of people will get use to not going to the theaters.

And I wouldn't say Netflix is Disney+ whipping post. They have about still have way less subscribers and are half the price. What happens when Disney+ starts raising the price or when people's Verizon year free trails start running out?
Posted by boomtown143
Merica
Member since May 2019
6680 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 7:47 am to
quote:

What happens when Disney+ starts raising the price or when people's Verizon year free trails start running out?


People are getting rid of cable.

People will kids will still pay (barring it's not some obscene price).

Look at how expensive there Parks are....people still pay and they are packed.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82010 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 7:49 am to
quote:

Look at the Disney + dominating Netflix in just months. Netflix started the model and now they are Disney’s whipping post.


can't speak to the whole point you were making, but this specific part of your post is garbage.
Posted by bod312
Member since Jul 2015
846 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 8:15 am to
On the surface that statement is bad but Disney+ is doing way better than they originally estimated. They are at 50M subscribers (in less than 5 months) and their goal was 60M-90M in 5 years. Netflix is around 167M subscribers so Netflix is still king in this circle but the momentum is all on Disney+ side.

All that being said, Disney stock should be tumbling badly. The OP's article really outlines it. The bigger issue currently is when will parks and cruises re-open. That is a huge unknown that could be far off but ESPN money could be up big once sports are back especially if fans aren't allowed in the stands.

LINK - Goal

LINK - 50M as of Wednesday
Posted by Spirit of Dunson
Member since Mar 2007
23111 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 8:16 am to
I get that they are big and beloved, and I agree that they will survive this... But "too big to fail" implies some sort of structurally important institution or a firm interwoven into other companies that we have an interest in keeping solvent. I just didn't get that from Disney.
Posted by MrJimBeam
Member since Apr 2009
12257 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 8:21 am to
Disney could double the price of Disney+ and probably only lose 5% of subscribers. I think this is going to be HUGE for them long term as families can just put it on that app and let it ride.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82010 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 8:26 am to
quote:

On the surface that statement is bad but Disney+ is doing way better than they originally estimated.
but what does that have to do with crushing Netflix?
In our household, we have both and we don't see them as substitutes at all.

Fwiw I'm bullish on both Disney and Netflix.
Posted by tigersfan1989
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2018
1265 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 8:31 am to
If they would fail then what would happen to all of these Disney vacation club owners that have spent tens of thousands of dollars on time shares? I don't see Disney going under. They can always increase those monthly maintenance fees that all these club owners are obligated to pay.
Posted by gobuxgo5
Member since Nov 2012
10024 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 8:36 am to
quote:


They own 1/3 of the major networks.
They own ESPN.
They own almost every popular children’s movie for 50 years.

Do you think America is going to suddenly stop desiring entertainment?

Look at the Disney + dominating Netflix in just months. Netflix started the model and now they are Disney’s whipping post.


If this means the taxpayers should have to support bailing them out, you are crazy. They are an entertainment industry. That doesn't qualify as "too big to fail"
Posted by hiltacular
NYC
Member since Jan 2011
19667 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 8:42 am to
quote:

On the surface that statement is bad but Disney+ is doing way better than they originally estimated. They are at 50M subscribers (in less than 5 months) and their goal was 60M-90M in 5 years. Netflix is around 167M subscribers so Netflix is still king in this circle but the momentum is all on Disney+ side.


Have they indicated how many of these subscribers are paying subscribers vs free via verizon?
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38646 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 8:57 am to
quote:

If they would fail then what would happen to all of these Disney vacation club owners that have spent tens of thousands of dollars on time shares?

who cares? That will be a problem for Disney to handle.
fools and their money are soon parted, someone once said.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Have they indicated how many of these subscribers are paying subscribers vs free via verizon?


of course not
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